The annual
global average temperature increased at an average rate of 0.07 degrees Celsius, or 0.13 degrees Fahrenheit, per decade since 1880.
Not exact matches
Most scientists and climatologists agree that weird weather is
at least in part the result of
global warming — a steady
increase in the
average temperature of the surface of the Earth thought to be caused by
increased concentrations of greenhouse gasses produced by human activity.
To be more specific, the models project that over the next 20 years, for a range of plausible emissions, the
global temperature will
increase at an
average rate of about 0.2 degree C per decade, close to the observed rate over the past 30 years.
The strength and path of the North Atlantic jet stream and the Greenland blocking phenomena appear to be influenced by
increasing temperatures in the Arctic which have
averaged at least twice the
global warming rate over the past two decades, suggesting that those marked changes may be a key factor affecting extreme weather conditions over the UK, although an Arctic connection may not occur each year.
Temperatures at the Antarctic Peninsula have
increased by 2.5 degrees Celsius over the last 50 years, warming that is much faster than the concurrent
average global temperature increase.
Some of the discussion revolves around the goal, adopted by nations
at the 2009 climate summit in Copenhagen, of limiting the
global average temperature increase to 2 °C.
Results of a new study by researchers
at the Northeast Climate Science Center (NECSC)
at the University of Massachusetts Amherst suggest that
temperatures across the northeastern United States will
increase much faster than the
global average, so that the 2 - degrees Celsius warming target adopted in the recent Paris Agreement on climate change will be reached about 20 years earlier for this part of the U.S. compared to the world as a whole.
Average arctic temperatures increased at almost twice the global average rate in the past 100
Average arctic
temperatures increased at almost twice the
global average rate in the past 100
average rate in the past 100 years.
However,
at the
increased levels seen since the Industrial Revolution (roughly 275 ppm then, 400 ppm now; Figure 2 - 1), greenhouse gases are contributing to the rapid rise of our
global average temperatures by trapping more heat, often referred to as human - caused climate change.
Overall, the
global annual
temperature has
increased at an
average rate of 0.07 °C (0.13 °F) per decade since 1880 and
at an
average rate of 0.17 °C (0.31 °F) per decade since 1970.»
The
global land and ocean
temperature during January has
increased at an
average rate of +0.07 °C (+0.13 °F) per decade since 1880; however, the
average rate of
increase is twice as great since 1975.
... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small
increases in CO2 concentration and
global mean
temperature... Polar amplification occurs if the magnitude of zonally
averaged surface
temperature change
at high latitudes exceeds the globally
averaged temperature change, in response to climate forcings and on time scales greater than the annual cycle.
The addition says many climate models typically look
at short term, rapid factors when calculating the Earth's climate sensitivity, which is defined as the
average global temperature increase brought about by a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere.
Aware of the broad scientific view that the
increase in
global average temperature above pre-industrial levels ought not to exceed 2 degrees C, we support an aspirational
global goal of reducing
global emissions by 50 percent by 2050, with developed countries reducing emissions by
at least 80 percent by 2050, and recognizing the critical importance of development, including poverty eradication, in developing countries.
The real forecast is 383 ppm rising
at 2 ppm / year, a minimum carbon dioxide sensitivity to doubling of 3 C, adding positive feedbacks, some of which are unknown, yields a 5 C
increase in
global average temperatures by 2100, and of course, time does not stop in 2100.
We can not afford to delay further action to tackle climate change if the long - term target of limiting the
global average temperature increase to 2 °C, as analysed in the 450 Scenario, is to be achieved
at reasonable cost.
This letter is to seek the involvement of the World Meteorological Society (WMO) in advancing world climate monitoring by a significant improvement in the method of gathering the
temperature measurements used to calculate
global average temperature at the Earth's surface so that the precision of this calculation can be
increased.
Approximately 20 to 30 percent of plant and animal species assessed so far are likely to be
at increased risk of extinction if
increases in
global average temperature exceed 1.5 to 2.5 °C.
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA ocean surface
temperature data set to find that since 2003 the
global average ocean surface
temperature has been rising
at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of
increase reported in Karl's paper.»
(ppm) Year of Peak Emissions Percent Change in
global emissions Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2
global emissions
Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2
Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial
at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration
at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2 - eq.
My understanding of the viewpoint of the majority of experts in related fields is that analysis shows that relative to 50 years ago, and the LIA, and the MWP,
average global temperatures are warmer, and
increasing in warmth
at an anomalous rate than indicated by the data on previous time periods, including the MWP.
But even if this new trend continues, «it is not yet
at a rate that would meet the long - term
temperature goal of the Paris Agreement of holding the
increase in the
global average temperature to well below 3.6 °F (2 °C) above preindustrial levels.»
Should the veracity of the GH theory not have to answer to these far more detailed predictions then to a simple estimation of
increased surface
temperature, and using whichever of the various means of arriving
at a
global average best matches that one parameter?
If greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere were to stabilize in 2100
at levels projected in the B1 and A1B emission scenarios, a further
increase in
global average temperature of about 0.5 °C would still be expected around 2200.
