Sentences with phrase «global mean warming»

Averaged across the AOGCMs analysed, the global mean warming by 2090 - 2099 relative to 1980 - 1999 is projected to be 1.8, 2.8, and 3.4 °C for the B1, A1B, and A2 scenarios, respectively.
Projections of global mean warming during the 21st century for the six SRES illustrative scenarios are presented by WG I (Meehl et al., 2007) and summarised in Figure 2.8.
Climate simulations are consistent in showing that the global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include anthropogenic forcings.
Precipitation changes (%) in (a, b) DJF and (c, d) JJA from the median of the A2 ensemble, after scaling to 4 °C global mean warming in all cases.
The patterns and magnitude of the precipitation changes (scaled to a global mean warming of 4 °C) are similar in the high - end and non-high-end models, although the reductions in precipitation tend to be slightly greater in the high - end models.
Temperature and precipitation changes from the high - end model simulations (21 runs) were scaled to a global mean warming of 4 °C.
To focus on the regional responses, for each simulation, we normalized the local warming in each grid box by dividing by the global mean warming.
The temperature and precipitation changes from the high - end models were scaled to a global mean warming of 4 °C.
Research was quick to identify the «headline numbers» of NDCs: if these climate action plans were fully implemented, global mean warming by 2100 would be reduced from approximately 3.6 to 2.7 °C above pre-industrial levels.
By then, annual CO2 emissions from the US and EU will be somewhat reduced (my prediction, based on recent trends), CO2 emissions from industrializing nations will be higher, alternative sources of energy will be cheaper; and we'll have 20 more years of experience with the natural disasters that will recur dramatically with or without global mean warming or cooling.
Coloured shading shows different percentile ranges of the climate projection for global mean warming.
Based on the climate sensitivity we have estimated, the amount of greenhouse gases presently in the atmosphere will cause an eventual global mean warming of about 1 °C making the global temperature at least comparable to that of the Altithermal, the warmest period in the past 100,000 years.
According to Allison et al. (2009), as much as 2 m of sea - level rise could happen by 2100 with predicted global mean warming of +2.0 oC.
Boreal forests were only compared with the Amazon rainforest, and three out of five experts judged the former to be more sensitive to global mean warming.
For sensitivity to global mean warming, we find where the more sensitive tipping element is to the left.
In that event, figure 7 suggests a global mean warming approaching 25 °C, with much larger warming at high latitudes (see electronic supplementary material, figure S6).
Heat uptake and internal variability — part II I'm returning to an argument discussed in post # 16 regarding the decomposition of the global mean warming into a part that is forced and a part that is due to internal variability.
Figure 10.6 illustrates the late - century A2 case, with all values shown both in absolute terms and relative to the global mean warming.
Climate simulations are consistent in showing that the global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include anthropogenic forcings (Figure 9.5).
By 2100, global mean warming in the RCP scenarios ranges from 1.0 to 4.5 °C relative to 1850 - 1860 mean temperature in the historical simulations.
IPCC has stated (AR4 WG1 Ch.9) that the «global mean warming observed since 1970 can only be reproduced when models are forced with combinations of external forcings that include anthropogenic forcings... Therefore modeling studies suggest that late 20th - century warming is much more likely to be anthropogenic than natural in origin...» whereas for the statistically indistinguishable early 20thC warming period «detection and attribution as well as modeling studies indicate more uncertainty regarding the causes of early 20th - century warming.»
The results presented here contribute to our understanding of the likely range under different amounts of global mean warming.
Williams et al., 2017 (DOI: 10.1002 / 2017GL073138) «The warming trend post-1850s in the SST reconstruction (0.8 ± 0.16 °C, 1s) is consistent with global mean warming of 0.85 ± 0.21 °C (1s) from 1880 to 2012 (Figure 4b, c), attributed largely to anthropogenic causes -LSB-...].
So, for example, we did a Science Media Centre briefing last year on the end of the pause in global mean warming.
Already at 16 × CO2 Earth is a different, essentially uninhabitable, planet, with global mean warming of 30 °C the tropopause eliminated, the stratosphere filled with water vapor, and the ozone layer destroyed.
Following the signing of the Paris Agreement in December 2015, a targeted focus has emerged within the scientific community to better understand how changes to the global climate system will evolve in response to specific thresholds of future global mean warming, such as 1.5 ◦ C or 2 ◦ C above «pre-industrial levels».
The results for change scaled by global mean warming are rather similar across the four scenarios, an exception being a relatively large increase over the equatorial ocean for the commitment case.
I sincerely hope that you are not serious in maintaining the following: The peak warming is linearly proportional to the cumulative carbon emitted It doesn't matter much how rapidly the carbon is emitted The warming you get when you stop emitting carbon is what you are stuck with for the next thousand years The climate recovers only slightly over the next ten thousand years At the mid-range of IPCC climate sensitivity, a trillion tonnes cumulative carbon gives you about 2C global mean warming above the pre-industrial temperature.
At the mid-range of IPCC climate sensitivity, a trillion tonnes cumulative carbon gives you about 2C global mean warming above the pre-industrial temperature.
These authors mention briefly an important implication of this connection — the extended drought in the Southern US and the hiatus in global mean warming are related.
Winter warming in the unadjusted data is as large as 4.1 ºC over the past 130 years, summer warming about 1.7 ºC — both much larger than global mean warming.
In the next 50 years, even the lower limit of impending climate change — an additional global mean warming of 1 degree Celsius above the last decade — is far beyond the range of climate variability experienced during the past thousand years and poses global problems in planning for and adapting to it.
Without significant mitigation, the report says global mean warming could reach as high as 7 degrees Celsius by 2100.

