You don't need to go into the details about carbon emissions or chemical processes or quantities of
global ice loss or sea level elevations or ocean acidification or the potential feedback loop of tundra methane releases, although there is plenty of available information on all of them.
The interviewer did say he would get back to it and that «get - back» resulted in Lawson insisting that OHC rise and
global ice loss was «pure speculation.»
Not exact matches
A 2016 study shocked researchers by forecasting that
ice loss from the Antarctic alone could add a metre to
global sea level by 2100.
«
Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant contribution to sea - level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one of the largest uncertainties in
global sea - level rise predictions.
That
ice loss is shifting
global weather patterns, making the Arctic ocean more acidic and threatening Arctic wildlife and communities, he said.
This year's Arctic sea
ice cover currently is the sixth - lowest on modern record, a ranking that raises ongoing concerns about the speed of
ice melt and the effects of
ice loss on
global weather patterns, geopolitical fights, indigenous peoples and wildlife, scientists said yesterday.
The work by Mark Jacobson, director of Stanford University's Atmosphere / Energy program and a fellow at the university's Woods Institute, argues that cutting emissions of black carbon may be the fastest method to limit the ongoing
loss of
ice in the Arctic, which is warming twice as fast as the
global average.
In comparison,
global sea levels are rising by about 3 millimetres a year, and a recent study estimated that one - third of that comes from
ice loss in Antarctica and Greenland.
«When we look forward several decades, climate models predict such profound
loss of Arctic sea
ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on sea
ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center in Seattle and co-author of a study on projections of the
global polar bear population.
«Warming greater than 2 degrees Celsius above 19th - century levels is projected to be disruptive, reducing
global agricultural productivity, causing widespread
loss of biodiversity and — if sustained over centuries — melting much of the Greenland
ice sheet with ensuing rise in sea levels of several meters,» the AGU declares in its first statement in four years on «Human Impacts on Climate.»
Sea
ice and snow cover
loss create a feedback look that can accelerate
global warming; with fewer reflective surfaces on the planet, more sunlight can thereby be absorbed, driving surface temperatures even higher, the scientists explained.
However, the simulations indicate that the sea -
ice driven precipitation changes resemble the
global rainfall patterns observed during that drought, leaving the possibility that Arctic sea -
ice loss could have played a role in the recent drought.
It's a research approach new to glaciology that could lead to more accurate predictions for
ice - mass
loss and
global sea - level rise.
The melting of Greenland contributes to the
global sea level, but the
loss of mass also means that the
ice sheet's own gravitational field weakens and thus does not attract the surrounding sea as strongly.
Rapidly reducing
global emissions could, in principle, avoid most Antarctic
ice loss, says DeConto.
Our study underlines that these conditions have led to a large
loss of
ice and significant rises in
global sea level in the past.
The results highlight how the interaction between ocean conditions and the bedrock beneath a glacier can influence the frozen mass, helping scientists better predict future Antarctica
ice loss and
global sea level rise.
The role of ocean heat transport in the
global climate response to projected Arctic sea
ice loss.
The
global mean temperature rise of less than 1 degree C in the past century does not seem like much, but it is associated with a winter temperature rise of 3 to 4 degrees C over most of the Arctic in the past 20 years, unprecedented
loss of
ice from all the tropical glaciers, a decrease of 15 to 20 % in late summer sea
ice extent, rising sealevel, and a host of other measured signs of anomalous and rapid climate change.
Global warming - related Arctic sea
ice loss may be contributing to snowier winters in parts of the Northern Hemisphere, according to a recent study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Joughin et al. (2010) applied a numerical
ice sheet model to predicting the future of PIG, their model suggested ongoing
loss of
ice mass from PIG, with a maximum rate of
global sea level rise of 2.7 cm per century.
«New observations from many different sources confirm that
ice - sheet
loss is accelerating,» the United States
Global Change Research Program said in its comprehensive special report on climate science.
Worldwide, small
ice caps and glaciers have reacted particularly dynamically to worldwide increases in temperatures9 - 11, and it has been proposed that the volume
loss from mountain glaciers and
ice caps like these is the main contributor to recent
global sea - level rise12.
and therefore to be able to make a stronger statement on how unique the current and apparently
global warming related
ice mass
loss is» for Greenland, he says.
For three particular mismatches — sea
ice loss rates being much too low in CMIP3, tropical MSU - TMT rising too fast in CMIP5, or the ensemble mean
global mean temperatures diverging from HadCRUT4 — it is likely that there are multiple sources of these mismatches across all three categories described above.
Our modelled values are consistent with current rates of Antarctic
ice loss and sea - level rise, and imply that accelerated mass
loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic
ice sheets may ensue when an increase in
global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
While methane is short - lived, all it has to do is shift the
global energy balance for a while, to trigger irreversible
loss of tundra methane,
loss of Arctic sea
ice cover and more calthrate
loss, then
loss of
ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al promise.
