Not exact matches
The model has already been integrated into the next generation of the
global land model
used for
climate simulations by the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, a major national
climate modeling center.
Because ocean currents play a major role in transporting the planet's heat and carbon, the ECCO
simulations are being
used to understand the ocean's influence on
global climate and the melting of ice in polar regions.
Model
simulations of 20th century
global warming typically
use actual observed amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide, together with other human (for example chloroflorocarbons or CFCs) and natural (solar brightness variations, volcanic eruptions,...)
climate - forcing factors.
After the field campaign, Fast will perform computer
simulations to help evaluate all of the field campaign data and quantify the uncertainties associated with
using coarse grid
global climate models to study megacity emissions and to determine the radiative impact of the Mexico City particulates on the local and regional
climate.
Using thus 10 different
climate models and over 10,000
simulations for the weather@home experiments alone, they find that breaking the previous record for maximum mean October temperatures in Australia is at least six times more likely due to
global warming.
Scientists are
using airborne observations of atmospheric trace gases, aerosols, and cloud properties from the North Slopes of Alaska to improve their understanding of
global climate, with the goal of reducing the uncertainty in
global and regional
climate simulations and projections.
M2009
use a simplified carbon cycle and
climate model to make a large ensemble of
simulations in which principal uncertainties in the carbon cycle, radiative forcings, and
climate response are allowed to vary, thus yielding a probability distribution for
global warming as a function of time throughout the 21st century.
It is a permanent part of the German Max Planck Instituut's
climate system model, which is
used for
global climate change
simulations in the IPCC reports and elsewhere.
Working with Tom Chase, a colleague at the institute, the researchers were comparing
climate simulations from the Community Land Model — part of a select group of global models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 2007 climate change report — against observ
climate simulations from the Community Land Model — part of a select group of
global models
used in the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change's 2007 climate change report — against observ
Climate Change's 2007
climate change report — against observ
climate change report — against observations.
Complex systems are studied
using information theory and computer
simulation models (e.g.
global climate models.)
With error bars provided, we can
use the PIOMAS ice volume time series as a proxy record for reality and compare it against sea - ice
simulations in
global climate models.
The authors compared recently constructed temperature data sets from Antarctica, based on data from ice cores and ground weather stations, to 20th century
simulations from computer models
used by scientists to simulate
global climate.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant
use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both
climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate model
simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and
global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
But the main concern I have is that models and
simulations on the
global climate are
used as facts instead
used as guidelines for further research.
Due to the important role of ozone in driving temperature changes in the stratosphere as well as radiative forcing of surface
climate, several different groups have provided databases characterizing the time - varying concentrations of this key gas that can be
used to force
global climate change
simulations (particularly for those models that do not calculate ozone from photochemical principles).
Jerry's research team has developed and
uses a
simulation model, the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM), to consider the impacts of various aspects of
global change —
climate, chemistry of the atmosphere and precipitation, land cover and land
use — on the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems across the globe.
A recent meta - analysis published in the journal Nature
Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on crop
Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model
simulations, run
using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on crop
climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of
climate change and adaptation on crop
climate change and adaptation on crop yield.
Forest 2006, along with several other
climate sensitivity studies,
used simulations by the MIT 2D model of zonal surface and upper - air temperatures and
global deep - ocean temperature, the upper - air data being least influential.
Using a detailed computer
simulation of
global economic activity and
climate processes, they ran the model 400 times with possible tweaks.
As shown in Figure 2, the IPCC FAR ran
simulations using models with
climate sensitivities (the total amount of
global surface warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2, including amplifying and dampening feedbacks) correspoding to 1.5 °C (low), 2.5 °C (best), and 4.5 °C (high).
In other words, these are 3D
global simulations from which globally averaged TOA fluxes and temperatures are determined, which are then
used to determine the
climate sensitivity.
The question that is addressed in my post is, with respect to multi-decadal model
simulations, are
global and / or regional
climate models ready to be
used for skillful regional projections by the impacts and policymaker communities?
TAR and AR4 combined
uses transient
simulation (37), transient
climate sensitivity (5), transient sensitivity (2), and transient
global climate sensitivity (1).
FORTRAN source code and documentation for the 1980s version of the GISS
global climate model,
used in the original NASA GISS
global warming
simulations described in Hansen et al. (1988).
Van Haren et al (2012) also nicely illustrate the dependence of regional skill on lateral boundary conditions:
simulations of (historic) precipitation trends for Europe failed to match the observed trends when lateral boundary conditions were provided from an ensemble of CMIP3
global climate model
simulations, while a much better correspondence with observations was obtained when reanalyses were
used as boundary condition.
Trends in
climate variables and their interrelationships over China are examined
using a combination of observations and
global climate model
simulations to elucidate the mechanism for producing an observed 1 °C increase in surface temperature despite a significant decrease in surface insolation from 1950 to 2000.
We
use global climate model
simulations to estimate the distribution of ecologically - relevant
climate changes resulting from forest loss in two hotspot regions: western North America (wNA), which is experiencing accelerated dieoff, and the Amazon basin, which is subject to high rates of deforestation.
