Interestingly, the near -
global observations show a greater drop in outgoing longwave radiation at the CO2 wavelengths around 700 cm - 1 compared to the change over tropical regions.
Not exact matches
A new Columbia Engineering study, led by Pierre Gentine, associate professor of earth and environmental engineering, analyzes
global satellite
observations and
shows that vegetation alters climate and weather patterns by as much as 30 percent.
They used a high - resolution ocean model that has been
shown to do a good job of matching direct satellite
observations of the
global ocean system.
For
global observations since the late 1950s, the most recent versions of all available data sets
show that the troposphere has warmed at a slightly greater rate than the surface, while the stratosphere has cooled markedly since 1979.
Above the surface,
global observations since the late 1950s
show that the troposphere (up to about 10 km) has warmed at a slightly greater rate than the surface, while the stratosphere (about 10 — 30 km) has cooled markedly since 1979.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00148.1
Global satellite
observations show the sea surface temperature (SST) increasing since the 1970s in all ocean basins, while the net air — sea heat flux Q decreases.
However, comparison of the
global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data)
shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
«It's pretty convincing stuff:
observations and the physical law of energy conversation have been used to
show greenhouse gases are responsible for
global warming and that alternative scenarios violate this law of nature.
With the aid of
global Earth
observations and data - driven models, the researchers
show that on average, extreme events prevent the uptake of around 3 petagrams carbon per year by the vegetation.
Public areas include a lounge with a full - service bar and facilities for film, slide
shows, and presentations; a dining room; an
observation deck; a partially covered sun deck with chairs, tables, and an outdoor grill; a
global gallery; and a spa.
What
observations do you offer that would encourage this other than claiming the last 3 years (2005 hottest) or last twelve (’98 hottest) equal
global cooling when they are all among the hottest years in the last 2 million (a fundamentally flawed assertion that
shows 100 % ignorance, or willful disregard, of basic scientific principles, namely that a three — twelve year period is not a long - term trend, but is variability until proven otherwise.)
A recent paper by Graeme L. Stephens, Juilin Li, Martin Wild, Carol Anne Clayson, Norman Loeb, Seiji Kato, Tristan L'Ecuyer, Paul W. Stackhouse Jr, Matthew Lebsock & Timothy Andrews An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest
global observations, Nature Geoscience, 5, 691 — 696 (2012), which indicates significant adjustments to the energy balance MEASURED data
shows how far we are from certainty.
The hottest topic in climate research is the
observation that
global average surface temperature, as well as satellite
observations of temperatures in the atmosphere, has
shown little or no warming during the 21st century.
The latest analysis of
observations from the WMO
Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) Programme
shows that globally carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) increased from 2014 to 2015, and that the...
However, comparison of the
global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data)
shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
These facts were enough for an NAS panel, including Christy, to publish a report Reconciling
Observations of
Global Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in temperature data, strong evidence exists to
show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 years»
This
observation shows increased CO2 concentration is accompanied by decrease in
global mean temperature.
It
shows up well in their Figure 1a about which they state ``... you can see how well the POGA H
global average surface temperature matches the
observations...» It matches well the phony eighties and nineties and would be off the mark if the real temperatures were substituted.
On balance the evidence
shows that solar and oceanic variations are more likely the cause of recent
observations of warming in the air than increasing CO2 in the air but the issue can soon be resolved by observing the
global air temperature changes that occur during and after the extended cycle 23 and the probable weak cycle 24.
The graph for
global glacier mass change
shows the estimated annual cumulative balance for a set of
global reference glaciers with more than 30 continued
observation years for the time - period 1960 - 2017.
I would also say that, although TOBS corrections are not done for all
global data, the TOBS error uncertainty
shown in this chart is probably present in most
global data, as probably relatively few stations have an effective
observation time of midnight.
«Kopacz et al. used a
global chemical transport model to identify the location from which the BC arriving at a variety of locations in the Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau originates, after which they calculated its direct and snow - albedo radiative forcings... they say that
observations of black carbon (BC) content in snow «
show a rapidly increasing trend,»... «emissions from northern India and central China contribute the majority of BC to the Himalayas,» and that «the Tibetan Plateau receives most BC from western and central China, as well as from India, Nepal, the Middle East, Pakistan and other countries.»»
The lighter shaded areas depict the change in this uncertainty range, if carbon cycle feedbacks are assumed to be lower or higher than in the medium setting...
Global mean temperature results from the SCM for anthropogenic and natural forcing compare favourably with 20th - century
observations (black line) as
shown in the lower left panel (Folland et al., 2001; Jones et al., 2001; Jones and Moberg, 2003).