However, if the
loss of Arctic Sea
ice has significantly changed
global atmospheric circulation patterns, then we are dealing with a different system that has only been in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
Global climate model projections (in CMIP3 at least) appear to underestimate sea
ice extent
losses with respect to observations, though this is not universally true for all models and some of them actually have ensemble spreads that are compatible with PIOMAS
ice volume estimates and satellite observations of sea
ice extent.
Thus, articles that link the
loss of Arctic sea
ice to
global warming are acceptable, and any news article on Arctic sea
ice will generally touch on the role of
global warming — usually with a mention for polar bears, which are indeed cute (not too cuddly, tho).
But just as the species has been recovering from that threat,
global warming is creating new pressures through the
loss of summer sea
ice and other impacts on the bears» preferred maritime habitat.
This result would be strongly dependent on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland
ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays
global models.Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic
losses) of extreme events.
Given trajectories for
ice loss in the Alps, and for
global emissions of heat - trapping greenhouse gases, divine intervention may be worth a try.
Mercer further commented that the
loss of
ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula, as has since been observed, would be an indicator that this process of
ice sheet
loss due to
global warming was underway.
Last summer's record
loss of
ice was due to a combination of natural cycle and
global warming factors: «more greenhouse gases, an unusual wind pattern, and warming of the ocean water in regions with reduced sea
ice.»
The total 2000 — 2008 mass
loss of ~ 1500 gigatons, equivalent to 0.46 millimeters per year of
global sea level rise, is equally split between surface processes (runoff and precipitation) and
ice dynamics.
Thus, the concept of an emissions budget is very useful to get the message across that the amount of CO2 that we can still emit in total (not per year) is limited if we want to stabilise
global temperature at a given level, so any delay in reducing emissions can be detrimental — especially if we cross tipping points in the climate system, e.g trigger the complete
loss of the Greenland
Ice Sheet.
As a matter of fact, the climate experts who have long predicted
global warming and
loss of Arctic
ice also predicted... as long as 20 years ago!
They detected a sharp jump in Antarctica's
ice loss, from enough
ice to raise
global sea level by 0.3 millimeters -LRB-.01 inches) a year in 1996, to 0.5 millimeters -LRB-.02 inches) a year in 2006.
The abstract below is quite clear in finding no evident relationship between
ice loss and atmospheric or marine factors related to greenhouse - driven
global warming:
This is despite using observed
ice sheet mass
loss (0.19 mm / year) in the «modelled» number in this comparison, otherwise the discrepancy would be even larger — the
ice sheet models predict that the
ice sheets gain mass due to
global warming.
This is what I get out of it: the Arctic -
ice - albedo situation is more complicated than earlier thought (due to clouds, sun - filled summers, dark winters, etc), but NET EFFECT, the
ice loss and all these other related factors (some negative feedbacks) act as a positive feedback and enhance
global warming.
The contribution from glaciers and
ice caps (not including Greenland and Antarctica), on the other hand, is computed from a simple empirical formula linking
global mean temperature to mass
loss (equivalent to a rate of sea level rise), based on observed data from 1963 to 2003.
Subject of some specific concern about
global warming because of large temperature rises predicted for the arctic, and because of some arctic - specific feedback effects (e.g. the albedo feedback following
loss of arctic sea
ice).
Ice Loss 10 Times What Was Predicted Here's another reason to believe we must redouble our efforts to reduce global carbon emissions to slow global warming: Derek Mueller, an Arctic idea shelf specialist at Trent University in Ontario has told Reuters that 83 square miles of ice shelf, an area more than three times the size of the island of Manhattan, has been lost from Ellesmere Island this summ
Ice Loss 10 Times What Was Predicted Here's another reason to believe we must redouble our efforts to reduce
global carbon emissions to slow
global warming: Derek Mueller, an Arctic idea shelf specialist at Trent University in Ontario has told Reuters that 83 square miles of
ice shelf, an area more than three times the size of the island of Manhattan, has been lost from Ellesmere Island this summ
ice shelf, an area more than three times the size of the island of Manhattan, has been lost from Ellesmere Island this summer.
Artic climatologists are worried that the knee of the curve has already been reached on
global warming reaching the positive - feedback stage because the
ice loss this year was so dramatically greater than the trend of previous years.
Given the level of denialism in the face of glacial mass
loss, plummeting Arctic summer
ice cover, progressive collapse of
ice shelves that have been stable for 6000 to 10000 years, northward, upward, and seasonally earlier movements of ecosystems and other phenological changes, increasing Greenland
ice melt, and all the other direct observations of
global warming, I think denialists will go to their graves believing it can't be happening.
It is increasingly likely, scientists are saying, that the
loss of
ice is an early signal that human activities have turned up the
global thermostat.
«A decade of gravity analysis alone can not force you to take a position on this
ice loss being due to anthropogenic
global warming.
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