Not exact matches
The results paint a worrying picture of the future,
given that the pledges world nations have submitted under the Paris Agreement are likely still not enough to keep global
temperatures within the 2 C
threshold envisioned by the accord.
Wet bulb globe
temperature is the heat stress metric used by the International Organization for Standardization, and it has well - validated
thresholds for when humans can safely work,
giving it advantages over alternative metrics such as heat index, said study co-author Chao Li, a hydroclimatology scientist at the University of Victoria in Canada.
This is the difference between countries» pledged commitments to reduce emissions of heat - trapping greenhouse gases after 2020 and scientifically calculated trajectories
giving good odds of keeping global warming below the
threshold for danger countries pledged to try to avoid in climate talks in 2010 (to «hold the increase in global average
temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels»).
«Alternatively, the number of proxies can be lowered through a
threshold screening process (Mannet al., 2008) whereby each proxy sequence is correlated with its closest local
temperature series and only those proxies whose correlation exceeds a
given threshold are retained for model building.
As the «2 °C
threshold» came to define the global climate effort, it became common to characterize any
given emissions pathway or greenhouse gas budget by its probability of causing a
temperature increase of 2 °C or more.
However, it is important to note that there is no unique pathway associated with any
given temperature or risk
threshold.
While these uncertainties prevent the establishment of a high - confidence, one - to - one linkage between atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and global mean
temperature increase, probabilistic analyses can assign a subjective probability of exceeding certain
temperature thresholds for
given emissions scenarios or concentration targets (e.g., Meinshausen, 2005; Harvey, 2007).