McGregor, H. V., et al. (2015), Robust
global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era, Nat.
«Robust
Global Ocean Cooling Trend for the Pre-Industrial Common Era.»
Robust
global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era.
Not exact matches
The other
global flu pandemics over the past century — in 1957, 1968 and 2009 — also followed
cooler sea surface temperatures in the Pacific
Ocean.
The Pacific
Ocean's current
cool phase is driving the
global warming slowdown — but that countering effect is not going to last, scientists say.
During the ice ages, storage of the greenhouse gas CO2 in the Southern
Ocean contributed significantly to
global cooling.
Phenomena such as El Niño or La Niña, which warm or
cool the tropical Pacific
Ocean, can contribute to short - term variations in
global average temperature.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new
global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the
cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
Covering nearly 5.5 million square miles, the frozen mass exerts an enormous influence on the
global climate, reflecting sunlight back into space and
cooling Earth's atmosphere and
oceans.
«The mounting evidence is coalescing around the idea that decades of stronger trade winds coincide with decades of stalls or even slight
cooling of
global surface temperatures, as heat is apparently transferred from the atmosphere into the upper
ocean,» Linsley said.
So recent
ocean cooling has led some to conclude that
global warming has stopped.
«The surge in
global temperatures since 1977 can be attributed to a 1976 climate shift in the Pacific
Ocean that made warming El Niño conditions more likely than they were over the previous 30 years and
cooling La Niña conditions less likely» says corresponding author de Freitas.
Parts of the northwestern Pacific, the North Atlantic south of Greenland, and regions in the southern
oceans near Antarctica were were
cooler or much
cooler than average, with no areas of the
global oceans record cold.
It is evident in this paper that ENSO (
ocean - atmosphere heat exchange) is the primary driver of MGT (i.e. El Niños cause
global warming and La Niñas cause
global cooling).
Over the period 1984 — 2006 the
global changes are 0.28 °C in SST and − 9.1 W m − 2 in Q, giving an effective air — sea coupling coefficient of − 32 W m − 2 °C − 1... [D] iminished
ocean cooling due to vertical
ocean processes played an important role in sustaining the observed positive trend in
global SST from 1984 through 2006, despite the decrease in
global surface heat flux.
A group of researchers find a new reason for the current hiatus of
global warming: the Atlantic
Ocean could be keeping things
cooler by drawing heat into its deepest fathoms.
Rather, their analysis shows that if you compare the LGM land
cooling with the model land
cooling, then the model that fits the land best has much higher
GLOBAL climate sensitivity than you get for best fit if you use
ocean data.
A new paper from the Sea Around Us Project published in the journal Nature reveals that warmer
ocean temperatures are driving marine species towards
cooler, deeper waters, and this in turn, has affected
global fisheries catches.
Cooling of the tectonic plates, and the impact of the ridge flank system on the chemistry of the
ocean, are fundamental
global - scale processes.
Ocean temperatures experience interannual variability and over the past 3 decades of
global warming have had several short periods of
cooling.
The main point is that just as surface temperatures has experienced periods of short term
cooling during long term
global warming, similarly the
ocean shows short term variability during a long term warming trend.
Cooling sea - surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific
Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why
global average temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term
cool and hot spells in relation to
global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of
global temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific
Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.
Numerous denier arguments involving slight fluctuations in the
global distribution of warmer vs
cooler sea surface areas as supposed explanations of climate change neglect all the energy that goes into
ocean heat content, melting large ice deposits and so forth.
-- The combined
global land and
ocean average surface temperature for the December — February period was 0.41 °C (0.74 °F) above the 20th century average of 12.1 °C (53.8 °F), making it the 17th warmest such period on record and the
coolest December — February since 2008.
What happens to
global temperature trends when you factor in the potentially confounding influence of
ocean warming and
cooling cycles?
Geoengineering proposals fall into at least three broad categories: 1) managing atmospheric greenhouse gases (e.g.,
ocean fertilization and atmospheric carbon capture and sequestration), 2)
cooling the Earth by reflecting sunlight (e.g., putting reflective particles into the atmosphere, putting mirrors in space to reflect the sun's energy, increasing surface reflectivity and altering the amount or characteristics of clouds), and 3) moderating specific impacts of
global warming (e.g., efforts to limit sea level rise by increasing land storage of water, protecting ice sheets or artificially enhancing mountain glaciers).
