«A general update due to subsequent developments (especially the current 2 year
global cooling trend and a quieter sun with cooling oceans after an 8 year temperature plateau which tends to show that my point about solar and oceanic influences on global temperatures has some merit)» - Stephen Wild...
One thing is certain, based on past climate history and solar history, if in fact the suns magnetic activity slows, or collapses and we enter a prolonged period of little or no sunspot activity, we'll see
a global cooling trend.
This is also a period of cooler Pacific temperatures and
a global cooling trend.
1974: Fortune Magazine: «Climatologists now blame those recurring droughts and floods on
a global cooling trend»
I think it is time for a general update due to subsequent developments (especially the current 2 year
global cooling trend and a quieter sun with cooling oceans after an 8 year temperature plateau which tends to show that my point about solar and oceanic influences on global temperatures has some merit) and the fact that I can make the essential points more simply by condensing them into a series of bullet points as follows:
AN INCONVENIENT TRUTH... the official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight
global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.
The year 2007 marked the fifth year of
the global cooling trend that started in 2002 which is still continuing today and is expected to continue for at least the next two decades until the end of solar cycle 25.
Several years ago, the satellite - derived temperatures showed
a global cooling trend.
«Modern science», meaning Man made global warming is attacked because it calls
a global cooling trend an accelerated warming (IPCC AR4).
«Suppose... future measurements in the years 2005 - 2015 show a clear and distinct
global cooling trend.
I like to ask the climate change wackos this question: In the hypothetical event that
a global cooling trend emerged (and likely much worse for humans than warming), would you advocate for MORE fossil fuel use?
important global breadbasket continues - if the latest 15 - year
global cooling trend persists, crop yields will suffer immensely
«the global warming that has occurred since the end of the nineteenth century reversed a persistent long - term
global cooling trend.
A new analysis by James Hansen et al. concludes: «The bottom line is this: there is
no global cooling trend.»
kadaka: «First off, I would have to find validity in CO2 being a miraculous green house gas that could provide the extra insulating properties to retain the heat needed to offset such
a global cooling trend.»
Eventually all of the stored heat is given back to the atmosphere when the climate changes and swings back to
a global cooling trend.
First off, I would have to find validity in CO2 being a miraculous greenhouse gas that could provide the extra insulating properties to retain the heat needed to offset such
a global cooling trend.
What about the peer reviewed scientists showing
a global cooling trend that has already started?
And that could be a small positive feedback for our current short - term
global cooling trend.
Between 1945 and 1975, there was
a global cooling trend.
If you have a peer - reviewed paper authored by scientists who are involved in the collection of said temperature records and which describes
this global cooling trend, I'd like to see it.
The only way the models can be wrong (in direction) is if they have grossly underestimated natural variability, and
a global cooling trend is established in the long term observations.
First, stratospheric T 100 - 50 hPa has
a global cooling trend for past 50 years (see Sterin thereafter for example), but how could we explain that if TSI has no change at all, particularly since 1980 (PMOD composite)?
My prediction is the current
global cooling trend will reverse around mid-2008 when La Niña subsides.
He and other early climate researchers say they did not predict
a global cooling trend but simply suggested the possibility.
It appears the past millennia Holocene cooling trends in the Antarctic are approximately half way between the 11,000 - year Holocene plateau trend and approaching
global cooling trends of the past four interglacial cycles.
(Updated my code BTW,
global cooling trends added)
Well, the real world climate reality is then discovered: global warming has stalled and
global cooling trends are appearing (see the UK and the US), confirmed by the scientific empirical evidence.
As has been well documented, global warming has gone AWOL and in some regions of the world,
global cooling trends have materialized, which scientists across the world are starting to express concern with.
Not exact matches
But hurricanes are also influenced and steered by massive
global trends in weather that are hard to predict: The warming or
cooling of waters in the Pacific (El Niño and La Niña) and patterns like the Madden - Julian oscillation (an eastward - moving weather system that circles the globe every month or so and makes thunderstorms more likely) all play a role.
We notice a short stretch of
cool days and ignore the long - term
global - warming
trend.
Global warming, not
cooling, was the real
trend.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new
global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term
trend and may be explained by the oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the
cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
«Paleoclimate researchers find connection between carbon cycles, climate
trends: Carbon cycling research can help scientists predict
global warming and
cooling trends.»
«Climate is not a simple science; many small factors determine what exactly leads to
global warming and
cooling trends,» MacLeod said.
Robust
global ocean
cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era.
In the last 35 years of
global warming, the sun has shown a slight
cooling trend.
«
Global temps have flat lined since 2001... This is nothing like anything we've seen since 1950...
Cooling trend could last for up to 30 years» — June 22, 2009
Over the period 1984 — 2006 the
global changes are 0.28 °C in SST and − 9.1 W m − 2 in Q, giving an effective air — sea coupling coefficient of − 32 W m − 2 °C − 1... [D] iminished ocean
cooling due to vertical ocean processes played an important role in sustaining the observed positive
trend in
global SST from 1984 through 2006, despite the decrease in
global surface heat flux.
...» Could go into hiding for decades» study finds — Discovery.com — March 2, 2009 — And See: «
Global temps have flat lined since 2001... This is nothing like anything we've seen since 1950...
Cooling trend could last for up to 30 years» — June 22, 2009)
This NASA analysis highlights that the recent lull in surface temperatures is simply the result of natural variability superimposed upon the
global warming
trend - the
cool phase of a
cool / warm oscillation.
Maureen Raymo, William Ruddiman and others propose that the Tibetan and Colorado Plateaus are immense CO2 «scrubbers» with a capacity to remove enough CO2 from the
global atmosphere to be a significant causal factor of the 40 million year Cenozoic
Cooling trend.
In spite of these facts, skeptics simply keep changing their dates for «
Global Cooling», constantly confusing short - term noise and long - term
trends (Figure 4).
This animation shows how the same temperature data (green) that is used to determine the long - term
global surface air warming
trend of 0.16 °C per decade (red) can be used inappropriately to «cherrypick» short time periods that show a
cooling trend simply because the endpoints are carefully chosen and the
trend is dominated by short - term noise in the data (blue steps).
Those predictions clearly suggest an annual
global temperature record in 2016 and a (relative)
cooling in 2017, all while the long - term upward
trends continue.
That left the El Chichon and Pinatubo volcanic eruptions in 1982 and 1991 as the remaining major natural perturbations to the climate
trend, although that had as much to do with the timing of the eruptions as it did with the
cooling caused by the nearly
global distribution of volcanic ash in the upper atmosphere.
The main point is that just as surface temperatures has experienced periods of short term
cooling during long term
global warming, similarly the ocean shows short term variability during a long term warming
trend.
INDEPENDENT & FOREIGN FILMS
Cool It (PG for mature themes) Eco-documentary chronicling the efforts of skeptical, Danish environmentalist Bjorn Lomborg to debunk the prevailing conclusion of leading scientists that
global warming
trends are man - made.
Back in the 70's, as I'm sure you know, there was a similar panic over «
global cooling,» thanks to a roughly 40 year
trend in the opposite direction.
The stifling of the warming
trend is generally attributed to a counteracting
cooling effect caused by
global dimming, an inference that has since been supported by data collected by Ramanathan and others from a number of field campaigns.