A combination of historical ice core data and air monitoring instruments reveals a consistent trend:
global atmospheric methane concentrations have risen sharply in the past 2000 years.
The quality of feed has also improved with pasture improvements so there is no doubt at all that Australian livestock have made zero contribution to the doubling of
global atmospheric methane over the past century.
Yes, the original build up of the Australian livestock herd had an impact on
global atmospheric methane.
Results suggest that even the observed short - term temperature sensitivity from the Arctic will have little impact on
the global atmospheric methane budget.
The global atmospheric methane value (from the Mauna Loa Observatory) increased from 1796 to 1836 parts per billion (volume) over the same interval.
If Arctic methane were driving a substantial increase in
the global atmospheric methane concentration, it would be detectable in this time - mean interhemispheric gradient.
Not exact matches
To get a
global look at
methane concentrations before, during, and after the plateau, the team amassed
atmospheric methane concentration data from measuring stations from Canada to China to Australia, spanning a period from 1984 through 2015.
This paper «is timely and an important step forward in understanding changes in the
global methane budget,» says Isobel Simpson, an
atmospheric chemist at the University of California, Irvine, who was not involved in the study.
During the early 2000s, environmental scientists studying
methane emissions noticed something unexpected: the
global concentrations of
atmospheric methane (CH4)-- which had increased for decades, driven by
methane emissions from fossil fuels and agriculture — inexplicably leveled off.
Since
methane can cause about 20 times as much
atmospheric warming as carbon dioxide, curbing
methane would help slow
global warming.
In the new paper, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, Höglund - Isaksson estimated
global methane emissions from oil and gas systems in over 100 countries over a 32 - year period, using a variety of country - specific data ranging from reported volumes of associated gas to satellite imagery that can show flaring, as well as
atmospheric measurements of ethane, a gas which is released along with
methane and easier to link more directly to oil and gas activities.
Turning up the heat seems to increase the rate at which the plants produce
methane, Keppler says, which could explain why
atmospheric levels of
methane were high hundreds of thousands of years ago when
global temperatures were balmy.
Miller, S. M., et al. (2016), A multiyear estimate of
methane fluxes in Alaska from CARVE
atmospheric observations,
Global Biogeochem.
Raymond Pierrehumbert, an Oxford University
atmospheric physics professor who believes cutting carbon dioxide emissions is more urgent than cutting
methane emissions, said Howarth's research offers little new information about the role of natural gas production in
global warming.
For example, Isaken et al (2011) quantify how as
atmospheric methane concentrations increase, the
global warming potential, GWP, of
methane also increases (see references at end of post).
Ed Dlugokencky of NOAA, who confirmed a couple of weeks ago that recent increases in
atmospheric methane were continuing, tells me that the emissions estimates are reasonable, but that the
global data is not yet consistent with a large and growing source of Arctic
methane....»
More importantly, the
atmospheric methane flux from the Arctic Ocean is really small (extrapolating estimates from Kort et al 2012), even compared with emissions from the Arctic land surface, which is itself only a few percent of
global emissions (dominated by human sources and tropical wetlands).
Small wonder
atmospheric methane can cause such
global catastrophe considering its dramatic rise during the last few years, as elucidated by Carana on 5 December 2013 in the figure below.»
We find that the
global methane hydrate inventory decreases by approximately 70 % (35 %) under four times (twice) the
atmospheric CO2 concentration and is accompanied by significant
global oxygen depletion on a timescale of thousands of years.
The release of this trapped
methane is a potential major outcome of a rise in temperature; it is thought that this is a main factor in the
global warming of 6 °C that happened during the end - Permian extinction as
methane is much more powerful as a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide (despite its
atmospheric lifetime of around 12 years, it has a
global warming potential of 72 over 20 years and 25 over 100 years).
A study surveying «leaky valves and pipes in the rapidly growing natural gas industry» observed 50 % more
methane leakage than expected, but the extra
atmospheric contribution still causes less
global warming than coal.
Miller, S. M., et al. (2016), A multiyear estimate of
methane fluxes in Alaska from CARVE
atmospheric observations,
Global Biogeochem.