I particularly enjoyed the slides that, when combined (1) provided an overview of hotter and
cooler CO2 molecules as it relates to how they are seen from outer space and from profile — because this will make it easier for me to explain this process to others; (2) walked through the volcanic and solar activity vs assigning importance to CO2 changes — because this another way to help make it clearer, too, but in another way; (3) discussed CO2 induced warming and
ocean rise vs different choices we might make — because this helps point out why every day's delay matters; and (4) showed Figure 1 from William Nordhaus» «Strategies for Control of Carbon Dioxide» and then super-imposed upon that the
global mean temperature in colors showing pre-paper and post-paper periods — because this helps to show just how far back it was possible to make reasoned projections without the aid of a more nuanced and modern understanding.
The Mg / Ca estimates of tropical
ocean cooling would be nearly impossible to reconcile with a
global sensitivity of 2.3 degrees.
Dr. Easterbrook spoke of his studies of solar activity and
ocean cycles and his prediction that a decades - long
global cooling spell was coming, deeper than the one in the middle of the 20th century.
«Since the
ocean component of the climate system has by far the biggest heat capacity», I've been wondering if the
cool waters of the deep
ocean could be used to mitigate the effects of
global warming for a few centuries until we have really depleated our carbon reserves and the system can begin to recover on its own.
My amateur spreadsheet tracking and projecting the monthly NASA GISS values suggests that while 2018 and 2019 are likely to be
cooler than 2017, they may also be the last years on Earth with
global average land and
ocean surface temperature anomaly below 1C above pre-industrial average (using 1850 - 1900 proxy).
Re # 35: «Pielke believes
ocean heat content changes are the most reliable metric for assessing
global heating and
cooling.»
IF
cool deep sea water were mixed relentlessly with surface water by some engineering method --(e.g. lots of wave operated pumps and 800m pipes) could that enouromous
cool reservoir of water a) mitigate the thermal expansion of the
oceans because of the differential in thermal expansion of cold and warm water, and b)
cool the atmosphere enough to reduce the other wise expected effects of
global warming?
Redistribution of heat (such as vertical transport between the surface and the deeper
ocean) could cause some surface and atmospheric temperature change that causes some
global average warming or
cooling.
As I said before with exception of GISS, the other four organizations who measure
global temperatures [land +
ocean] show the same
cooling trend from 2002.
Data from 3,000 scientific robots in the world's
oceans show there has been slight
cooling in the past five years, never mind that «80 % to 90 % of
global warming involves heating up
ocean waters,» according to a report by NPR's Richard Harris.
«Then they
cool off the
oceans and that reduces evaporation and thus
global precipitation.»
One of the reasons they need this new idea that
global warming takes a break for a decade or two is because the
oceans are showing every sign of
cooling.
Albedo from medium / low level clouds warms or
cools the
ocean surface by increasing or decreasing over time across the
global surface.
However, the end of the current El Niño and the possible triggering of a La Niña event — an extensive
cooling of the central and eastern tropical Pacific
Ocean — is likely to bring a temporary halt to rising
global temperatures, according to the Met Office.
For example — unless there is a fundamentally different mechanism involved — the PDO and ENSO merely redistributes heat between
oceans and atmosphere and there is no net effect on
global warming or
cooling at all.
If it IS indeed a strong correlation then the
oceans must be
cooling like crazy on a
global basis since mid-2007...
It did not «cause» the LIA, as indeed, you know the LIA was quite variable, but it made a serious dent in
global ocean heat content, and thus, was the doorway to the LIA
cooling period that followed.
Yes sure try to tell us that Antarctic
cooling, a stratospheric
cooling pause for 19 years, a
global heating pause for 17 years and no
ocean warming since accurate records replaced abject guesswork are all just «not relevant» rather than 4 separate clear refutations of manmade warming.
2) The
oceans are
cooling instead of warming and setting off a feedback loop of greenhouse warming: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=88520025 The spin is:
global warming missing heat.
For the past century at least,
global temperatures have tended to mirror the 20 - to 30 - year warmings and
coolings of the north - central Pacific
Ocean.
Net back radiation
cools the
ocean, on a
global average by 66 watts per square meter.
ENSO at least says something PHYSICAL about how heat is being entrained in the deep
ocean: a La Nina ought to anchor
global surface temperatures to the deep
ocean and
cool it.
as we can we may be able to influence albedo on an
ocean scale — and hopefully create a little bit of
global cooling.