See Wikipedia for the long term trend in number of storms: «While the number of storms in the Atlantic has increased since 1995, there seems to be no signs of a global trend;
the global number of tropical cyclones remains about 90 ± 10.»
Not exact matches
This is because in the latter part
of the time series there is a decrease in the total
number of tropical cyclones, largely owing to a large multidecadal
cyclone in the WPAC (which comprises 40 %
of the
global tropical cyclones), see Fig 3 in Webster et al..
The top time series is the
number of global tropical cyclones that reached at least hurricane - force (maximum lifetime wind speed exceeds 64 - knots).
Did you ever realise that this is not the result
of global cooling or the lack
of global warming, but an increased
number of tropical cyclones likely as a result
of global warming?
The IPCC notes in its most recent scientific assessment that there are «[n] o robust trends in annual
numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin,» and that there are «no significant observed trends in
global tropical cyclone frequency.»
In the mid-2000s, a
number of researchers claimed that man - made
global warming was causing a noticeable increase in the frequency and intensity
of tropical cyclones.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reported in its most recent scientific assessment that «[n] o robust trends in annual
numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes... have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin,» and that there are «no significant observed trends in
global tropical cyclone frequency.»
There is less confidence in projections
of a
global decrease in
numbers of tropical cyclones.
After in fact stating the rising trend in Hurricane frequency in the Indian ocean Hoarau asks at the end
of the article if there is a connection between
global warming and the growing
number of tropical cyclones in various ocean basins.
With the slowly increasing SSTs as a result
of global warming, greater
numbers of tropical depressions will likely form, which, over warm water may mature into
tropical storms, which over even warmer water may strengthen to
tropical cyclones.
For future projections, GFDL atmospheric modelers have developed
global models capable
of simulating many aspects
of the seasonal and year - to - year variability
of tropical cyclone frequency in a
number of basins, using only historical sea surface temperatures as input.
Our 2015 study examines the impact
of 21st - century projected climate changes (CMIP5, RCP4.5 scenario) on a
number of tropical cyclone metrics, using the GFDL hurricane model to downscale storms in all basins from one
of the lower resolution
global atmospheric models mentioned above.
The IPCC AR4 report (2007) says regarding
global tropical storms: «There is no clear trend in the annual
numbers [i.e. frequency]
of tropical cyclones.»