Global mean temperatures from
climate model
simulations are typically calculated
using surface air temperatures, while the corresponding observations are based on a blend of air and sea surface temperatures.
(07/08/2013) Warmer ocean temperatures will increase the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones, typhoons and hurricanes in «most locations» this century, concludes a new study based on
simulations using six
global climate models.
Metzger et al. (NRL Stennis Space Center), 5.0 (3.4 - 6.0), Modeling The
Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) 3.1 was run in forecast mode without data assimilation, initialized with July 1, 2015 ice / ocean analyses, for ten
simulations using National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) atmospheric forcing fields from 2005 - 2014.
Coupled
simulations,
using six different models to determine the ocean biological response to
climate warming between the beginning of the industrial revolution and 2050 (Sarmiento et al., 2004), showed
global increases in primary production of 0.7 to 8.1 %, but with large regional differences, which are described in Chapter 4.
Top: The change in annual temperature projected for the late 21st century
using simulations from 27
global climate models.
«To assess the models» cloud feedback and
climate sensitivity, we follow the Cess approach by conducting a pair of present - day and
global warming
simulations for each model
using prescribed SSTs and greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations (Cess et al. 1990).
M2009
use a simplified carbon cycle and
climate model to make a large ensemble of
simulations in which principal uncertainties in the carbon cycle, radiative forcings, and
climate response are allowed to vary, thus yielding a probability distribution for
global warming as a function of time throughout the 21st century.
The red line shows
climate model
simulations of
global surface temperature change produced
using the sum of the impacts on temperature from natural (b, c, d) and anthropogenic factors (e).
Climate Sim force of nature Beth Sawin (in the picture to the left) recently wrote a really lovely blog post about our team's effort to address climate change and global ecological limits through the use of simulations that are embedded in effective conversations about
Climate Sim force of nature Beth Sawin (in the picture to the left) recently wrote a really lovely blog post about our team's effort to address
climate change and global ecological limits through the use of simulations that are embedded in effective conversations about
climate change and
global ecological limits through the
use of
simulations that are embedded in effective conversations about action.
The IPCC FAR ran
simulations using models with
climate sensitivities (the total amount of
global surface warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2, including amplifying and dampening feedbacks) of 1.5 °C (low), 2.5 °C (best), and 4.5 °C (high) for doubled CO2 (Figure 1).
NRL - ocn - ice, 5.2 (4.3 - 6.0), Modeling (ice - ocean) The
Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) 3.1 was run in forecast mode without data assimilation, initialized with June 1, 2016 ice / ocean analyses, for ten
simulations using National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) atmospheric forcing fields from 2005 - 2014.
A new paper [1] published this month in Environmental Research Letters revisits the assessment
using more station data, an additional monthly event definition, a second
global climate model and regional model
simulations of winter 2015/16.
«Our
climate simulations,
using a simplified three - dimensional
climate model to solve the fundamental equations for conservation of water, atmospheric mass, energy, momentum and the ideal gas law, but stripped to basic radiative, convective and dynamical processes, finds upturns in
climate sensitivity at the same forcings as found with a more complex
global climate model»
The hypothesis and the computer model
simulation used to predict
global climate has consistently failed.
The weather prediction model
used in this research is advantageous because it assesses details about future
climate at a smaller geographic scale than
global models, providing reliable
simulations not only on the amounts of summer precipitation, but also on its frequency and timing.
The criticism mainly focused on the conceptual
use of untested methods of CDR to keep
global warming below 2C above pre-industrial levels in model
simulations, the potential risks of deploying CDR technologies at scale, and the role of science in
climate policy negotiations.
The main outcomes of the ACCLIM project included; (i) return periods of extreme weather events based on observations at twelve weather stations, (ii)
climate scenarios and probabilistic estimates of changes in
climate over Finland based on an analysis of
global and regional
climate model
simulations, (iii) guidance in the
use of
climate information in
climate change impacts and adaptation research.
Our
climate simulations,
using a simplified three - dimensional
climate model to solve the fundamental equations for conservation of water, atmospheric mass, energy, momentum and the ideal gas law, but stripped to basic radiative, convective and dynamical processes, finds upturns in
climate sensitivity at the same forcings as found with a more complex
global climate model [66].
The promise is that In a few more decades it will become possible to
use such
global [superparameterizations] to perform century - scale
climate simulations, relevant to such problems as anthropogenic
climate change.
Climate change and
global warming scientists seeking grants for continuing research
use computer model
simulations to fabricate justify why they need more budget monies from the government - it is a constant doomsday whining that inflicts (and impacts) the entire science community.
Together, it is our goal to provide the best description of the middle Pliocene
global warming,
using perspectives from marine and terrestrial data as well as
climate model
simulations.
Using global climate model
simulations that replicated the ocean basins and landmasses of this period, it appears that changes in ocean circulation due to warming played a key role.
We
use a suite of
global climate model
simulations for the 20th Century to assess the contribution of solar forcing to the past trends in the
global mean temperature.