One impetus for the study was to investigate how
a future warmer climate would affect the demand of water, especially as more cities are seeking out climate mitigation and adaptation strategies.
Although there is as yet no convincing evidence in the observed record of changes in tropical cyclone behaviour, a synthesis of the recent model results indicates that, for
the future warmer climate, tropical cyclones will show increased peak wind speed and increased mean and peak precipitation intensities.
Additionally, a southward shift of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current is projected to occur in a 15 - member multi-model ensemble, due to changes in surface winds in
a future warmer climate (Fyfe and Saenko, 2005).
Acknowledging the problems and benefits of using the Last Interglacial as an analogue for
a future warming climate begs the question of whether there may be a more suitable analogue in the past.
Not exact matches
Although global
warming may now be a serious concern, it is likely that long - term
climate cycles will cause large ice sheets to return at some time in the distant
future, and cataclysmic outburst floods will probably recur in this region.»
Rising sea levels caused by a
warming climate threaten greater
future storm damage to New York City, but the paths of stronger
future storms may shift offshore, changing the coastal risk for the city, according to a team of
climate scientists.
«New Eocene fossil data suggest
climate models may underestimate
future polar
warming.»
In the interest of our
future world, scientists must seek to understand the complexities of linked natural events and field observations that are revealed in the geologic record of past
warmer climates.
The findings were not a total surprise, with
future projections showing that even with moderate
climate warming, air temperatures over the higher altitudes increase even more than at sea level, and that, on average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state.
New University of Colorado Boulder - led research has established a causal link between
climate warming and the localized extinction of a common Rocky Mountain flowering plant, a result that could serve as a herald of
future population declines.
Although scientists aren't sure exactly how
warming temperatures will manifest under
climate change, Morgan said that «chances are good as it gets
warmer we'll get more dry years in the
future.»
About half of this near - term
warming represents a «commitment» to
future climate change arising from the inertia of the
climate system response to current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
The IPCC's
climate report says that the most extreme scenarios of
future warming are looking less likely — but this doesn't change the big picture
«Moreover, the latest developments in
climate science lend greater urgency to the case for action: Effects on natural systems are already being observed and recent findings concerning the potential scope and magnitude of damages from
future warming are increasingly worrisome,» the report says.
A new study takes aim at the mysterious relationship between clouds and
climate, and it finds that a
warmer planet could mean fewer clouds, which would mean an even more sultry
future for the planet
«When confronted with the question whether or not global
warming contributed to Sandy, many scientists would just throw their hands up and say, «We can not address the question of how hurricanes will behave in a
future climate because the myriad factors affecting storm behaviors are too complex and impossible to simulate»,» Lau said.
His new book, New York 2140, explores the interplay of
climate change and global finance on a
warmer, wetter
future world
«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global
climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global
warming in the
future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.
The two studies will help scientists to understand the natural variability of past
climate and to predict tropical glaciers» response to
future global
warming.
Assistant professor Kathrin Rousk, Department of Biology, explains, «to aid in predicting the role of moss - associated N2 fixation in a
warmer,
future climate, we quantified N2 fixation throughout the snow - free period in subarctic tundra.
The calculations are in line with estimates from most
climate models, proving that these models do a good job of estimating past climatic conditions and, very likely,
future conditions in an era of
climate change and global
warming.
A
warming climate makes for a brutal allergy season in the U.S., which may become even worse in
future
The recent slowdown in global
warming has brought into question the reliability of
climate model projections of
future temperature change and has led to a vigorous debate over whether this slowdown is the result of naturally occurring, internal variability or forcing external to Earth's
climate system.
This may provide insight about what to expect in the
future as Earth's
climate continues to
warm and oceans keep acidifying.
But to date, when
climate modelers try to project
future warming for the Arctic, the numbers are lower than expected; for reasons not yet fully understood, they don't reflect the region's accelerating
warming.
