There is a threshold of glacier extent reduction dependent on the magnitude of ablation rate increase, where
glacier runoff declines, the few examples suggest this is in the 10 - 20 % areal extent loss.
Not exact matches
Even worse, loss of summer
glacier runoff will mean a collapse of rice and wheat agriculture in the northwest of the country as Himalayan
glaciers continue to melt (current estimates are as high as 80 % loss within 30 years, and
runoff is already in
decline).
As
glacier area is lost there will be a long term
decline in
glacier runoff and alpine streamflow during the melt season.
The Canon del Plata hydropower project would experience a decrease from 1540 gigawatt - hours to 1250 gigawatt - hours for a 50 %
glacier runoff reduction and
decline to 970 gigawatt - hours for a 100 %
glacier loss (Vergara et.
Thus,
glacier retreat leads to an increase in spring
runoff and a
decline in summer
runoff.
Eventually the resulting
decline in
glacier extent reduces the area available for melting causing a decrease in
glacier runoff.
As a
glacier retreats its area available for melting
declines and so does
glacier runoff in the summer.
To notice something is going on with the world's ice sheets, you could measure melting water
runoff,
glacier retreat or use satellites and GPS to measure ice volume
decline.