d In all scenarios, the projected
global average sea level at 2100 is higher than in the reference period [Working Group I Fourth Assessment 10.6].
Sea - level projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), by our research group and by others indicate that
global average sea level at the end of the century would likely be about 1 - 2.5 feet higher under the Paris path than in 2000.
Not exact matches
Too much debate treats temperature (and especially the most recent
global average) as the sole indicator, whereas many other factors are
at play including
sea levels, ocean acidity, ice sheets, ecosystem trends, and many more.
3 Millimeters explores the Eastern Shore of Maryland, where the
sea level is rising
at twice the
global average - a process without emergency brakes.
«These new results indicate that relative
sea levels in New Zealand have been rising
at an
average rate of 1.6 mm / yr over the last 100 years — a figure that is not only within the error bounds of the original determination, but when corrected for glacial - isostatic effects has a high
level of coherency with other regional and
global sea level rise determinations.
But the
global average rise in
sea level is a chimera of many factors acting differently
at various locations.
You need longer - term
averaging in order to be looking
at the true
global sea -
level signal, rather than sampling noise.
Regarding the «
global ice
at 1980
levels», here is the canned response we wrote in rebuttal to the astonishingly twisted piece in Daily Tech: What the graph shows is that the
global sea ice area for early January 2009 is on the long term
average (zero anomaly).
Sea levels in the Philippines are rising
at about twice the
global average.
According to Professor Nils - Axel Mörner, who has written more than 600 learned papers in his 50 - year career studying
sea level,
global average sea level may not be rising
at all
at the moment.
It found eight of the atolls and almost three - quarters of the islands grew during the study period, lifting Tuvalu's total land area by 2.9 percent, even though
sea levels in the country rose
at twice the
global average.
Climate scientists have been able to close the
sea level «budget» by accounting for the various factors that are causing
average global sea levels to rise
at the measured rate of about 3.2 millimeters per year since 1992 (when altimeters were launched into space to truly measure
global sea level).
Looking deeper in time,
global climate was an
average of 2 to 3 degrees warmer than
at present some 3 million years ago, and
sea levels were 35 ± 18 m above the shoreline of today.
Fourth Assessment Report (2007):
Global average sea level rose
at an
average rate of 1.8 [1.3 to 2.3] mm per year over 1961 to 2003.
If we do nothing to reduce our carbon emissions, scientists project that
global sea level could rise as much as nearly two feet (59 centimeters) over recent
average levels by the end of this century.14, 15 If, on the other hand, we make significant efforts to reduce heat - trapping emissions,
sea -
level rise between now and the end of the century could be limited to
at most 1.25 feet (38 centimeters).14, 15
Global average sea level rose
at an
average rate of 1.8 [1.3 to 2.3] mm per year over 1961 to 2003.
Hence,
at any location around or within the oceans, the observed
sea level trend can differ significantly from the
global average.
Global average sea level is expected to continue to rise by
at least several inches in the next 15 years and by 1 — 4 feet by 2100.
I've looked
at the
global average salinity data
at NODC and there is a clear correlation between inter-annual salinity variability and inter-annual
sea level change, such that salinity increases
at the same time as SL decreases.
At last, a responsible government has recognised that
global average sea -
level change is no more relevant to coastal management than
average global temperatures are to the design of residential heating and cooling systems — local weather and local
sea -
level change is what matters.
Global sea ice (Arctic plus Antarctic) continues to track
at record low
levels in the satellite record, but the deviation from
average has moderated compared to what was observed in November.
What the report said, according to Koonin, was» The report ominously notes that while
global sea level rose an
average 0.05 inch a year during most of the 20th century, it has risen
at about twice that rate since 1993.»
However, Mörner et al. (2004) argued that there had been a 30 cm fall in
sea -
level at the Maldives over the last 50 yrs while Mörner (2004) argued that there had been no
global averaged sea -
level rise over the decade of the 1990s.
Instead, total annual
average ocean heat content has increased steadily during the hiatus,
at quite a confronting rate given that this metric is closely tied to
global sea -
level rise.
Fluctuations in the mass of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are of considerable societal importance as they impact directly on
global sea levels: since 1901, ice losses from Antarctica and Greenland, alongside the melting of small glaciers and ice caps and thermal expansion of the oceans, have caused
global sea levels to rise
at an
average rate of 1.7 mm / yr.
During the last interglacial about 125,000 years ago, when
global average temperatures were not substantially warmer than
at present,
sea level was 4 - 6 meters (about 13 to 20 feet) higher than
at present.
