Sentences with phrase «global mean changes»
Second, regional change is not the same as global mean change.
realclimate.org
Global mean changes in the AOGCM experiments are similar to those in Schimel et al. (1994).
«We know that these large global mean changes are going to be associated with local and regional changes that are going to cause real problems in some areas,» says Andy Challinor, an expert on climate and agriculture at the University of Leeds in England.
The small global mean change, however, is expected to create large problems in sensitive areas of the Earth system — rising sea level leading to increased coastal flooding, more heat waves and drought, and the disappearance of summer Arctic sea ice, to name a few.
The Figure says that the X-axis refers to «global mean change from pre-industrial temperature.»
The figure above is for a 2 % increase in solar, which is comparable to the impact of 2xCO2 and so the global mean change in SAT in the two figures above is comparable (around 3 to 4 deg C).
Our current «best guess» is that the global mean changes in temperature (including the 1940 - 1970 cooling) are actually quite closely related to the forcings.
Scenario changes in regional climate may lie outside the range of global mean changes but should be consistent with theory and model - based results.
Assumptions are required to estimate global surface temperature change from deep ocean changes, but we argue and present evidence that the ocean core record yields a better measure of global mean change than that provided by polar ice cores.
Taking this into account, NASA estimates that the 2017 global mean change is accurate to within 0.1 degree Fahrenheit, with a 95 percent certainty level.
[Response: It is the global mean change in outgoing LW flux at the tropopause (integrated over the whole spectrum) for a doubling of CO2.
If both global mean changes and centred pattern correlations point towards the same explanation of observed temperature changes, it provides more compelling evidence than either of these indicators in isolation.