6) The main cloud bands move more poleward to regions where solar insolation is less intense and total global albedo declines via a reduction in
global cloud cover due to shorter lines of air mass mixing.
Not exact matches
If the climate sensitivity is low, for example
due to increasing low - lying
cloud cover reflecting more sunlight as a response to
global warming, then how can these large past climate changes be explained?
For instance, increasing
cloud cover due to
global warming may change the albedo, but this would be a feedback to a larger warming effect, rather than a cooling.
That was
due to increased
global moisture content, decreased
global average
cloud cover and decreased sea ice extent at high latitudes.
Re 9 wili — I know of a paper suggesting, as I recall, that enhanced «backradiation» (downward radiation reaching the surface emitted by the air /
clouds) contributed more to Arctic amplification specifically in the cold part of the year (just to be clear, backradiation should generally increase with any warming (aside from greenhouse feedbacks) and more so with a warming
due to an increase in the greenhouse effect (including feedbacks like water vapor and, if positive,
clouds, though regional changes in water vapor and
clouds can go against the
global trend); otherwise it was always my understanding that the albedo feedback was key (while sea ice decreases so far have been more a summer phenomenon (when it would be warmer to begin with), the heat capacity of the sea prevents much temperature response, but there is a greater build up of heat from the albedo feedback, and this is released in the cold part of the year when ice forms later or would have formed or would have been thicker; the seasonal effect of reduced winter snow
cover decreasing at those latitudes which still recieve sunlight in the winter would not be so delayed).
Svensmark had the nerve to hypothesize that most of the
global warming of the 20th Century can be explained by the reduction in cosmic rays
due to livelier solar activity, resulting in less low
cloud cover and warmer surface temperatures.
As Roy Spencer points out, it doesn't take much of a change in
cloud cover to account for
global warming
due to increased insolation * at the ocean surface *.
, plus the need for Dr Phil Jones to bravely «hide the decline» in the tree ring data (
due to the fact tree ring growth is slowed by increased
cloud cover /
global dimming).
In short, the «skeptic» hypothesis that changes in
cloud cover due to internal variability are driving
global warming does not hold up when compared to the observational data.
It is logical to presume that changes in Earth's albedo are
due to increases and decreases in low
cloud cover, which in turn is related to the climate change that we have observed during the 20th Century, including the present
global cooling.