Sentences with phrase «general climate projections»

All weather events should now be considered in the context of climate change and general climate projections are sufficiently alarming to justify the need for governments to prepare for, and adapt to, new risks these pose to our health.

Not exact matches

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

The relationship between warmer air and the greater amounts of moisture it contains is one of the most well - accepted tenets of climate science, and underpins one of the more solid projections, that warming will lead to more heavy downpours in general across the globe.

Climate change projections were based on an ensemble of four General Circulation Models (UKMO HadCM3, MPIM ECHAM5, CSIRO MK3.5 and GFDL CM2.1), downscaled to 10 minutes [32], considering three emissions scenarios (B2, A1B and A2) for 1975 (mean 1961 — 1990), 2050 (mean 2041 — 2060) and 2090 (mean 2081 — 2100).

(in general, whether for future projections or historical reconstructions or estimates of climate sensitivity, I tend to be sympathetic to arguments of more rather than less uncertainty because I feel like in general, models and statistical approaches are not exhaustive and it is «plausible» that additional factors could lead to either higher or lower estimates than seen with a single approach.

Even if the study were right... (which it is not) mainstream scientists use * three * methods to predict a global warming trend... not just climate computer models (which stand up extremely well for general projections by the way) under world - wide scrutiny... and have for all intents and purposes already correctly predicted the future -(Hansen 1988 in front of Congress and Pinatubo).

Another difficulty for the 21st - century projection of TCs (and also for the projection of tropical climate in general) is that it is not certain how ENSO behaves as the mean climate warms.

They are used to investigate the processes responsible for maintaining the general circulation and its natural and forced variability (Chapter 8), to assess the role of various forcing factors in observed climate change (Chapter 9) and to provide projections of the response of the system to scenarios of future external forcing (Chapter 10).

Thus Figure 1 depicts the IPCC TAR Scenario A2 temperature projection based on a simple climate model which was tuned to the seven Atmosphere - Ocean General Circulation Models (AOCGMs).

A general agreement that IF this trend continues for another «X» years despite continued increase of GHG concentrations, there will be enough evidence in the red column to seriously question the ability of the GCMs cited by IPCC: a) to correctly assess human attribution of past climate change b) to estimate climate sensitivity c) to make meaningful projections of future climate changes due to AGW

How would you visualize these climate projections and their impacts to effectively engage policy makers, managers, planners, educators, and the general public?

«The NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX - GDDP) dataset is comprised of downscaled climate scenarios for the globe that are derived from the General Circulation Model (GCM) runs conducted under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and across two of the four greenhouse gas emissions scenarios known as Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

The Process Study and Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel's mission is to reduce uncertainties in the general circulation models used for climate variability prediction and climate change projections through an improved understanding and representation of the physical processes governing climate and its variation.

However, detailed climate projections carried out with Atmosphere - Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs) have typically used a prescribed CO2 concentration scenario, neglecting two - way coupling between climate and the carbon cycle.

The CM2 Global Coupled Climate Models (CM2.X) provide datasets showing general climate conditions during the 20th century and projections into the 21st century based on various climate sceClimate Models (CM2.X) provide datasets showing general climate conditions during the 20th century and projections into the 21st century based on various climate sceclimate conditions during the 20th century and projections into the 21st century based on various climate sceclimate scenarios.

Climate change was assessed by means of two Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator (LARS - WG) weather generators and all outputs from the available general circulation models in the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse - gas Induced Climate Change - SCENario GENerator (MAGICC - SCENGEN) software, in combination with different emission scenarios at the regional scale, while the Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) model has been used for projections at the local scale.

[55] According to the World Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate projections of the future state of our climate.climate.»

A comprehensive idealized hurricane intensity modeling study by Knutson and Tuleya, published in Journal of Climate (2004), confirms the general conclusions of previous studies but makes them more robust by using future climate projections from nine different global climate models and four different versions of the GFDL hurricaneClimate (2004), confirms the general conclusions of previous studies but makes them more robust by using future climate projections from nine different global climate models and four different versions of the GFDL hurricaneclimate projections from nine different global climate models and four different versions of the GFDL hurricaneclimate models and four different versions of the GFDL hurricane model.

However, using the CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model climate projections, the hurricane model also projects that the lifetime maximum intensity of Atlantic hurricanes will increase by about 5 % during the 21st century in general agreement with previous studies.

The general goal of my work is to contribute to the development of global climate models, and thereby, more reliable climate change projections.

Rosenzweig et al. (2005) found that climate change based on downscaled general circulation model (GCM) projections would exacerbate the New York City UHI by increasing baseline temperatures and reducing local wind speeds.

The Qld Climate Change Centre of Excellence is downscaling general climate circulation models to produce regional and local climate change projeClimate Change Centre of Excellence is downscaling general climate circulation models to produce regional and local climate change projeclimate circulation models to produce regional and local climate change projeclimate change projections.