What is concerning is the possibility that rapid
global warming could occur faster than many people believe is possible, if global warming due to atmospheric carbon dioxide causes the Earth's atmosphere to warm enough to release enormous deposits of frozen methane (CH4) that are stored in the permafrost above the Arctic Circle and in frozen methane ice, known as methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extinc
global warming could occur faster than many people believe is possible, if
global warming due to atmospheric carbon dioxide causes the Earth's atmosphere to warm enough to release enormous deposits of frozen methane (CH4) that are stored in the permafrost above the Arctic Circle and in frozen methane ice, known as methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extinc
global warming due to
atmospheric carbon dioxide causes the Earth's atmosphere to warm enough to release enormous deposits of frozen
methane (CH4) that are stored in the permafrost above the Arctic Circle and in frozen methane ice, known as methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extin
methane (CH4) that are stored in the permafrost above the Arctic Circle and in frozen
methane ice, known as methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extin
methane ice, known as
methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extin
methane hydrate, underneath the floors of the oceans throughout the world (see: How
Methane Gas Releases Due To Global Warming Could Cause Human Extin
Methane Gas Releases Due To
Global Warming Could Cause Human Extinc
Global Warming Could Cause Human Extinction).
In the short - term, a key issue that needs resolving is the mismatch between
global methane budgets from top - down (derived from
atmospheric measurements) and bottom - up (derived from measurements of
methane emissions at the land surface from different
methane producing environments) approaches.
Exceeding the 400 parts per million level of worldwide
atmospheric carbon dioxide later this decade continues a troubling trend which brings the world closer to the potential to reach a
global warming tipping point in which
global warming accelerates rapidly as the potent greenhouse gas
methane is liberated from the frozen state that it has been in for millions of years.
The
Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network measures the
atmospheric distribution and trends of the three main long - term drivers of climate change, carbon dioxide (CO2),
methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O), as well as carbon monoxide (CO) which is an important indicator of air pollution.
Why are the
global atmospheric concentrations of
methane leveling off?
I have worked on a wide range of topics pertaining to the
global carbon cycle and its relation to
global climate, with special focus on ocean sedimentary processes such as CaCO3 dissolution and
methane hydrate formation, and their impact on the evolution of
atmospheric CO2.
The study found that U.S.
methane emissions could account for 30 to 60 percent of the
global growth of
atmospheric methane over the past decade.
Also, while we have good
atmospheric measurements of other key greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and
methane, we have poor measurements of
global water vapor, so it is not certain by how much
atmospheric concentrations have risen in recent decades or centuries, though satellite measurements, combined with balloon data and some in - situ ground measurements indicate generally positive trends in
global water vapor.»
Reductions in some short - lived human - induced emissions that contribute to warming, such as black carbon (soot) and
methane, could reduce some of the projected warming over the next couple of decades, because, unlike carbon dioxide, these gases and particles have relatively short
atmospheric lifetimes.The amount of warming projected beyond the next few decades is directly linked to the cumulative
global emissions of heat - trapping gases and particles.
«
Global atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide,
methane and nitrous oxide have increased markedly as a result of human activities since 1750 and now far exceed pre-industrial values determined from ice cores spanning many thousands of years.»
Methane and carbon dioxide on the rise13 May 2016 Satellite readings show that atmospheric methane and carbon dioxide are continuing to increase despite global efforts to reduce emi
Methane and carbon dioxide on the rise13 May 2016 Satellite readings show that
atmospheric methane and carbon dioxide are continuing to increase despite global efforts to reduce emi
methane and carbon dioxide are continuing to increase despite
global efforts to reduce emissions.
the
atmospheric methane flux from the Arctic Ocean is really small (extrapolating estimates from Kort et al 2012), even compared with emissions from the Arctic land surface, which is itself only a few percent of
global emissions (dominated by human sources and tropical wetlands).
Increasing reliance on natural gas (
methane) to meet
global energy demands holds implications for
atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «
global warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century events such as the Mediaeval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in
atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «
global warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed warming of the 20th century.
Whilst these inorganic fluorine compounds and perfluorocarbons have large
global warming potentials, which make for dramatic media headlines, their
atmospheric abundances and mixing ratios are very small, and hence their contributions to radiative forcing in the atmosphere and hence to anthropogenic forcing of climate processes are very small by comparison to carbon dioxide,
methane and water vapor.
Methane has an
atmospheric lifetime of about 12 years and a
global warming potential of 28 over a hundred - year period.