Sentences with phrase «global flood risk»

As even the most optimistic warming scenario of 1.5 °C would lead to a doubling of global flood risk, effective adaptation plans must be implemented to keep the flood risk rates at or below current levels, according to the authors.
Climate models suggest that global flood risk will change as the world warms.

Not exact matches

And by flooding the global economy with cheap cash, the Fed's prescription produced a frothy financial climate that encouraged speculative investment and excessive risk - taking.
If global temperatures increase by 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit, as many scientists expect, so - called «hundred - year - floods» could occur every 20 years or so, putting untold numbers of people at risk.
They reported in the January 2010 edition of the journal Geophysical Research Letters that global warming does increase flood risk significantly, and that large floods have occurred more frequently in recent years than in the past.
We quantified changing flood risk due to extreme events using an integrated set of global environmental, geophysical, and social indicators.
The negative impacts of water shortages, flooding and pollution have placed water related risks among the top 5 global threats by the World Economic Forum for several years running.
«Dangerous» global warming includes consequences such as increased risk of extreme weather and climate events ranging from more intense heat waves, hurricanes, and floods, to prolonged droughts.
Background This study confirms that global warming impacts river flood risk in Europe significantly, though it can vary in magnitude from region to region.
Modelling flood risk in Europe — global warming the biggest influence In the framework of the HELIX FP7 Project, scientists analysed the differences in projected changes in flood risk at country scale under global warming scenarios of 1.5, 2 and 3 degrees from pre-industrial levels, and discussed reasons for the observed outcomes.
«Global warming poses substantial flood risk increase for Central and Western Europe.»
The results of this study show that substantial worsening of flood risk can be avoided by limiting the global warming to lower temperature thresholds.
The authors of this new research paper analysed data and models from the USEPA's updated global non-CO2 GHG mitigation assessment to investigate the potential for GHG reductions from agricultural emissions from seven regions globally, offsetting costs against social benefit of GHG mitigation (e.g. human health, flood risk and energy costs).
But the U.K. Met Office (national weather service), the U.S.'s National Center for Atmospheric Research and other partners around the globe aim to change that in the future by developing regular assessments — much like present evaluations of global average temperatures along with building from the U.K. flooding risk modeling efforts — to determine how much a given season's extreme weather could be attributed to human influence.
11/01/2018 - Rainfall changes caused by global warming will increase river flood risks across the globe.
Global warming, hurricanes / flooding, and other factors may increase the mosquito population and thus influence heartworm risk.
Spurred by his diagnosis, Nye goes on the road, exploring denial in surreal conversations with a Florida state legislator who flatly rejects any human contribution to global warming or coastal risks, and a street sampling of tuned - out citizenry, even in flood - prone Miami.
If your goal is to enable the long - time survival of the human race, and to reduce potentially devastating environmental risks to society (drought, floods, famine, heat waves, sea level rise, etc) then focusing on global warming mitigation would make more sense.
Having said that... I remember hearing that analysis of two recent extreme events that affected the UK, [September 2000 floods and 2004 heatwave] shows that these were extreme events an increased risk of which would be consistent with global warming.
With or without global warming, there's a solid argument that improved understanding of planetary dynamics, particularly the climate system, is essential to sustaining human progress given how risks rise as populations expand, build, farm and concentrate in zones that are implicitly vulnerable to hard knocks like floods, droughts, heat and severe storms.
In the course of the last 15 years, governments and authorities the world over have been warned loudly and repeatedly that global warming could be accompanied by a greater risk of severe weather - related events: floods, heatwaves, ice storms, typhoons and droughts.
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«Miami Beach is at such grave risk of sea water flooding today that it should preemptively be declared a disaster zone — not because of global - warming - driven sea level rise but due to a seeming total lack of sensible civil engineering standards and sensible building codes.»
By the late 21st century, climate models project that sea level will rise up to a foot higher than the global average along the northeast US coastline, resulting in a dramatic increase in regional coastal flood risk.
Have you considered that the economic risks of drastic carbon cutting and therefore access to cheap energy for developing economies, not to mention distractions from real and present infrastructure and land - management issues (a very likely factor in the recent Pakistan floods) under the catch - all label of global warming, may in fact represent a blind alley that contributes to a fatality risk for many of the world's poorest people of at least an order of magnitude greater than 1 %?
In fact, just 20 percent of the country consists of polders that are pumped dry, and which are at risk of flooding if global warming causes rising sea levels.
How many floods and droughts will it take to wake people up to the very real and immediate threats and risks associated with global climate disruption?
If the countries make good on their pledges, they will dramatically reduce the emissions scientists link to global warming, but not enough to hold temperatures to levels scientists say are needed to minimize risks of drought, flooding and other catastrophic effects.
