Sentences with phrase «global annual mean temperatures»

In Fig. 8, I have digitized the outer bounds of the model runs in Fig. 7, and also plotted the HadCRUT3 global annual mean temperature anomaly over the same period.

If we look at the global annual mean temperature anomaly time series (as derived from the University of East Angliaâ??

Meanwhile, the CET is a point estimate for one location on Earth's surface, and should never be misconstrued as truly representative of the global annual mean temperature, or the Northern Hemesphere annual mean temperature..

We tested the H0 hypothesis that the global annual mean temperature could be represented by a non-deterministic fractional - differenced process - not a random walk - and thus stationary.

Not exact matches

The lower 48 states are projected to cross the 2 - degree C warming threshold about 10 to 20 years earlier than the global mean annual temperature, they note.

Annual average GCR counts per minute (blue - note that numbers decrease going up the left vertical axis, because lower GCRs should mean higher temperatures) from the Neutron Monitor Database vs. annual average global surface temperature (red, right vertical axis) from NOAA NCDC, both with second order polynomialAnnual average GCR counts per minute (blue - note that numbers decrease going up the left vertical axis, because lower GCRs should mean higher temperatures) from the Neutron Monitor Database vs. annual average global surface temperature (red, right vertical axis) from NOAA NCDC, both with second order polynomialannual average global surface temperature (red, right vertical axis) from NOAA NCDC, both with second order polynomial fits.

However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.

Tsushima, Y., A. Abe - Ouchi, and S. Manabe, 2005: Radiative damping of annual variation in global mean surface temperature: Comparison between observed and simulated feedback.

To contribute to an understanding of the underlying causes of these changes we compile various environmental records (and model - based interpretations of some of them) in order to calculate the direct effect of various processes on Earth's radiative budget and, thus, on global annual mean surface temperature over the last 800,000 years.

The review by O'Gorman et al (3) reports that a 1C increase in global mean temperature will result in a 2 % — 7 % increase in the precipitation rate; the lower values are results of GCM output, and the upper values are results from regressing estimated annual rainfalls on annual mean temperatures.

Abstract:» The sensitivity of global climate with respect to forcing is generally described in terms of the global climate feedback — the global radiative response per degree of global annual mean surface temperature change.

One finds on the secular time scale that both of the X - and Y - component temporal, annual - means profiles of the Earth's Orientation mimic exactly the Global Temperature Anomaly (GTA) annual means profile On the decade time scale one finds that the GTA mimics the Geomagnetic Dipole variations and the variations in the Earths Anomalous Rotation Rate [i.e., Excess Length of Day (ELOD) Annual Mannual - means profiles of the Earth's Orientation mimic exactly the Global Temperature Anomaly (GTA) annual means profile On the decade time scale one finds that the GTA mimics the Geomagnetic Dipole variations and the variations in the Earths Anomalous Rotation Rate [i.e., Excess Length of Day (ELOD) Annual Memeans profiles of the Earth's Orientation mimic exactly the Global Temperature Anomaly (GTA) annual means profile On the decade time scale one finds that the GTA mimics the Geomagnetic Dipole variations and the variations in the Earths Anomalous Rotation Rate [i.e., Excess Length of Day (ELOD) Annual Mannual means profile On the decade time scale one finds that the GTA mimics the Geomagnetic Dipole variations and the variations in the Earths Anomalous Rotation Rate [i.e., Excess Length of Day (ELOD) Annual Memeans profile On the decade time scale one finds that the GTA mimics the Geomagnetic Dipole variations and the variations in the Earths Anomalous Rotation Rate [i.e., Excess Length of Day (ELOD) Annual MAnnual MeansMeans].

You stated «The red line is the annual global - mean GISTEMP temperature record (though any other data set would do just as well),...

... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small increases in CO2 concentration and global mean temperature... Polar amplification occurs if the magnitude of zonally averaged surface temperature change at high latitudes exceeds the globally averaged temperature change, in response to climate forcings and on time scales greater than the annual cycle.

If you want a really really simple statistical climate model, try correlating global mean annual temperature & / or sea level with the CO2 data from Mauna Loa.

Overall, ecosystem - driven changes in chemistry induced climate feedbacks that increased global mean annual land surface temperatures by 1.4 and 2.7 K for the 2 × and 4 × CO2 Eocene simulations, respectively, and 2.2 K for the Cretaceous (Fig. 3 E and F).

The IPCC claims the models» global (wide) mean annual temperatures is highly correlated (0.98) with measured actual (ignoring for now the question of the validity and reliability (noise) of the measurements themselves).