Not exact matches

It found the rapid pace of global warming and the slow pace of coral growth meant the reef was unlikely to evolve quickly enough to survive the level of climate change predicted in the next few decades.
The work that I do on dark matter, I'm not sure it will have a lot of meaning if those kids don't have an opportunity to learn about it because society has been devastated by global warming.
Despite what officials described as a warm meeting, China and the European Union could not agree on a broader final communique meant to focus on a range of other issues discussed at the talks, including a commitment to free trade and measures needed to reduce a global steel glut.
You mean like Obama spewing more carbon than anyone on the planet, although he once stated that global warming is the most dire threat to mankind's existence?
However, what we mean when we talk about global warming is anomalous warmingwarming that is beyond the average or norm.
I mean think about it from a government standpoint, there's a company out there that's knowingly selling products that contribute (and sometimes the main cause of) to childhood obesity which in turn contributes to more medical bills, global warming (from all the use of cars in lieu of biking or walking) and other consequences.
However, what we mean when we talk about global warming is
You mean the «theory» of global warming or the «theory» of evolution... Get me some facts and maybe I'll jump on board.
To address global warming, Steyer and others fund groups that use whatever means available to fight any expansion of the «carbon economy.»
The global warming / climate change noise machine has reached a crescendo this week with Al Gore's trip to Oslo to pick up his Nobel Peace Prize, our colleges sponsoring» Focus the Nation» weeks to promote the self - evident moral truth of combating warming, and above all the U.N. - sponsored Bali conference meant to produce a treaty to succeed the soon - to - expire Kyoto.
But then, does that mean that I have to accept Global Warming and the Earth being flat?
The television interviewer then asked, «You mean there is no argument about global warming
Increasing appetite for meat and population growth in developing countries mean global meat consumption is on track to increase 75 % by 2050, which would make it virtually impossible to keep global warming below the internationally - agreed limit of 2C.
Snow has wreaked havoc over the past few days but what if it's just the start and the global warming, sorry, climate change means we're all facing months, years or decades in freezing conditions?
Prepare baby for the cold weather while also sending a message with a meaning: stop global warming!
Organic foods are also locally sourced and produced, which means there is less carbon dioxide emissions that contribute to global warming.
If we limit global warming to 2 degrees through government regulation and cheap and abundant clean energy, this essentially means roughly 80 % of fossil fuels have to stay in the ground, devaluing these reserves.
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