«Here we present a multi-step, physically based «probabilistic event attribution» framework showing that it is very likely that global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions substantially increased the risk of flood occurrence in England and Wales in autumn 2000»
Global warming also increases both the risk and intensity of hurricanes — which are dependent on sea surface temperatures — and the hazards of flooding, because global warming is linked to sea levelGlobal warming also increases both the risk and intensity of hurricanes — which are dependent on sea surface temperatures — and the hazards of flooding, because global warming is linked to sea levelglobal warming is linked to sea level rise.
Rainfall changes caused by global warming will increase river flooding risks across the globe by the 2040s, says a new study.
In its latest assessment of the progress of climate change, the body said: «If warming is not kept below two degrees centigrade, which will require the strongest mitigation efforts, and currently looks very unlikely to be achieved, the substantial global impacts will occur, such as species extinctions, and millions of people at risk from drought, hunger, flooding
From shifting weather patterns that threaten food production, to rising sea levels that increase the risk of catastrophic flooding, the impacts of climate change are global in scope and unprecedented in scale.
The study reveals that, with a 4 °C temperature increase globally, countries representing 73 % of the global population would face a 580 % increase in flood risk.
Posted in Advocacy, Capacity Development, CLIMATE SCIENCE, Disaster and Emergency, Disasters and Climate Change, Energy, Flood, Global Warming, Information and Communication, International Agencies, Lessons, News, Opinion, Pakistan, Publication, Resilience, Technologies, Urbanization Comments Off on How to spot a dodgy study in flood of studies Tags: Adaptation to global warming, Disaster Risk Reduction, Flood, Impacts and Indicators, United NGlobal Warming, Information and Communication, International Agencies, Lessons, News, Opinion, Pakistan, Publication, Resilience, Technologies, Urbanization Comments Off on How to spot a dodgy study in flood of studies Tags: Adaptation to global warming, Disaster Risk Reduction, Flood, Impacts and Indicators, United Nglobal warming, Disaster Risk Reduction, Flood, Impacts and Indicators, United Nations
A new report looks at flood risk and economic damages under different global warming scenarios with temperature increases of 1.5, 2 and 4 °C.
It concludes that, if global temperatures rise by 4 °C, the flood risk in countries representing more than 70 % of the global population and global GDP will increase by more than 500 %.
The HELIX researchers found that countries representing 73 percent of the world's population and 79 percent of global GDP would experience a five-fold increase in the risk of river floods and flood damage.
If emissions were to continue unabated and global temperature increases exceed 4 °C, increased rainfall would further enhance the risk of floods by raising river levels, which, combined with sea level rise, could impact as many as 12 million people in Bangladesh, especially if a storm surge from a tropical cyclone compounded these effects.
The risk of devastating events such as hurricanes, floods or droughts increases as global mean temperature increases (IPCC 2014) but the risk is not evenly distributed.
This work relies on the new flood risk assessment framework proposed by Alfieri et al. (2015b) to illustrate the benefits of adaptation in reducing expected damages and population affected by river floods in Europe under 4 °C global warming by the end of the century.
The warming (WV is a ghg) is welcome (countering the average global cooling which would otherwise be occurring as a result of declining net effect of ocean cycles and a declining proxy which is the time - integral of SSN anomalies) but the added WV increases the risk of precipitation related flooding.
Global warming is now accelerating the rate of sea level rise, increasing flooding risks to low - lying communities and high - risk coastal properties whose development has been encouraged by today's flood insurance system.
Sea level rise is happening everywhere, as ice caps and glaciers melt and the seas rise in response to global warming driven by prodigal human combustion of fossil fuels, and researchers have advanced from general warning to the kind of detail that could help city and state planners prepare to cope with flood risks.
«Sea level rise from global warming has already doubled the risk of extreme coastal floods across the lower 48 states,» author Ben Strauss said today on a conference call.
''... real scientists engaged in real research have used sound statistical methods to investigate this topic; and what they typically find does not bode well for climate alarmists... performed a series of statistical analyses on these data, seeking to determine «whether the data set can reveal the degree to which islands in the Pacific are already seeing the impact of global climate change on the risk of severe flooding
Sea level rise due to global warming has already doubled the annual risk of coastal flooding of historic proportions across widespread areas of the United States... By 2030, many locations are likely to see storm surges combining with sea level rise to raise waters at least 4 feet above the local high - tide line.
Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of climate change under various mitigation scenarios (including CO2 stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate climate change or reduce vulnerability to various climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than through stabilization.
These impacts will range from global sea level rise to a heightened risk of heat waves, severe droughts and floods, according to a recently released comprehensive assessment of climate science produced by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Allen, whose work has shown that global warming tripled the odds of the severe 2010 Russian heatwave and tripled the risk of the widespread flooding in England in 2000, says extreme weather can be linked to climate change given enough computer time.
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