However, the annual mean predictions for the global temperature that they issue every year does have some skill — being based mainly on the state of ENSO at the start of the year.

Abstract:» The sensitivity of global climate with respect to forcing is generally described in terms of the global climate feedback — the global radiative response per degree of global annual mean surface temperature change.

Here are the mean global annual temperature anomalies for 2001 to 2006 (NASA GISS):

Thus, the simplest thing to do is to: a) construct a time series of annual global temperature averages, add a random component to each year (value drawn from a gaussian with the given standard deviation and mean zero).

Yu Kosaka & Shang - Ping Xie, as published in Nature (http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v501/n7467/full/nature12534.html): «Despite the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual - mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty - first century1, challenging the prevailing view that anthropogenic forcing causes climate warming.»

Global warming is talking about the mean global annual surface temperGlobal warming is talking about the mean global annual surface temperglobal annual surface temperature.

However, the CRU global mean combined land air / sea surface temperature estimates for Jan - Aug 2005 lag behind the 1998 annual mean estimate by 0.08 C (0.50 C vs. 58C for 1998) while GISS indicates a lag of 0.02 C.

See the observations in Roemmich & Gilson (2009)-- The 2004 - 2008 mean and annual cycle of temperature, salinity, and steric height in the global ocean from the Argo program.

Estimates of the global and annual mean temperature based on a number of different data sets, including both traditional analyses as well as re-analyses (also see the last 15 years).

Estimates of the global and annual mean temperature based on a number of different data sets, including both traditional analyses as well as re-analyses

The latest record for global and annual mean was set 1998, but it may also be slightly different when looking at local temperatures and on a monthly basis.

The term «climate sensitivity» refers to the steady - state increase in the global annual mean surface air temperature associated with a given global mean radiative forcing.

«In considering the question of human activity and climate change it is essential to distinguish between global warming, which is a progressive increase in the annual mean global temperature, and human - activity - induced greenhouse warming, as may, for example, be caused by the release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere as a result of fossil fuel combustion or deforestation.»

Figure A illustrates how 1 C of global warming might affect the annual mean temperature over the Mediterranean Basin.

Figure B shows the scenario for the change in annual mean temperature per 1 C global warming using this method for 248 meteorological stations.

By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.

We may thus discount the chaotic annual fluctuations of global mean temperature.

The annual global mean temperature for every year since the TAR has been among the 10 warmest years since the beginning of the instrumental record.

The focus on anomalys has distracted from the most relevant metric, Global Annual Average Temperature, which has been increasing every year for the last 10 and longer, meaning no «Plateau»..

For decades we have reported / updated the global temperature record, showing the calendar - year annual - mean temperature, usually with the 5 - year running - mean included.

The reason I am persisting with this is that I think there has been no plateau in Global warming over the last 10 years, as every year has been above average thus the average of the population is increasing, meaning Annual Global Average Temperature has been increasing.

The graph shows global annual surface temperatures relative to 1951 - 1980 mean temperatures.

The global mean temperature for 2015 is expected to be between 0.52 °C and 0.76 °C * above the long - term (1961 - 1990) average of 14.0 °C, with a central estimate of 0.64 °C, according to the Met Office annual global temperature forecast.

However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.

««Removing the annual emissions traced to 90 major carbon producers from the best estimate full historical forcing case shows that the combustion of their products from 1880 to 2010 led to a 0.4 (± 0.01) °C increase in [global mean standard temperature]...» This claim is absolutely bogus.

Figure 1, above: Global mean annual average temperature in the simulations with time - varying long - lived species only (top) and due to short - lived species (bottom).

Image at right: Graph of global annual surface temperatures relative to 1951 - 1980 mean temperature.

Black lines show observed global mean annual mean temperature from HadCRUT3, and thin coloured lines show global mean temperature from five - member ensembles of CanESM2 forced with (a) anthropogenic and natural forcings (ALL), (b) natural forcings only (NAT), (c) greenhouse gases only (GHG), and (d) aerosols only (AER).

The difference in annual mean and 5 - year mean global land - ocean temperature using ERSST v4 and v3b.

equilibrium climate sensitivity refers to the equilibrium change in the annual mean global surface temperature following a doubling of the atmospheric equivalent carbon dioxide concentration.

Last week, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences we published a method for analysing record - breaking extreme events in climate time series, with applications to the global annual - mean temperature and to July temperatures in Moscow.

And, of course, we do not need to global climate models to run impact models with an annual average increase in the mean surface air temperature of +1 C and +2 C prescribed for the Netherlands.

But a «10 - year «standstill» in the five - year mean global temperature» could equal a «15 - year «pause» in the average annual temperature».