Sentences with phrase «general election outcomes»

History shows one important fact: the results of competitive special elections from Hawaii to New York are poor indicators of broader trends or future general election outcomes.

French polls accurately predicted the numbers one through four in the first round of the Presidential Elections and Dutch election polls accurately predicted the general election outcomes of March 2017.

Despite this, the single most popular general election outcome in these seats was a coalition involving Labour and the SNP — a result favoured by 39 % of voters overall, including 62 % of SNP supporters and 79 % of Labour - SNP switchers.

Not exact matches

The lack of strong evidence of a softer Brexit has kept financial markets calm despite the outcome of the U.K. general election.

The expected guilty plea makes the retired Army lieutenant general the first person to have actually worked in the Trump White House to face formal charges in the investigation, which is examining possible coordination between Russia and the Trump campaign to influence the outcome of the 2016 election.

With the U.K. general election just days away, latest polls suggest the outcome is still too close to call.

The Abacus study also asked those who voted in the 2015 Canadian General Election to rank a ballot that included the main political parties and generated data for 11 regions to estimate, with increased precision, the outcome of the Canadian election had it been run under different electoral Election to rank a ballot that included the main political parties and generated data for 11 regions to estimate, with increased precision, the outcome of the Canadian election had it been run under different electoral election had it been run under different electoral systems.

The compromises necessary to Canada wants a successful outcome to the TPP negotiations not only for domestic political reasons (a general election is due in 2015), but also for tactical reasons such as protecting its NAFTA access to the US market and ensuring that it is not disadvantaged vis — à — vis the US in any market - opening deals involving Japan.

The Arsenal transfer saga is much like the Australian General Election, a boring «stuff up «with no outcome.

Just one per cent of the electorate - less than half a million voters in marginal swing seats - determined the outcome of the last general election.

The state Conservative Party has given its nod to Elise Stefanik, one of two Republicans contenders (as of today) vying for the North Country House seat of retiring Democratic Rep. Bill Owens, ensuring her a ballot line in the November general election regardless of the outcome of the June GOP primary.

Few predicted the correct outcome of the 2015 general election but why did the pollsters get it quite so wrong?

It is a distinct possibility that the outcome of this General Election is going to see very little relationship between votes and seats and produce a new government elected by a very small proportion of the electorate.

Such an outcome is a feature of the first past the post system used in the UK and other countries, combined with a purely constituency - based parliament, whereby a general election is, in effect, 650 separate elections, one for each constituency in the country.

Well, even if Goodhart's book is of some use in understanding the outcomes of the June 2017 General Election, it seems unlikely that it provides us with very good a guide to the future.

The single most likely outcome of the May general election is a seriously hung parliament with the Conservatives as clearly the largest party but a majority on the left.

«The group will argue that values — and not a politician's background — are the crucial factor in communicating effectively with blue collar voters and that it is today's generation of Conservative politicians who most closely represent the values of those voters who will determine the outcome of the next general election,» he said.

Only two things could change the outcome, he suggests: if turnout rises towards general election levels (unlikely, in my view) and if the message received by voters, particularly women and professionals, changes.

With the failure of traditional forecasting methods to accurately predict the outcomes of the UK General Election of May 2015, can social media based predictions do any better?

But with the general election just over a fortnight away, a consensus is gradually emerging that his premiership is now the most likely outcome.

Whatever the results of the local elections today, the outcome of the next general election is far from a foregone conclusion.

Britain is now in full general election countdown mode — and the polls indicate another hung parliament is the most likely outcome on May 7.

- while believing that, given the inconclusive outcome of the General Election, the creation of the coalition and its policy programme as set out in the Coalition Agreement was the best available option for promoting Liberal Democrat policies and values during this Parliament -

15 March 2011 — UGANDA Question: To ask Her Majesty's Government what is their assessment of the legitimacy of the outcome of the last general election in Uganda.

This is particularly true when the outcome depends on the votes of millions (whether in a general election or in a referendum).

Two years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome of general elections from local election results.

You can bet on itPolitical betting has been revitalised during this general election campaign and a record # 25m has been staked on its outcome.