There is medium confidence that
at least partial deglaciation of the Greenland ice sheet, and possibly the West Antarctic ice sheet, would occur over a period of time ranging from centuries to millennia for a
global average temperature increase of 1 - 4 °C (relative to 1990 - 2000), causing a contribution to
sea -
level rise of 4 - 6 m or more.
The last time in Earth history when the
global average surface temperature was as warm as the IPCC projects for 2100 in its mid-range scenarios, there was very little polar ice and
sea level would have been roughly 70 meters (over 200 feet) higher than
at present.
In 2007, IPCC notes «
Global average sea level rose
at an
average rate of 1.8 [1.3 to 2.3] mm per year over 1961 to 2003.
For example, additional evidence of a warming trend can be found in the dramatic decrease in the extent of Arctic
sea ice
at its summer minimum (which occurs in September), decrease in spring snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere, increases in the
global average upper ocean (upper 700 m or 2300 feet) heat content (shown relative to the 1955 — 2006
average), and in
sea -
level rise.
But since then
sea -
level has risen there
at 1 1/2 mm / year (approximately equal to the
global average rate):
Based on geological data,
global average sea level may have risen
at an
average rate of about 0.5 mm / yr over the last 6,000 years and
at an
average rate of 0.1 — 0.2 mm / yr over the last 3,000 years.»
At 600ppm,
global average temperature rise could be in the range of 3 - 4Â °C — which means greater
sea level rise than predicted, glaciers melting and constraining water supply throughout large areas of Asia, agriculture being severely stressed in many places, greater storm intensity, reduced biodiversity, the end of coral reefs.
The 59F / 15C, is a standard day for international standard
at sea level, so I fail to see a problem with a
global average, of 59F / 15C.
In contrast,
global temperature in
at least the past two decades is probably outside the Holocene range (7), as evidenced by the fact that the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are both losing mass rapidly (8, 9) and
sea level has been rising
at a rate [3 m / millennium, (10); updates available
at http://sealevel.colorado.edu/] well above the
average rate during the past several thousand years.
For sixty years, tide gauges have shown that
sea level in the Chesapeake is rising
at twice the
global average rate and faster than elsewhere on the East Coast.
Dr. James Hansen said
at a July 20 press conference that
average global temperatures today are less than a degree cooler than they were during the last major interglacial or «Eemian» period 120,000 years ago, when
global temperatures were just 2 °C above the pre-industrial climate and
sea levels stood
at five to nine metres higher than they are today.
Global Temperature - above
average CO2
at 0.0004 about +0.5 % / Year
Sea Level rising 3.4 mm / yr Sea Level Trends - Interactive Map USA Tornadoes and Global Hurricanes - unchanged Sun spots continue at low
Level rising 3.4 mm / yr
Sea Level Trends - Interactive Map USA Tornadoes and Global Hurricanes - unchanged Sun spots continue at low
Level Trends - Interactive Map USA Tornadoes and
Global Hurricanes - unchanged Sun spots continue
at low
levellevel
«Dave Springer says: December 23, 2010
at 6:32 am I think a better measure of energy content is
global average sea level.»
After about 2,000 years of little change,
global sea level rose over the past century
at an
average rate of 1.7 millimeters per year.
Sea levels in New York City are rising at almost twice the global average rate, and the NPCC projects that sea levels will continue to rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure at ri
Sea levels in New York City are rising
at almost twice the
global average rate, and the NPCC projects that
sea levels will continue to rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure at ri
sea levels will continue to rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure
at risk.
...
Averaged over the
global ocean surface, the mean rate of
sea level change due to GIA is independently estimated from models
at -0.3 mm / yr (Peltier, 2001, 2002, 2009; Peltier & Luthcke, 2009).
For instance: I was looking
at what the AMSU instruments (http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps)
at sea -
level are showing and their equivalent temperature has always hovered about 294.75 K ± 0.25 K for
global average, not 288 as Trenberth assumes as the mean
global average temperature of the surface, so, just change it and see the effect.
«Just days after a Federal Government report claimed Perth's
sea levels had risen
at three times the
global average, prominent research and scientific institutions pointed the finger
at the city's thirstiness.
Since 1992,
global mean
sea level can be computed
at 10 - day intervals by
averaging the altimetric measurements from the TOPEX / Poseidon (T / P) and Jason satellites over the area of coverage (66 ° S to 66 ° N)(Nerem and Mitchum, 2001).
According to Bamber,
at the high end, the U.S. might get about 25 to 27 percent more
sea level rise than the
global average.