Another spike in
global dairy commodity prices should mean a bit more cream on this season's Fonterra payout and a positive payout start to the new season, but the record prices will likely run out of road after mid-year, economists suggest.
Michael Harvey, a senior analyst (dairy) with Rabobank, said he was optimistic for the Australian industry after
global dairy commodity prices started to firm from the middle of 2016.
«Whilst in recent weeks we have seen some recovery in the market, unfortunately, the overall
global dairy commodity markets remain weaker than last year, which continues to impact on our returns.
«The increase reflects the recovery in
global dairy commodity markets, combined with the continuing strong performance of Arla's global brands, and the benefits from a series of efficiency improvements instigated in the first half of the year coming through.
The company said it represented strong performance in the context of low
global dairy commodity prices, significant increase in global dairy production and continuing sanctions in Russia affecting global supply and demand.
In the past 12 months, the price of
global dairy commodities has tumbled 45 per cent, compared with Murray Goulburn's cut to the farm gate price of as much as 15 per cent.
The push into more branded consumer products comes after the price of
global dairy commodities has more than halved in the past two years.
Not exact matches
«The continued expansion of world demand, resulting from
global population and economic growth and increasing preference for
dairy products are expected to be the main drivers, fuelling EU exports and sustaining
commodity prices,» said the EC report.
But the New Zealand
dairy giant's chief executive Theo Spierings, said this was too high and did not reflect a collapse of
global prices for key
dairy commodities.
He said this was because the co-operative was shifting away from producing
commodity products, which now account for about 30 per cent of its total production, and had not sold anything on the
Global Dairy Trade auction since 2013.
But he warned that could slide to $ 5.60 - $ 5.90 a kilogram if
global prices for key
dairy commodities did not improve as expected.
Some pressure is still expected to build on
global commodity prices in this year's second quarter, in line with the northern hemisphere milk peak, Rabobank's latest
dairy quarterly says.
Dairy farmers are urging Ireland's leading milk processors to raise their September milk price to reflect EU
global commodity trends.
Dairy products are New Zealand's largest commodity export and lower global prices are putting pressure on the nation's dairy farmers, weighing on the outlook for economic growth and putting dairy sector debt on the Reserve Bank's radar as a growing risk to financial stabi
Dairy products are New Zealand's largest
commodity export and lower
global prices are putting pressure on the nation's
dairy farmers, weighing on the outlook for economic growth and putting dairy sector debt on the Reserve Bank's radar as a growing risk to financial stabi
dairy farmers, weighing on the outlook for economic growth and putting
dairy sector debt on the Reserve Bank's radar as a growing risk to financial stabi
dairy sector debt on the Reserve Bank's radar as a growing risk to financial stability.
Dairy commodity prices rose today the third time running on the
Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction platform.
Commodity prices on the
Global Dairy Trade (GDT) platform rose 9.9 % yesterday - the fourth increase in a row.
Topics include: * WMP —
Global Dairy Currency * Butterfat and Skim — Storable
Commodities * Who, What, Where
Dairy commodity prices fell 7.9 % at the latest
Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction - the third decrease in average prices on the platform in a row.
The majority of internationally traded
commodity dairy products traded in the latest Fonterra Global Dairy Trade auction event sold for higher prices, arresting a series of price slides dating back to Decemb
dairy products traded in the latest Fonterra
Global Dairy Trade auction event sold for higher prices, arresting a series of price slides dating back to Decemb
Dairy Trade auction event sold for higher prices, arresting a series of price slides dating back to December 6.
Bell Potter notes Bega has been the beneficiary of favourable
dairy commodity pricing and a consolidating sector, but has now «closed its discount on
global peers».
The Victorian co-operative's managing director, Gary Helou, said strong
global demand for
dairy commodities had helped drive a $ 207 million rise in half - year revenue to $ 1.24 billion.
Global dairy prices leapt up in January rising more than any other group of food
commodities in the monthly Food Price Index, published by the UN food agency.
Fonterra chairman John Wilson says there is less
global demand for
commodities, including
dairy.
The
Global Dairy Trade (GDT) Price Index, a weighted average of percentage changes in dairy commodity prices on the Fonterra owned platform, has risen 42.2 % over the last three auct
Dairy Trade (GDT) Price Index, a weighted average of percentage changes in
dairy commodity prices on the Fonterra owned platform, has risen 42.2 % over the last three auct
dairy commodity prices on the Fonterra owned platform, has risen 42.2 % over the last three auctions.
Stronger international prices of cereals and
dairy drove
global food
commodity prices up in March, marketing the second month of a consecutive increase, according to the latest data from the UN's Food Agriculture Organization (FAO).