Sentences with phrase «global change models»

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in global change models, Invited lecture at the SENSE Summer School Understanding Global Environmental Change: Processes, Compartments and Interactions, Hoeven, The Netherlands, 5 September 2009.

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in global change models, Invited lecture at the SENSE Summer School Understanding Global Environmental Change: Processes, Compartments and Interactions, Hulsthorst, The Netherlands, 18 - 24 May 2007.

Global change models predict that threats to Hawaii's ecosystem include sea level and temperature rise, and pH decline [218], [219].

J.P. van der Sluijs, Uncertainty in global change models, Invited lecture at the SENSE Summer School Understanding Global Environmental Change: Processes, Compartments and Interactions, Hulsthorst, The Netherlands, 18 - 24 May 2007.

The difference among the recharge projections from the 11 global change models reflects the difference in future regional precipitation that the models project, the authors write.

Not exact matches

These technologies are driving profound changes impacting industries and business models as well as life, society, and the environment,» said Tim Zanni, Global and U.S. Technology Sector Leader at KPMG in the report.

From online to bricks and mortar, the very concept of what stores are, how consumers shop them, and even the core economic model for revenue, will be will be profoundly reinvented; changes sure to affect not only retailers large and small but any business with a stake in the global retail industry.

It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

In the wake of the recent global financial crisis, several developments suggest that market - makers are changing their business models.

Brent Beardsley, global head of wealth and asset management at Boston Consulting Group, says more wealth management firms with a wirehouse — or integrated broker — model are looking to increase revenues from advisers by automating advice: «If you look at the big wirehouses, you'll see the role of the adviser has changed now that portfolio management is increasingly being managed centrally.

This free church model, with its populist overtones, is being borne, Volf maintains, «by irreversible social changes of global proportions.»

It would be like trying to model 1000 years of global climate change on a TRS - 80 computer when it takes a modern 16,000 processor supercomputer a week to process the data.

Our business model emphasizes sustainable goals and global cooperation to produce measureable change in the packaging industry.

However, the changing operating models of global CMOs does highlight that Australian industry must ensure competitiveness by offering commercial development services alongside the manufacture of complex pharmaceuticals.

The megatrends illustrated in Figure 1 represent five significant trends in the global sector which are already changing the F&A products demanded by consumers and the business models of F&A companies.

«CSWA's mission is to bring recognition to the California wine industry as a change leader in the global marketplace and serve as a model for other industries.»

The combination of several trends — lower global wine inventory, changing sourcing models, variable container availability and the ongoing consolidation of shipping lines — create a challenging outlook for companies that buy and transport bulk wine.

I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.

These include key science and technology developments as well as critical business changes such as a greater focus on global markets, investing in new skills and improved culture and collaboration models.

They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change.

With global climate models projecting further drying over the Amazon in the future, the potential loss of vegetation and the associated loss of carbon storage may speed up global climate change.

The emergence dates calculated by the model matched the historical records, strongly suggesting that global warming has driven the changes in emergence timing.

When researchers ran the numbers for the Corn Belt, the global models fell short of reality: They predicted both temperature and humidity to increase slightly, and rainfall to increase by up to 4 % — none of which matches the observed changes.

«The broader idea is that we must understand and include the effects of forest loss when modeling global climate and trying to predict how climate will change in the future,» said Swann.

A lot of models that we use in terms of global change are fairly simplistic.»

The goals of the project include reconstructing extreme climate changes from the recent past (1894 - 2014), using historically referenced data to assess near - future global climate model projections, and to ultimately use this analysis to investigate ecological problems in Chesapeake Bay, such as eelgrass diebacks.

Smith and his former research assistant Andrew Mizrahi used a PNNL computer model, the Global Change Assessment Model, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's climodel, the Global Change Assessment Model, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's cliModel, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's climate.

Using these models, we get a global view of the entire molecule and they also allow us to study changes in large proteins using a laptop in only a few minutes,» explains Orellana.

The research, funded by the Medical Research Council, involved creating the first global model of how mortality rates change with hot or cold weather.

There are more than a dozen widely used global climate models today, and despite the fact that they are constantly being upgraded, they have already proved successful in predicting seasonal rainfall averages and tracking temperature changes.

And by carefully measuring and modeling the resulting changes in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate of how sensitive Earth's climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Michigan whose work focuses on improving global climate models and their ability to model the interplay between clouds and aerosol particles.

«These experiments will enable us to further test and refine the underlying processes in the CORPSE model and should lead to improved predictions of the role of plant - soil interactions in global climate change,» Sulman said.

A U.S. Forest Service (USFS) study found that between 53 and 97 percent of natural trout populations in the Southern Appalachian region of the U.S. could disappear due to warmer temperatures predicted by global climate change models.

The model explicitly accounts for the effects of temperature and soil moisture changes (positive and negative) on global and regional wheat production fluctuations.

The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the oceans.

The calculations are in line with estimates from most climate models, proving that these models do a good job of estimating past climatic conditions and, very likely, future conditions in an era of climate change and global warming.

The models can be incorporated into global or regional models for studying climate change, visibility and air quality.

These models currently predict that as a result of today's global climate change, Antarctica will warm twice as much as the rest of the planet, though it won't reach its peak for a couple of hundred years.

Hertel and doctoral student Uris Baldos developed a combination of economic models — one that captures the main drivers of crop supply and demand and another that assesses food security based on caloric consumption — to predict how global food security from 2006 to 2050 could be affected by changes in population, income, bioenergy, agricultural productivity and climate.

The recent slowdown in global warming has brought into question the reliability of climate model projections of future temperature change and has led to a vigorous debate over whether this slowdown is the result of naturally occurring, internal variability or forcing external to Earth's climate system.

Scientists at The Scripps Research Institute (TSRI) have identified a molecule in the brain that triggers schizophrenia - like behaviors, brain changes and global gene expression in an animal model.

The models show that climate change is a less influential driver of global food security than income, population and productivity — but it could still pose a significant risk to the nutrition levels of people living in the world's poorest regions, Baldos said.

Climate models, it says, «can neither confirm that global warming is occurring now, or predict future climate changes», and yet «have been used to frame the debate».

Here, we review the likelihood of continued changes in terrestrial climate, including analyses of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project global climate model enseModel Intercomparison Project global climate model ensemodel ensemble.

Enkelmann's model suggests that global climate shifts triggered a change in the rheology — the way material behaves.

The impact of these results is wide - reaching, and Dr Pullen suggests that it may even change how we think about global climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.»

Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.

By understanding how these fishes evolved, by understanding how we got from the past to the present, we can create a model for predicting what's going to happen as global climates change, as deforestation continues, and all of these aquatic habitats change.

«We see a similar trend in computer models of the global atmosphere when they simulate the last century using the historical changes of greenhouse gases.

MODIS tracks features of the land, oceans and atmosphere that can help develop models that predict global changes.