The most recent
global estimate shows an increase in precipitable water during the period 1973 - 1990, with the largest trends in the tropics, where increases as large as 13 % per decade were found.
Not exact matches
All told,
global gross domestic product (GDP) is on track to increase an
estimated 3.8 % next year, the strongest
showing since 2011, and a few ticks higher than the long - term average of 3.5 %.
The US oil - rig count plateaued near the highest level in three years and
showed signs of declining in late March (to 797), though it still stood 50 rigs above the year - end 2017 total.2 This contributed to expectations for a further increase in American crude production, which has topped 10 mb / d each week since early February, when WTI prices began to recede from their intra-quarterly high of US$ 66.14 a barrel.3 The amount of crude in US storage occasionally exceeded weekly
estimates given the higher domestic output and fluctuating net import figures, reigniting fears that US production may thwart OPEC's efforts to clear
global oversupply.
«Avengers: Infinity War» took in $ 630 million in its first weekend, the highest
global opening of all time, industry
estimates showed on Sunday.
Skinny Vine builds on the success of other low - calorie brands such as the Skinnygirl ready - to - drink range of cocktails, created in 2009 by TV reality
show queen Bethenny Frankel and later sold to spirits company Beam
Global for an
estimated $ US64 million.
IPCC
estimates, using the best and longest record available,
show that the difference between the 1986 - 2005
global average temperature value used in most of the Panel's projections, and pre-industrial
global average temperature, is 0.61 °C (0.55 - 0.67).
Finally, an
estimate of the burden of alcohol - attributable breast cancer incidence and mortality by means of a Population - Attributable Fraction methodology (using data on alcohol consumption from the
Global Information System on Alcohol and Health, and data on cancer incidence and mortality from the GLOBOCAN database)
showed that an
estimated 144,000 breast - cancer cases and 38,000 breast - cancer deaths globally in 2012 were attributable to alcohol, with 18.8 % of these cases and 17.5 % of these deaths affecting women who were light drinkers.
New research
shows projected changes in the winds circling the Antarctic may accelerate
global sea level rise significantly more than previously
estimated.
In the new paper, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, Höglund - Isaksson
estimated global methane emissions from oil and gas systems in over 100 countries over a 32 - year period, using a variety of country - specific data ranging from reported volumes of associated gas to satellite imagery that can
show flaring, as well as atmospheric measurements of ethane, a gas which is released along with methane and easier to link more directly to oil and gas activities.
Global methane and ethane emissions from oil production from 1980 to 2012 were far higher than previous
estimates show, according to a new study which for the first time takes into account different production management systems and geological conditions around the world.
Normally, radiocarbon dates have error ranges of several centuries, but the researchers could improve the
estimates because the smallest sharks measured
showed the «bomb pulse» — a huge increase in
global radiocarbon released from the hundreds of nuclear weapons tested in the 1950s and»60s.
Over the years, her team has
shown that it's responsible for 5 % of
global photosynthesis and depends on an
estimated 80,000 genes distributed among hundreds of strains to thrive in nutrient - poor waters ranging from the sea surface to 200 meters down.
Their analysis
showed that the
global MMR fell from approximately 385 deaths per 100,000 in 1990, to 216 in 2015, corresponding to a relative decline of 44 %, with an
estimated 303,000 maternal deaths worldwide in 2015.
The time evolution of the Northern Hemisphere mean for the two data sets is
shown in the lower panel,
showing a good agreement over most of the record, but with slightly higher GISTEMP
estimates over the last 10 years (the
global mean was not
shown because my computer didn't have sufficient memory for the complete analysis, but the two data sets also
show similar evolution in e.g. the IPCC AR4).
