Models agree on the qualitative conclusion that the range of regional variation in sea level change is substantial compared to
global average sea level rise.
As previous reports have warned, this IPCC assessment found that higher levels of warming would increase the risks of «severe, pervasive, and irreversible impacts» from global warming, including species extinction and the loss of massive polar ice sheets that could
raise global average sea levels by more than two feet.
Ocean heating accounts for about 40 percent of global sea level rise, because water expands as it warms up;
global average sea level from January through November was also a record high, the WMO said.
The report finds that the U.S. is particularly vulnerable to projected sea level rise; areas such as the Northeast and western Gulf of Mexico could face rates that
exceed global average sea level rise.
Current sea level rise underestimated: Satellites show
recent global average sea level rise (3.4 millimeters per year over the past 15 years) to be around 80 percent above past I.P.C.C. predictions.
Although the IPCC climate models have performed remarkably well in projecting average global surface temperature warming thus far, Rahmstorf et al. (2012) found that the IPCC
underestimated global average sea level rise since 1993 by 60 %.
With the caveat that this
much global average sea level rise is almost certainly not going to occur during the next several decades, here is what New York City would look like with a 10 - foot increase in the local sea level, with blue areas showing areas that would be inundated (many more areas would be flooded during a storm event).
Salinity changes within the ocean also have a significant impact on the local density and thus local sea level, but have little effect
on global average sea level change.
Thermal expansion of the warming ocean provides a conservative lower limit to
irreversible global average sea level rise of at least 0.4 — 1.0 m if 21st century CO2 concentrations exceed 600 ppmv and 0.6 — 1.9 m for peak CO2 concentrations exceeding ≈ 1,000 ppmv.
This expansion, combined with the melting of land - based ice, has
caused global average sea level to rise by roughly 7 - 8 inches since 1900 — a trend that is expected to accelerate over coming decades.
Sea level equivalent (SLE)- The change
in global average sea level that would occur if a given amount of water or ice were added to or removed from the oceans.
Global average sea level is rising 3.1 centimeters per decade.
The new study, published online in Geophysical Research Letters, shows that seas rose in the southeastern U.S. between 2011 and 2015 by more than six times
the global average sea level rise that is already happening due to human - induced global warming.
From Virginia through Maine and along the western Gulf of Mexico, sea - level rise is projected to be greater than the global average in nearly
all global average sea level rise scenarios.
Data from Jason - 3 and its predecessors, as well as tide gauges, show that since 1992,
global average sea levels have increased about twice as fast as they did over the past century.
Global average sea level has risen by roughly 0.11 inch (3 millimeters) per year since 1993 due to a combination of water expanding as it warms and melting ice sheets.
The IPCC last year noted that «Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising
global average sea level.»
Estimates for the 20th century show that
global average sea level rose at a rate of about 1.7 mm yr — 1.
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising
global average sea level (see Figure SPM.3).
Global average sea level was likely between 4 and 6 m higher during the last interglacial period, about 125,000 years ago, than during the 20th century, mainly due to the retreat of polar ice -LRB-
Global average sea level was likely between 4 and 6 m higher during the last interglacial period, about 125,000 years ago, than during the 20th century, mainly due to the retreat of polar ice (Figure TS.21).
Over the past 100 years, as the planet continues to heat up,
global average sea levels have risen nearly 7 inches.
The new research, published in the journals Science and Geophysical Research Letters, shows that
global averaged sea level could increase by 4 feet just from glacial melting in a portion of West Antarctica during the next few centuries.
Phrases with «global average sea level»