Also, sea temperatures are higher in some places and some other places they are cool associated with
general circulation patterns existing generally in those zones.
It is better to look at regional level pattern as they follow
general circulation patterns in conjenction with natural in - built cyclic variations.
From what I can tell from the outputs of the GCM's we see
general circulation patterns which would suggest areas of the planet would be warmer, but not a lot else of real value to the issue of impact on humanity.
Rather it is more a function of
the general circulation pattern that year.
Not exact matches
It's worth saying at first that they are remarkably good already at simulating the
general patterns of climate, the
general circulation of the atmosphere and the past trend of global temperatures.
The discussion of
general circulation and ice
patterns looks right to me....
Of course also in ice cores you might then have special problems for the respective years such as particular accumulation or very specific
circulation patterns that somehow compensate for the
general cooling.
Since the Eastern Tropical Pacific is not entirely decoupled from West Wind Drift given the
general pattern of
circulation in the SE Pacific, the question arises is the magnitude of the observed overall energy difference in the recently observed «extended» La Nina phase of ENSO condition relative to the the «more normal» ENSO comparable in magnitude to energy associated with the apparent increase in winds and potentially currents around the Antarctic?
As noted in that post, RealClimate defines the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation («AMO») as, «A multidecadal (50 - 80 year timescale)
pattern of North Atlantic ocean - atmosphere variability whose existence has been argued for based on statistical analyses of observational and proxy climate data, and coupled Atmosphere - Ocean
General Circulation Model («AOGCM») simulations.
Abstract: «The
patterns of time / space changes in near - surface temperature due to the separate forcing components are simulated with a coupled atmosphere — ocean
general circulation model»
But certainly models with such a grand name as «
General Circulation Model», would include average diurnal atmospheric circulation patterns in tropics, and diurnal and seasonal patterns at latitudes outside the tropics, as well as heat transfer to the de
Circulation Model», would include average diurnal atmospheric
circulation patterns in tropics, and diurnal and seasonal patterns at latitudes outside the tropics, as well as heat transfer to the de
circulation patterns in tropics, and diurnal and seasonal
patterns at latitudes outside the tropics, as well as heat transfer to the deeper ocean.
General circulation model calculations show extra heating in summer warms the stratosphere, strengthening easterly winds and changing wind
patterns.
The
General Circulation Models (GCM) driving the regional models chosen are rated in the top 25 %, according to a performance evaluation of CMIP5 models carried out by Perez et al. (2014), in their ability to reproduce spatial
patterns and climate variability over the north - east Atlantic region, that is the most influential on the European weather
patterns.
We show that the Antarctic stratospheric warming has close correlations with sea surface temperature (SST) increases, and that
general circulation model simulations forced with observed time - varying SSTs reproduce similar warming trend
patterns in the Antarctic stratosphere.