If the global recovery were to fall short of current expectations, prospects for the Australian economy would be adversely affected and
global deflationary forces could gain momentum.
The second fallacy claimed by Soros - that China's slowdown will worsen
global deflationary pressures - is also groundless.
Duy: On the one hand, there is
this global deflationary force, which could be exacerbated by a slowdown in China.
As of this writing the RMB has depreciated by too small an amount to matter much, but assuming that it had depreciated by a lot more, would this add to
global deflationary pressures?
Lakos - Bujas said he and his team view «normalizing inflation and declining
global deflationary risks as a positive for equities at this stage of the cycle, and believe there has been some overreaction to inflation headlines lately.»
Not exact matches
Arguably more concerning is the fact that these dropping oil prices indicate a slowing
global economy, and that we are potentially already in a
deflationary spiral and admit no wit or wisdom to get out.
So there is no appetite for disinflationary pressure in today's
global environment, whereas two decades ago the
deflationary pressures that Japan might have unleashed were welcome.
But economists worry that the commodity mess reflects a weakening
global economy, lowering the value of trade worldwide and perhaps even pushing some countries into the same kind of
deflationary spiral that has hampered the Japanese economy for decades.
See sustainable and functioning economies with minimal disruptions, rather see a
global economy with some green shoots, but weighty asset values globally, and generally, near
deflationary conditions despite, 9 years after the GFC began, a period of what I would describe as sub-par, when there has been a continued rise of
global debt, in some paces as China, great verticality in such.
I noted that the Italian BOND FUTURES Monday were trading above the June 27 close when ECB President Mario Draghi roiled
global credit markets with his Sintra, Portugal speech, which suggested that the removal of a
deflationary scare would allow the ECB to begin tapering its QE program.
Today's excessive money printing — whether to gain a trade advantage or to prevent a
deflationary collapse — will end in the cataclysmic collapse of today's fiat currencies and the consequent disarray of
global markets and sovereign states.
In addition to near zero interest rates, central banks created excessive amounts of money by issuing trillions of dollars of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts of newly created money into
global markets to contain the growing
deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain deflation, the excessive liquidity is now circulating in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edema.
The coming
deflationary depression will involve not just the collapse of capital markets but, in addition, a cataclysmic currency crisis caused by the
global destabilization of money.
If so, this will transmit an a further
deflationary shock through the
global system, catching the West sleeping with its defences against deflation already run down.
Investors started off 2015 with a slow
global economy, low oil prices, a strong Dollar, and a
deflationary Europe with great uncertainties on the progress of the US economy and the recent launch of Europe's quantitative easing.
He explains why he and his team think
deflationary fears are misguided and why they believe a resurgent US economy is a key to
global growth.
From early May to mid June, domestic bond yields followed
global yields lower on concerns about potential
deflationary pressures in the US and related expectations of easier monetary policy abroad and in Australia.
They write, «a deleveraging in the developed world would correct
global imbalances in a
deflationary way.
Today, however,
global economic growth is moderate,
deflationary pressures persist and most major central banks are explicitly easing policy.
Chinese growth continues to slow, keeping pressure on commodity prices and sending
deflationary impulses throughout the
global economy.
That trend towards higher inflation expectations continued into U.S. inflation expectations, indicating that the ECB QE announcement, and coincident with tentative signs of stabilization of oil prices, may mark the low point of
deflationary fears driving
global interest rates to new lows.
Today, however,
global economic growth is moderate,
deflationary pressures persist and most major central banks are explicitly easing policy.
Chinese growth continues to slow, keeping pressure on commodity prices and sending
deflationary impulses throughout the
global economy.
With much of the
global economy struggling under the weight of massive debt loads and unfavorable demographic trends, it's an open question whether the next few years will involve higher interest rates — as most experts have expected, and continue to expect — or whether these
deflationary forces will keep interest rates low for a while longer.
A: Multiple years of unorthodox central bank policy has anesthetized the
global economy, supporting only anemic growth and persistent
deflationary concerns.
Anyway, if such unprecedented monetary stimulus was absolutely necessary to reflate the
global economy (as every government / central bank has insisted), how exactly would they argue a withdrawal of this stimulus wouldn't have an equal & opposite
deflationary impact?!
The slowing
global economic growth and
deflationary forces are driving overall demand for debt.
Dalio created the term D - process to describe the
deflationary process of deleveraging brought on by the collapse of the
global debt bubble.
Conversely, the
deflationary cost of renewable energy grows more and more evident, and the crossover point is now within sight in an increasing number of
global markets (India, China, Chile, Brazil, the U.S.).