Influenza remains a major health problem in the United States, resulting each year in an
estimated 36,000 deaths and 200,000 hospitalizations.4 Those who have been
shown to be at high risk for the complications of influenza infection are children 6 to 23 months of age; healthy persons 65 years of age or older; adults and children with chronic diseases, including asthma, heart and lung disease, and diabetes; residents of nursing homes and other long - term care facilities; and pregnant women.4 It is for this reason that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has recommended that these groups, together with health care workers and others with direct patient - care responsibilities, should be given priority for influenza vaccination this season in the face of the current shortage.1 Other high - priority groups include children and teenagers 6 months to 18 years of age whose underlying medical condition requires the daily use of aspirin and household members and out - of - home caregivers of infants less than 6 months old.1 Hence, in the case of vaccine shortages resulting either from the unanticipated loss of expected supplies or from the emergence of greater - than - expected
global influenza activity — such as pandemic influenza, which would prompt a greater demand for vaccination5 — the capability of extending existing vaccine supplies by using alternative routes of vaccination that would require smaller doses could have important public health implications.
He says that «all five
global temperature
estimates presently
show stagnation, at least since 2002.
As
shown later in this paper, the
global warming potential of the annual emissions of CH4 from Amazonian wetlands is equivalent to about 30â $ «40 % of the
estimated annual accumulation of C in woody biomass of mature Amazonian forests.»
Global estimates for 2020
show a projected 400 to 600 additional gigawatts of PV capacity as the costs of PV energy are expected to drop by almost 10 percent per year.
Global mean temperatures averaged over land and ocean surfaces, from three different
estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty
estimates over the period 1901 to 2005 and
show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
Since the mid 1970's,
global estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes
show an upward trend strongly correlated with increasing tropical sea - surface temperature.
Just behind «Solo: A Star Wars Story» in second place:
Global Road's «
Show Dogs,» which saw 1,205 national ad airings across 29 networks, with an
estimated media value of $ 3.88 million.
The movie earned a mighty $ 169 million for an
estimated global bow of $ 404 million through Monday, including a hefty $ 35 million from Imax locations around the world, the top
showing ever for Marvel title.
Note: When you are adjusting a
global bid, the preview
shows you an
estimate of your average position.
Making its
global debut at the 2013 Frankfurt Motor
Show, the BMW X5 eDrive concept boasts an
estimated 74.3 mpg rating on the European test cycle.
As
shown in the chart on the left,
global GDP is
estimated to increase from.5 % to 1.4 % from a drop of $ 25 in oil prices.
Our revenue
estimates for the first nine days of Animal Crossing: Pocket Camp's worldwide availability ($ 10 million)
show that the title ranks third behind Fire Emblem Heroes ($ 33 million) and Super Mario Run ($ 24 million) in terms of total player spend for the same period following these titles»
global launches.
The Dvorak Technique has been used for many years at all
global tropical cyclone forecast centers and has been
shown in many cases to yield a good
estimate of maximum TC wind speed, when applied properly (Knaff et al., 2010).
From Karina (2014 Ocean Sciences p 547): «Our findings
show that the area around the Tropical Asian Archipelago (TAA) is important to closing the
global sea level budget on interannual to decadal timescales, pointing out that the steric
estimate from Argo is biased low, as the current mapping methods are insufficient to recover the steric signal in the TAA region.»
The time evolution of the Northern Hemisphere mean for the two data sets is
shown in the lower panel,
showing a good agreement over most of the record, but with slightly higher GISTEMP
estimates over the last 10 years (the
global mean was not
shown because my computer didn't have sufficient memory for the complete analysis, but the two data sets also
show similar evolution in e.g. the IPCC AR4).
We
show that observed
global warming is consistent with knowledge of changing climate forcings, Earth's measured energy imbalance, and the canon - ical
estimate of climate sensitivity, i.e., about 3 ◦ C
global warming for doubled atmospheric CO2.
The same holds for the specific
global mean EIV temperature reconstruction used in the present study as
shown in the graph below (interestingly, eliminating the proxies in question actually makes the reconstruction overall slightly cooler prior to AD 1000, which — as noted in the article — would actually bring the semi-empirical sea level
estimate into closer agreement with the sea level reconstruction prior to AD 1000).
Re «
Estimates of the drivers of
global temperature change in the ice ages
show that the changes in greenhouse gases (CO2, methane and nitrous oxide) made up about a third of the effect, amplifying the ice sheet changes by about 50 % (Köhler et al, 2010).»
