If we allow sustained
global average temperature increases of more than 1 degree Celsius, we will suffer irreversible climate destabilization and a planet largely inhospitable to human civilization.
Jones said achieving the goal of
limiting global average temperature increases this century to 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels was «ambitious but still possible,» but only if governments took swift and decisive action to promote clean energy technologies across key economic sectors.
With
global average temperature increasing by approximately 0.75 degrees Celsius in the last century, its most visible and direct effect can be seen on mountains, says Pradeep Mool, remote sensory expert at the Kathmandu - based International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD).
At current annual rates of ~ 41 Gt CO2 for fossil fuels, industrial and land - use emissions combined (Le Quéré et al 2017), time is running out on our ability to keep
global average temperature increases below 2 °C and, even more immediately, anything close to 1.5 °C (Rogelj et al 2015).
And yet the IPCC itself warned last year that
as global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 °C [relative to 1980 - 99], model projections suggest significant extinctions (40 - 70 % of species assessed) around the globe.
The IPCC's Fourth Assessment says, «As
global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 °C [relative to 1980 to 1999], model projections suggest significant extinctions (40 - 70 % of species assessed) around the globe.»
(ppm) Year of Peak Emissions Percent Change in global emissions
Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2 - eq.
To assess the impact
on global average temperature increase, IEA used MAGICC with an emissions pathway in between the representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 6 from the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report.
The Under2 Coalition's Policy Action work supports the most ambitious state and regional governments around the world to develop and implement climate policies that are consistent with keeping
global average temperature increase well below 2 °C.
In December 2015, the world agreed to the Paris Accord; to slash greenhouse gas emissions to
hold global average temperature increase to 1.5 degrees C (over what it was before the Industrial Revolution), and, if we miss that target, to as far below 2 degrees as possible.
A federal report released in November 2016 laid out a strategy for the United States to «deeply decarbonize» its economy by 2050, and said that developing carbon dioxide removal techniques «may be necessary in the long run to
constrain global average temperature increases to well below 2 °C.»
The fossil fuel industry already has enough proven fossil fuel reserves on the books to take us up to the internationally agreed
upon global average temperature increase limit of 2 °C — five times over.
At the high - end scenario of global warming, in
which global average temperatures increase to 8.46 degrees Fahrenheit above 1986 - 2005 average levels by 2100, the report found that «the combination of high temperature and humidity in some areas for parts of the year is projected to compromise normal human activities, including growing food or working outdoors.»
The
Eemian global average temperature increase of three degrees caused a sea - level rise between 6 and 9 meters (20 - 30 feet), suggesting that whether the water comes from the North or South Pole, the consequences are sure to be profound.
The goal of the Hewlett Foundation's Energy and Climate work is «to ensure that energy is produced and used cleanly and efficiently, with limited impacts on human health and the environment, and that
global average temperatures increase less than 2 °C to avoid the worst effects of climate change.»
Therefore, in order to achieve the Paris Agreement goal of
limiting global average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, it is crucial to reduce the energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of the building sector.
Reaffirming the unwavering commitment of parties to
keep global average temperature increase well below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels and the continuum approach between mitigation, adaptation, loss & damage and finance that is required to ensure equity before 2020.
Some of the discussion revolves around the goal, adopted by nations at the 2009 climate summit in Copenhagen, of limiting
the global average temperature increase to 2 °C.
Global average temperature increase will exceed the recognized «guardrail» limit of 2 degrees Celsius.
Imagine sea levels rising by feet instead of inches,
global average temperatures increasing by many degrees instead of just fractions and an increase in other cataclysmic, costly and fatal weather events.
According to the published report, there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of
global average temperature increase for the surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere.
Brown will headline the Under2 Clean Energy Forum on Wednesday in Beijing, a gathering of 170 cities, states and nations working to keep
the global average temperature increase under two degrees Celsius.
The very first point is that the US should seek global agreement on an emissions reduction goal, and they say the the scientific consensus view is that
the global average temperature increase ought not to exceed 3.6 degrees F [2 degrees C] above the preindustrial level in order not to exceed unacceptable climate risk.
Instead, we must raise ambition by 2015, otherwise
the global average temperature increase will exceed 2 ° C and move inexorably to 3 ° and beyond — with all that entails.