While the climate change signal is much clearer in the northern latitudes - where longer - term records
show a relatively steady retreat of Arctic sea ice - evidence of
global warming's impact around Antarctica is also
showing up in the
observations.
Because the GISS analysis combines available sea surface temperature records with meteorological station measurements, we test alternative choices for the ocean data,
showing that
global temperature change is sensitive to estimated temperature change in polar regions where
observations are limited.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and
global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with
global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from
observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models
show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
Those who invoke the solar cycle, to which there is no
global temperature correlation even if one allows for phase shifts, or who cite possible increases in solar flux, of which
observations show none over this warming epoch, are especially off the mark.
A test of falsifiability requires a model test or climate
observation that
shows global warming caused by increased human - produced greenhouse gases is untrue.
Nick, I can
show you findings from a paper rejected for publication last week,
showing that the temperature
observations at Sydney Observatory and a dozen more Australian sites are explainable without any need to invoke
global warming in Australia.
A map of Earth
showing the
global cloud cover on July 11, 2005, based largely on
observations by the MODIS sensor on the NASA Terra satellite.
To discard
observations (like the «pause» of the
global mean temperatures since 1997
shown on the appended figure 1 - A) the IPCC folks put forward a hypothesis («the greenhouse effect well understood since more than hundred years «-RRB- but do not provide any definition of their «greenhouse effect ``.
This point was also made by Schmidt et al. (2014), which additionally
showed that incorporating the most recent estimates of aerosol, solar, and greenhouse gas forcings, as well as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and temperature measurement biases, the discrepancy between average GCM
global surface warming projections and
observations is significantly reduced.
Radiosonde - based
observations (with near
global coverage since 1958) and satellite - based temperature measurements (beginning in late 1978)
show warming trends in the troposphere and cooling trends in the stratosphere.
Figure 1: Contributions of solar activity (dark blue), volcanic activity (red), ENSO (green), and anthropogenic effects (purple) to
global surface warming (HadCRUT
observations shown in light blue), according to Lean and Rind (2008).
Less than 2.5 percent of model runs
show that
global warming is really
global luke warming to the degree that real - world
observations indicate.
While continuous
global measurements of most of these changes are not available through the 1961 - 2006 period, some humidity
observations are available and do
show upward trends over the continents.
The
observation - based (
Global Ocean Data Analysis Project; GLODAP) 1994 saturation horizon (solid white line) is also
shown to illustrate the projected changes in the saturation horizon compared to the present.
«Ship - based
observations show that methane concentrations in the air above the East Siberian Sea Shelf are nearly twice as high as the
global average... Layers of sediment below the permafrost slowly emit methane gas, and this gas has been trapped for millennia beneath the permafrost.
What the paper actually
shows is that the models do have the same correlation between ENSO and
global average temperatures than
observations.
Still a lot of work to be done, and a deep - ocean
observation system would be desirable but, as Balmaseda (2013) has demonstrated, the
observations show that
global warming has actually accelerated over the last 16 years.
Fig. 1: A map of Earth
showing the
global cloud cover on July 11, 2005, based largely on
observations by the MODIS sensor on the NASA Terra satellite.
Based on these
observations,
global - scale Hg cycling models
show that anthropogenic emissions have substantially perturbed the
global biogeochemical mercury cycle since preindustrial times (2).
Observations since 1961
show that the average temperature of the
global ocean has increased to depths of at least 3000 m and that the ocean has been absorbing more than 80 % of the heat added to the climate system.
The lack of an oscillatory model signal suggests that the inter-decadal
global mean surface temperature signal derived from the
observations and
shown in Figs. 1A and 2B is indeed the signature of natural long - term climate variability.
Only the GIGO models predict
global harm from that essential trace gas, while real world
observations show that CO2 is harmless.
Using the framework, they
show that for 80 percent of areas where
observations are available,
global warming has increased the chances for (and severity of) «hottest» events — months and days that measure in as the hottest of the year.
Global average air temperatures have increased relatively slowly since a high point in 1998 caused by the ocean phenomenon El Niño, but
observations show that heat is continuing to be trapped in increasing amounts by greenhouse gases, with over 90 % disappearing into the oceans.
Around 90 % of all reasonably long - term
observations show changes consistent with
global warming and associated effects.
More recent documentation (Hansen et al. 2010) compares alternative analyses and addresses questions about perception and reality of
global warming; various choices for the ocean data are tested; it is also
shown that
global temperature change is sensitive to estimated temperature change in polar regions, where
observations are limited.
For example, while all of the
global climate models participating in the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report
show a decline in Arctic sea ice over the period of available
observations, none of them match the severity of the trends we actually observe.