The work is an
estimate of the
global average based on a single - column, time - average model of the atmosphere and surface (with some approximations — e.g. the surface is not truly a perfect blackbody in the LW (long - wave) portion of the spectrum (the wavelengths dominated by terrestrial / atmospheric emission, as opposed to SW radiation, dominated by solar radiation), but it can give you a pretty good idea of things (fig 1
shows a spectrum of radiation to space); there is also some comparison to actual measurements.
The author
shows this lack with his statement «For which, by the way, there is no natural explanation, and the best
estimate for the anthropogenic share of
global warming since 1950 is 110 percent — more on this in my previous post.»
For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly with
global average temperature change, the upper ranges of sea level rise for SRES scenarios
shown in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m. Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best
estimate or an upper bound for sea level rise.
The HadCRUT4 dataset, compiled from many thousands of temperature measurements taken across the globe, from all continents and all oceans, is used to
estimate global temperature,
shows that 2017 was 0.99 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels, taken as the average over the period 1850 - 1900, and 0.38 ± 0.1 °C above the 1981 - 2010 average.
A new NASA - sponsored study
shows that
global methane emissions produced by livestock are 11 percent higher than
estimates made last decade.
Everyone else who follows the science, yourself included surely, has to accept that climate sensitivity
estimates almost certainly
show CO2 to be the dominant driver of
global temperature over the next 50 years.
About Giessen, I now have a wonderful set of data (and made graphs),
showing why you never should use data from Giessen for «background»,» or «
global» CO2
estimates (historical or not), but I will send them to Ernst Beck first, so that he can comment on them.
As the adjacent chart
shows, the reported 2014 HadCRUT4 (HC4)
global temperature with its
estimated error bars (± 0.1 °C) may have been the warmest, and then again... there are 15 prior years that may have been warmer when considering all the error bar implications.
The right - hand panel
shows ranges of
global average temperature change above pre-industrial, using (i) «best
estimate» climate sensitivity of 3 °C (black line in middle of shaded area), (ii) upper bound of likely range of climate sensitivity of 4.5 °C (red line at top of shaded area)(iii) lower bound of likely range of climate sensitivity of 2 °C (blue line at bottom of shaded area).
Surely, there's got to be some other
global warming indicator that
shows a long - term
global warming trend...» Remarkably, aside from the weather station record
estimates, almost all of the so - called «
global warming indicators» are short - term
estimates...
The NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (NASA GISS) is one of the five groups that currently publish
global temperature trend
estimates from weather station records, i.e., they produce one of the curves we
showed you at the start of this essay in Figure 1.
He says that «all five
global temperature
estimates presently
show stagnation, at least since 2002.
««Removing the annual emissions traced to 90 major carbon producers from the best
estimate full historical forcing case
shows that the combustion of their products from 1880 to 2010 led to a 0.4 (± 0.01) °C increase in [
global mean standard temperature]...» This claim is absolutely bogus.
(By this I mean could one
show a perceptible impact on our planet's future climate at a reasonable cost per degree C
global warming averted a) at an
estimated 2xCO2 climate sensitivity of 3C or b) at a CS of 1C?)
When Julio says, «the best studies and the best
estimates suggest that something on the order of 15 to 20 percent of
global emissions are going to be handled by CCS,» a couple of reports
show up in the background.
2) In addition to
estimates of climate sensitivity, there are other lines of evidence
showing that anthropogenic activity (predominately increased CO2) caused most of the recent
global warming; this provides further credence for the > = 95 % certainty on the attribution point.
The graph for
global glacier mass change
shows the
estimated annual cumulative balance for a set of
global reference glaciers with more than 30 continued observation years for the time - period 1960 - 2017.
The GCP's new
global carbon budget also incorporates updated land - use emission
estimates that significantly revise past land - use change emissions,
showing higher emissions prior to 1960, lower emissions between 1960 and 1999, and higher emissions from 1999 through to present.