Climate models, it says, «can neither confirm that global warming is occurring now, or predict future climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate&
Climate models, it says, «can neither confirm that global
warming is occurring now, or predict
future climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate&
climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate».
«The only way we can accurately project
future climate is to understand the responses of both plants and microbes to a
warming climate.
Scientists are looking to strange sea life for records of
climate's past — and forecasts of
future warming
The indications of
climate change are all around us today but now researchers have revealed for the first time when and where the first clear signs of global
warming appeared in the temperature record and where those signals are likely to be clearly seen in extreme rainfall events in the near
future.
A few of the main points of the third assessment report issued in 2001 include: An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a
warming world and other changes in the
climate system; emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols due to human activities continue to alter the atmosphere in ways that are expected to affect the
climate; confidence in the ability of models to project
future climate has increased; and there is new and stronger evidence that most of the
warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
Put bluntly: if Pakistan's
climate warms in the
future, rainfall will increase.
«Immediate action is required to develop a carbon - neutral or carbon - negative
future or, alternatively, prepare adaptation strategies for the effects of a
warmer climate,» said Dr Goodwin, Lecturer in Oceanography and Climate at South
climate,» said Dr Goodwin, Lecturer in Oceanography and
Climate at South
Climate at Southampton.
That is allowing weather forecasters to push their predictions further into the
future than ever before, while
climate scientists are exploring how the MJO will behave in a
warmer world.
Assisted migration The
future doesn't look good for biocrust communities, and thus for the stability of desert soils, as we continue to careen toward a
warmer climate.
In predicting how
climate will affect irrigated crop yields in the
future, the researchers also consider factors such as population and economic growth, as well as competing demands for water from various socioeconomic sectors, which are themselves projected to change as the
climate warms.
Similar to
climate manipulation plots near the Colorado River, half of these plots are
warmed with infrared lamps to simulate the
future.
Zeebe uses past
climate episodes as analogs for the
future, which suggest that so - called slow
climate «feedbacks» can boost
climate sensitivity and amplify
warming.
This allowed us to simulate a
future climate scenario, characterized by both
warmer waters and ocean acidification», explains researcher Christian Alsterberg.
«We're saying, «If the
future climate were here now, what would need to happen to the grid to adapt to that
warmer world?»»
That may cause
climate modelers to rethink
future sea - level rise under a
warming climate.
To investigate this, DeConto and Pollard developed a new ice sheet -
climate model that includes «previously under - appreciated processes» that emphasize the importance of
future atmospheric
warming around Antarctica.
According to researchers studying this elusive mammal, sometimes classed as one of the «Shy 5,» in South Africa's Kalahari Desert, aardvarks prove to be highly susceptible to the
warmer and drier
climates that are predicted for the western parts of southern Africa, in the
future.
A
warming climate may rule out
warmer venues such as Sochi or Vancouver in the
future.
Only two of the 11 models used to project
future warming in the most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) considered the effects of limited nitrogen on plant growth; none considered phosphorus, although one paper from 2014 subsequently pointed out this omission.
The implication: because average temperatures may
warm by at least one degree C by 2030, «
climate change could increase the incidences of African civil war by 55 percent by 2030, and this could result in about 390,000 additional battle deaths if
future wars are as deadly as recent wars.»
«In a
future with a
warmer climate and more extreme weather, it will be more difficult for fish to survive,» he said.
Our research should provide clues to evaluate how differences in the variety and amount of organics in high - latitude zones, which are vulnerable to global
warming, will affect cloud formation and the overall
climate in the
future.»
This may become a factor in population numbers in the
future, given
climate change predictions for the Pacific Northwest include
warmer, wetter winters.
«This quantitative attribution of human and natural
climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for projections of
future changes under further greenhouse
warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.
Till now,
climate modellers» forecasts of
future warming have resembled the famous bell curve, with the most likely result of doubling CO2 being a temperature increase of about 3 °C, and with declining probabilities on either side for a narrow range of higher and lower temperature rises (see Graph).