Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the observed warming
over the last few decades may be manifest as a change in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2 and 7) and there is now considerable interest in testing the ability of climate models to simulate such weather regimes (Chapter 8) and to see whether the greenhouse
gas forced runs suggest shifts in the residence
time or transitions between such regimes on
long time -
scales.
This means that the impact of greenhouse
gases can accumulate and intensify
over time, while the aerosol effects become comparatively less important on
longer time scales due to the accumulation of carbon dioxide.