Not exact matches
Despite your insistence otherwise, you evince at best a shallow understanding of basic principles of climate science (hint: while radiative forcing is known to be at least partially controlled by
atmospheric CO2, no «natural», i.e. internal source of variability has been demonstrated that could drive a
global temperature trend for half a century), as well as an inability to recognize genuine expertise.
But of course the pace of the
temperature trend also depends on the
global future emissions outlook and on remaining uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the
atmospheric CO2 concentration.
[G] etting the [monsoon] forecast right remains a challenge, thanks to the complex — and still poorly understood — ways in which South Asia's monsoon rains are influenced by everything from
atmospheric and ocean
temperatures to air quality and
global climate
trends.
Between 40 and 50 km (channel 3),
global - mean
temperature trends from both SSU products show more cooling than is simulated by the CCMs (
atmospheric coupled chemistry models).
Perhaps more telling is the fact that the JMA measure reveals no hiatus in the pace of
global atmospheric temperature increase with all years since 1998 at or above the
trend line.
Working with a total of 2,196 globally - distributed databases containing observations of NPP, as well as the five environmental variables thought to most impact NPP
trends (precipitation, air
temperature, leaf area index, fraction of photosynthetically active radiation, and
atmospheric CO2 concentration), Li et al. analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of
global NPP over the past half century (1961 — 2010).
El Niño event, the
atmospheric temperature change has been a paltry +0.1 °C per century
trend - essentially,
global warming has been non-existent.
Despite massive amounts of CO2 emissions since the super El Niño event, the
atmospheric temperature change has been a paltry +0.1 °C per century
trend - essentially,
global warming has been non-existent.
One approach is to estimate
global temperature as a simple function of climate forcing and ENSO through a regression approach; perhaps the best - known example is Foster & Rahmstorf (2011), which found that when the impact of natural factors (volcanic eruptions, solar variations, and ENSO) is removed, the
trend in
global temperature has been remarkably steady since 1979 (when satellite observations of
atmospheric temperature begin).
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can change or reverse in a different
trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic
trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average
global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random
atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
The results are qualitatively consistent with
trends in NCEP
atmospheric temperatures (which must also be treated with great caution) that show an increase in the stability of the convective boundary layer as the
global temperature has risen over the period.
MAR at 173:
Global average
temperature is an upward sticky number and the
trend of
atmospheric CO2 will keep it on the upward
trend.