Of course, no one is trying to make a prediction based on
global ice core data.
Of course, no one is trying to make a prediction based on
global ice core data.
Not exact matches
Ice core data from the poles clearly show dramatic swings in average
global temperatures, but researchers still don't know how local ecosystems reacted to the change.
These events, known as Dansgaard - Oeschger events, were first identified in
data from Greenland
ice cores in the early 1990s, and had far - reaching impacts on the
global climate.
«The first step was to reconstruct the history of
global mean temperatures for the last 784,000 years, using combined
data from marine sediment
cores,
ice cores, and computer simulations covering the last eight glacial cycles,» said Friedrich, a post-doctoral researcher at IPRC.
Puncak Jaya is the only place to get
ice core data from the western side of what's known as the Pacific Warm Pool the single largest heat source to the
global atmosphere.
The stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O marine records (dark grey), a proxy for
global ice volume fluctuations (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005), is displayed for comparison with the
ice core data.
Global cooling after volcanic eruptions has been recorded in
ice core data and thermometers,: 1809, 1815, 1883, 1980 etc. and others.
[Further Response: Our estimates of the magnitude of future
global warming do not come from
ice core data, and do not depend on it in any way.
Plotting GHG forcing (7) from
ice core data (27) against temperature shows that
global climate sensitivity including the slow surface albedo feedback is 1.5 °C per W / m2 or 6 °C for doubled CO2 (Fig. 2), twice as large as the Charney fast - feedback sensitivity.»
The authors compared recently constructed temperature
data sets from Antarctica, based on
data from
ice cores and ground weather stations, to 20th century simulations from computer models used by scientists to simulate
global climate.
«the European Project for
Ice Coring in Antarctica (EPICA) established a precise link between climate records from Greenland and Antarctica using data on global changes in methane concentrations derived from trapped air bubbles in the ice.&raq
Ice Coring in Antarctica (EPICA) established a precise link between climate records from Greenland and Antarctica using
data on
global changes in methane concentrations derived from trapped air bubbles in the
ice.&raq
ice.»
[Further Response: Our estimates of the magnitude of future
global warming do not come from
ice core data, and do not depend on it in any way.
The graph built from the Vostok
ice core data shows us the relationship between CO2 in the atmosphere and
global temperature.
For instance, here's the
data for delta - oxygen - 18 from a stack of 57 ocean sediment
cores, which is considered an excellent proxy for
global ice volume, known as the «LR04 stack» (from Lisiecki, L.E., & Raymo, M.E. 2005.
When sceptics look at statistical
data, whether it is recent
ice melt, deep sea temperatures, current trend in
global surface temperatures, troposphere temperatures,
ice core records etc. they look at the
data as it is without any pre-conceptions and describe what it says.
Also, the Greenland
ice core data do agree pretty good with sulfate emissions estimates, but Greenland is located downwind of the US and Canada and does not represent
global trends impacted by developing countries.
1850 - 1957 is based on Law Dome
Ice Core Data Adjusted for
Global Mean: «D.M. Etheridge, L.P. Steele, R.L. Langenfelds, R.J. Francey, J. - M.
I mention this since some
global warming science sites show instrument
data superimposed over the
ice core data.
In 1999, the year after the high temperatures of the 1998 El Nino, I became convinced that geologic
data of recurring climatic cycles (
ice core isotopes, glacial advances and retreats, and sun spot minima) showed conclusively that we were headed for several decades of
global cooling and presented a paper to that effect (Fig. 5).
«Unfortunately, we have no direct information concerning the past
global surface albedo from the
ice core data.
If you were conversant on the subject, you would know that the
ice core data support the role of CO2 in
global warming.
It was the
ice -
core data that changed my mind about
global warming.
Scientists were far more aware than the general public of how the scientific findings of the past decade, the supercomputer calculations and
ice core measurements and
data on rising
global temperatures, had raised the plausibility of greenhouse warming forecasts.
Atmospheric CO2, CH4 and N2O have varied almost synchronously with
global temperature during the past 800000 years for which precise
data are available from
ice cores, the GHGs providing an amplifying feedback that magnifies the climate change instigated by orbit perturbations [29 — 31].
What all of this «
data» leaves out is the tree - ring minima and
ice core acidity peaks that, when integrated with other regional and
global climatological events stretching back, at the very least, to 4375 BCE, present a picture of some kind of cyclical, apparently cosmically induced climate cycle.
Although it has been a common practice in studying paleoclimate
data to use proxy
data from, for example, an
ice core in Antarctica, to represent
global climate after dividing the former by a factor of ∼ 2 or by a model - determined, latitude - dependent scaling factor, theoretical justification is only beginning to be emphasized (22).
In this link https://bravenewclimate.com/2016/09/10/open-thread-26/#comment-470348 I briefly outline the results of an important paper which uses Liang causality, a statistical notion superior to the older Granger causality, to analyze the climate
data, both
ice core and recent, to obtain the expected result that CO2 Liang causes
global warming in recent times but the opposite conclusion for the paleodata.
A combination of historical
ice core data and air monitoring instruments reveals a consistent trend:
global atmospheric methane concentrations have risen sharply in the past 2000 years.
However, the correlation of CO2 and
global temperature is well established over the last 650,000 years using
ice core data.
Greenland
ice cores indicate that the start of the instrumented
data (thermometers) coincides with a cold period in the northern hemisphere and that at the site of a well - studied
ice core (
Global Cooling - Doomsday Called Off), the temperature in the mid 1800s was the coldest in 8,000 years.
I recall more than one guest lecture at our physics department's Centre for
Global Change Studies displaying a graph of spectral analysis of temperature histories, with
data from multiple time scale sources including thermometer records,
ice core data, etc..
He used
data from the Camp Century
ice core in Greenland, arguing that these «may give a picture of the natural fluctuations in
global temperature over the last 1000 years».
The message from the historical
data — records, tree rings,
ice cores, lake sediments and so on — is that
global warming is linked to fossil fuel - burning and to rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.