John Imbrie used time - series analysis to statistically compare the timing and cycles in the sea surface temperature and
global ice volume records with patterns of the Earth's orbit.
Not exact matches
Abstract: Mid - to late - Holocene sea - level
records from low - latitude regions serve as an important baseline of natural variability in sea level and
global ice volume prior to the Anthropocene.
The stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O marine
records (dark grey), a proxy for
global ice volume fluctuations (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005), is displayed for comparison with the
ice core data.
With error bars provided, we can use the PIOMAS
ice volume time series as a proxy
record for reality and compare it against sea -
ice simulations in
global climate models.
However, atmospheric CO2 content plays an important internal feedback role.Orbital - scale variability in CO2 concentrations over the last several hundred thousand years covaries (Figure 5.3) with variability in proxy
records including reconstructions of
global ice volume (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005), climatic conditions in central Asia (Prokopenko et al., 2006), tropical (Herbert et al., 2010) and Southern Ocean SST (Pahnke et al., 2003; Lang and Wolff, 2011), Antarctic temperature (Parrenin et al., 2013), deep - ocean temperature (Elder eld et al., 2010), biogeochemical conditions in the Northet al., 2008).
Except that we do make an attempt to validate the model with respect to how it has performed against the best estimate of
global ice volume we have — Shackleton's 2000
record (I might add that I am not sure of any other modeling study that has tried to validate itself against the Shackleton
record).
From historic droughts around the world and in places like California, Syria, Brazil and Iran to inexorably increasing glacial melt; from an expanding blight of fish killing and water poisoning algae blooms in lakes, rivers and oceans to a growing rash of
global record rainfall events; and from
record Arctic sea
ice volume losses approaching 80 percent at the end of the summer of 2012 to a rapidly thawing permafrost zone explosively emitting an ever - increasing amount of methane and CO2, it's already a disastrous train - wreck.
We'll see very soon, if Wyatt is correct then no
global temperature
record nor a
record low sea
ice extent, area or
volume within the next year.
«Every piece of valid evidence â $» long - term temperature averages that smooth out year - to - year fluctuations, Arctic sea
ice volume, melting of glaciers, the ratio of
record highs to
record lows â $» points to a continuing, and quite possibly accelerating, rise in
global temperatures.
Record droughts in many areas of the world, the loss of arctic sea
ice — what you see is an increasing trend that is superimposed on annual variablity (no bets on what happens next year, but the five - to - ten year average in
global temperatures, sea surface temperatures, ocean heat content — those will increase — and
ice sheet
volumes, tropical glacier
volumes, sea
ice extent will decrease.
These
records provide both a direct measure of sea level and an indirect measure of
global ice volume.