«March 26th is cast in stone,» Mr Hain stressed,
giving DUP leader Ian Paisley and Sinn Fein's Martin McGuiness until midnight on Sunday to come forward as first and deputy first minister.
MPs are calling on Northern Ireland Secretary James Brokenshire to use his powers to reveal the names of the secret donors who
gave the DUP # 435,000 to campaign for Brexit, openDemocracy can reveal today.
(Baker subsequently received funding from the Constitutional Research Council, the secretive organisation that
gave the DUP more than # 425,000 for its Brexit campaign.)
But openDemocracy has now discovered that Cambridge Analytica's establishment links run even deeper, leading to one of the most senior figures in Northern Irish unionism — a PR man who has represented everyone from British Airways to Russian oligarchs — and raising questions once more about who
gave the DUP a secretive # 435,000 donation for its Brexit campaign.
We exposed the shadowy links of the donor group that
gave DUP that «dark money» during the Brexit campaign.
Not exact matches
The
DUP in Northern Ireland obtained 10 seats, which would
give Theresa May a majority in parliament.
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The UK is less happy — it has to accept some regulatory alignment which will upset the
DUP, but this may be worth it if it gets a final deal on trade that it is happy with (I've shown this by
giving a score of 2 for Ireland and 1 for the UK in this case although, of course, the actual values of the scores is arbitrary — it is only their relative value that matters).
As with the Tories Labour would also call on the
DUP and Liberal Democrats first if those parties were sufficient to yield a majority, on the basis that the SNP will be harder for Labour to do a deal with, especially
given their differences over Trident.
Our model now
gives a 7 % chance that the Conservatives will be the largest party but could only form a majority with the support of all of the Lib Dems, the
DUP and UKIP.
Given the Conservatives distasteful campaign, the unrelenting politicisation of Corbyn's relationship with the IRA, their call for an end to the «unfair» prosecution of British soldiers for crimes committed during the Troubles and their present desire for a deal with the
DUP, one might be forgiven for wondering how a Conservative government might ever expect to be perceived by nationalists as independent guarantors of the Nothern Irish peace process.
Our investigations have found that the fine was issued to the
DUP's controversial Brexit backers, the Constitutional Research Council, and that the only law it can have broken,
given the size and nature of the fine, is of complying with rules requiring them to tell the Electoral Commission where their funding comes from.
The more seats a party or grouping has, the more chance it has of forming a government - with 198 seats out of 646 the Conservative Party could only form a government if significant numbers of other MP's decided to back them, as happened in 1924 when there was a situation that the Conservatives didn't want to form a coalition with either other main party and equally the Liberals didn't want a coalition with Labour and the Liberals and Conservatives saw it as an opportunity to allow Labour into government but in a situation in which legislation was still reliant on Liberal and Conservative votes and they could be brought down at the most suitable time, supposing the notional gains were accurate and in the improbable event of the next election going exactly the same way in terms of votes then 214 out of 650 is 32.93 % of seats compared to at 198 out of 646 seats - 30.65 % of seats and the Conservative Party would then be 14 seats closer towards a total neccessary to form a government allowing for the greater number of seats, on the one hand the Conservatives need Labour to fail but equally they need to succeed themselves
given that the Liberal Democrats appear likely to oppose anyone forming a government who does not embark on a serious programme to introduce PR, in addition PC & SNP would expect moves towards Independence for Scotland and Wales, the SDLP will be likely to back Labour and equally UKIP would want a committment to withdraw from Europe and anyway will be likely to be in small numbers if any, pretty much that leaves cutting a deal with the
DUP which would only add the backing of an extra 10 - 13 MP's.
The Donaldson brothers and
DUP MPs Ian Paisley Junior and Emma Little Pengelly, who was a special adviser to the
DUP's then - first minister Peter Robinson, set up another company to
give peace - building advice to overseas governments and organisations.
Given that: Brexit negotiations are due to start tomorrow (19 June 2017), The deal with the
DUP, to
give the Conservatives the majority they want, apparently hasn't yet been finalised, At least not...
The deal with the
DUP, to
give the Conservatives the majority they want, apparently hasn't yet been finalised,
Task facing PM,
given the circs, is to deliver the most stable govt possible - today's
DUP deal helps achieve that.
If we are to have people from other parties, I like the idea of Yet Another Anon (1551) to
give posts to Peter Robinson and Jeffrey Donaldson of the
DUP (although not necessarily in the roles suggested.)
The climbdown illustrates again how vulnerable ministers are over the bill,
given the number of potential Tory rebels often exceeds the government's tiny
DUP - aided majority.
The
DUP leader expressed his optimism about the next few weeks, saying the prospect of a hung parliament
gives Northern Irish voters crucial influence on polling day.
High - March 25th: MP commitment boosted - The
DUP's presence in Westminster was
given a boost after it was announced any Assembly members who become MPs at the election will step down from Stormont.
He told the committee that # 282,000 had been spent by the
DUP on pro-leave advertising on mainland UK with # 32,000 also
given to AggregateIQ and Cambridge Analytica.
The # 435,000 donation
given to the
DUP's Brexit campaign has been the source of on - going controversy.
The Bill was
given a Second Reading by 321 votes to 235, with all Tories and Lib Dems in the lobbies voting in favour; it was opposed by Labour and MPs from the
DUP, SDLP, Plaid Cymru and the Green Party.
Throughout the conversation, Mr Cook was
given multiple opportunities to dismiss the listed # 6,000 fine as nothing to do with the Constitutional Research Council or the
DUP.
Bryant has asked Brokenshire to confirm who the «regulated entity» is, and whether the fine relates to the unprecedented # 435,000 donation
given to Mrs May's Westminster allies, the Democratic Unionist Party (
DUP), in order to campaign for Brexit.
Mr Blackford said «we know that before the EU referendum the
DUP received # 425,000 from the Conservative - run Constitutional Research Council (CRC)... we know some of the money was
given to Aggregate IQ a reported franchise of Cambridge Analytica... the shady business of data mining and undermining electoral law goes right to the heart of the prime minister's party».
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They have to recover from the election result, to regroup, and believe their deal with the
DUP will
give them the breathing space to do so.
Mr Blackford said «we know that before the EU referendum the
DUP received # 425,000 from the Conservative - run Constitutional Research Council (CRC)... we know some of the money was
given to Aggregate IQ a reported franchise of Cambridge Analytica... the shady business of data mining and undermining electoral law goes right to the heart of the prime minister's party».
The code below, for a landing page featuring
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gives some idea of the appearance.