A situation in which a gentleman who was neither a contestant or running - mate in the substantive election on November 22 was permitted by INEC, the APC and the federal government, represented by the Attorney General of the Federation to usurp the candidacy of the deceased Alhaji Abubakar Audu when a running - mate was alive and willing to sustain the ticket was pure gerrymandering by certain interests to produce a desired outcome.

My model takes into account five things: the vote share a party received in the by - election constituency at the preceding general election; changes in public opinion towards the party since the last general election; whether the party won the seat at the last election; whether the party is in government; and whether there are «party effects» on by - election outcomes.

Satisfaction with party leaders of the two main parties would have predicted the outcome of the last nine UK general elections, including the mostrecent.

When history records what happened today, it will note that what seemed unprecedented at the time was actually the most uneventful outcome which could have emerged from the rubble of the 2010 general election.

Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil appear to have opened tentative negotiations following the inconclusive outcome of the general election to the Irish Dáil.

Current polling suggests that a hung parliament may be an outcome of the general election.

We generally expect our Westminster general elections to result in clear outcomes: think of Margaret Thatcher's speedy arrival in Downing Street after Callaghan's departure in 1979, or Tony Blair strolling into Number 10 just as the removal lorries left the back with John Major's belongings inside them.

If this kind of bias occurs in the polls in the run up to general elections it could be seriously misleading as to the likely outcome.

One of the more striking outcomes of the general election was the extent to which Northern Ireland has been geopolitically repartitioned, with every border - facing constituency in Northern Ireland electing a Sinn Féin candidate with the rest of the country (one independent excepted) favouring the DUP.

On allegation by another ex-militant leader, Africanus Ukparasia, alias «General» Africa that he bombed pipelines, Tompolo said he alerted the public that some aggrieved All Progressives Congress, APC, members in Bayesla and Delta States wanted to destroy national assets in the Niger Delta and finger him because of the outcome of the Bayelsa State governorship election.

But it's presumably an outcome Cuomo wants by the spring, as he runs for a third term and is seeking to shore up support liberals amid the rumblings of primaries or the threat of a general election candidate running to his left.

If each person believes that his / her single vote will have no impact in the general outcome and decides not to vote during election days, will there be a single vote in the ballot box to declare someone a winner of any elections?

An analysis of six of the most - read papers over the weekend of May 17 - 18 confirms, with a few exceptions, that the focus of the coverage is UKIP and what the EU election tells us about the outcome of the 2015 general election.

Prior to the last general election I commented to friends that the outcome would decide if Welsh devolution was here for the long - term.

Predicting the outcome of the next general election is, at best, a risky undertaking because the game is still very much in flux.

Larry Bousquet, a Syracuse attorney, was another Deacon supporter at the party who said the presidential race will have a big impact on the outcome of the 24th Congressional race in the Nov. 8 general election.

Shettima described the outcome of the 2015 general election as the watershed in the Nigerian political history and commended Benue people for their continuous support of Northern agenda.

A situation which he said was lacking in the PDP, following the way and manner it held its last general elections, where the outcome of the polls did not reflect the true essence of democracy.

«We now have the chance to vote for a change from the current system under which only 1.6 % of the electorate decide the outcome of general elections.»

Ahead of the general election Macmillan will be calling on all three parties to commit to: • deliver cancer outcomes that match the best in Europe • ensure all cancer patients are treated with the highest levels of dignity and respect and that staff are supported to do this • ensure everyone at the end of life is given free social care to support them to spend their final weeks and days in the place of their choosing.

Reacting to the allegation by another ex-militant leader, Africanus Ukparasia, alias «General» Africa that he bombed pipelines, Tompolo said he alerted the public that some aggrieved All Progressives Congress, APC, members in Bayesla and Delta states want to destroy national assestsin the Niger Delta state and finger him because of the outcome of the Bayelsa governorship election.

A majority Conservative government is now equal with a majority Labour government as the ideal outcome of the 2015 general election and Labour's lead has been consistently reduced to single digits.

It aimed to limit spending on campaign activity in the year ahead of a general election and redefined electoral activity as anything which could affect the outcome of an election.