Crop yields are likely to
increase at higher latitudes under some scenarios of
global average temperature increase - and depending on the crop.
in
average global temperature puts the 2012 - 2100
increase at 1 degree C or more, yet from 1979 to 2012 CO2
increased by only about one - sixth.
For
increases in
global average temperature of less than 1 to 3 °C above 1980 - 1999 levels, some impacts are projected to produce market benefits in some places and sectors while,
at the same time, imposing costs in other places and sectors.
To counter this business - as - usual scenario, the Stern Review proposes a climate stabilization regime in which greenhouse gas emissions would peak by 2015 and then drop 1 percent per year after that, so as to stabilize
at a 550 ppm CO2e (with a significant chance that the
global average temperature increase would thereby be kept down to 3 °C).
Even before this Hansen and his colleagues
at NASA's Goddard Institute argued that due to positive feedbacks and climatic tipping points
global average temperature increases had to be kept to less than 1 °C below 2000 levels.
At the heart of the Paris Agreement is the «long - term goal» committing almost 200 countries to keep the
global average temperature increase to «well below 2 °C» above pre-industrial levels.
Governments adopted a comprehensive package of decisions — including an agreement to initiate a second commitment period for the Kyoto Protocol and the «Durban Platform» to negotiate a long - term, all inclusive future mitigation regime that includes a process to address the «ambition gap» for stabilizing
average global temperature increases at 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels.
In 2007 I pointed out that it was curious that in recent years the
global annual
average temperature had not
increased at a time when greenhouse gasses were
increasing rapidly and when the media was full of claims that the earth's
temperature was getting higher and higher.
The Paris Agreement achieved
at COP21 aims to strengthen the
global response to the threat of climate change namely by «holding the
increase in the
global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change.»
«
Average global temperature increases, geographically,
at a linear rate from 60 ° N or S latitude towards the equator, but levels off between the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn,» Robert Colwell of the University of Connecticut, US, co-author of a recent paper in Science, told environmentalresearchweb.
Since IPCC's first report in 1990, assessed projections have suggested
global average temperature increases [
at least, because of IPCC's accelerated warming claim] between about 0.15 °C and 0.3 °C per decade for 1995 to 2010.
For example, as long as the rise in
global average temperature stays below 3 degrees Celsius, some models predict that
global food production could
increase because of the longer growing season
at mid - to high - latitudes, provided adequate water resources are available.
A combined set of conditions including a permafrost thaw line moving rapidly northward,
increasing record heat,
temperatures that are rising
at a rate twice that of the
global average, and deadwood multiplying invasive species are just a few of the ways climate change enhances fire risk.
There are plenty, but for a conservative example see IPCC Synthesis Report 2007 Table 5.1 which says to stay within 2 - 2.4 degrees
global average temperature increase above pre-industrial (Copenhagen upper «low risk» target) and 425 - 490ppm CO2 - equivalent concentration
at stabilisation, the required change in
global CO2 emissions in 2050 (percent of 2000 emissions) is decline between 85 to 50 percent.
that there is a straightforward relationship between an
increase in the
global average temperature and the rate
at which glaciers melt in the Himalayas [italics added]
An
average $ 2.5 trillion (# 1.76 trn) of the world's financial assets would be
at risk from climate change impacts if
global temperatures are left to
increase by 2.5 °C by 2100, warns a new study by the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
at the London School of Economics.
The steady
increase in
global temperatures, including
average temperatures in Australia, means that even when rainfall is
at or near the historical
average, conditions are drier than before because evaporation rates are higher.
The Paris Agreement was a major step forward for international cooperation on tackling climate change; not only did Parties agree to the ambitious mitigation goal of limiting
average global temperature increase to well below 2 °C, but they also agreed to a wide array of processes and tools aimed
at achieving this goal.
Temperatures in the Arctic are
increasing around three times as fast as the
global average, yet the pace of warming has been much slower
at Earth's... Read More
You state that what is
at question is not the actuality of
temperature increase (by which I assume you mean
global average temperature), but the question of whether UHI effects have been entangled in the
temperature records, and to what extent.
But for the past four years, even though negotiators have never arrived
at a plan for avoiding dangerous climate change, they have agreed on a goal: limiting the
increase in the Earth's
global average surface
temperature to 2 °C (3.6 °F) above the preindustrial level.
Following a warming trend early in the 20th century and mid-century cooling, surface air
temperatures in the Arctic have shown a strong
increase over the last few decades, warming
at about twice the
global average.
Global Warming over the past 50 years, the average global temperature has increased at the fastest rate in recorded hi
Global Warming over the past 50 years, the
average global temperature has increased at the fastest rate in recorded hi
global temperature has
increased at the fastest rate in recorded history.
Consider the simple fact, drawn from the official
temperature records of the Climate Research Unit
at the University of East Anglia, that for the years 1998 - 2005
global average temperature did not
increase (there was actually a slight decrease, though not
at a rate that differs significantly from zero).
- The 2 °C Scenario (2DS) lays out an energy system pathway and a CO2 emissions trajectory consistent with
at least a 50 % chance of limiting the
average global temperature increase to 2 °C by 2100.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1)
Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant
increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of
temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of
temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5)
global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels
at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The
global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach
at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.