In the late 1970s, Munk realized that you could monitor
global ocean temperature by how fast sound travels within the sea, as sound travels faster through warmer, lighter water.
Not exact matches
But as climate patterns become less predictable and
global ocean temperatures rise, the water
temperature readings identified
by the Rutgers team might bring to light similar patterns that will allow forecasters to adjust their intensity forecasts accordingly.
The Tibetan Plateau in China experiences the strongest monsoon system on Earth, with powerful winds — and accompanying intense rains in the summer months — caused
by a complex system of
global air circulation patterns and differences in surface
temperatures between land and
oceans.
The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted
by current models of
global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in
temperatures, combined with acidification of the
oceans.
«August and June - August
global temperatures each reach record high, driven largely
by record warm
global oceans.»
By next year, the Argo project will have installed 3,000 floating sensors across all the
oceans, offering a daily snapshot of
global patterns of water
temperature and salinity — crucial for predicting the nature and pace of climate change.
«Our research indicates that as
global warming continues, parts of East Antarctica will also be affected
by these wind - induced changes in
ocean currents and
temperatures,» Dr Jourdain said.
«
By prescribing the effects of human - made climate change and observed
global ocean temperatures, our model can reproduce the observed shifts in weather patterns and wildfire occurrences.»
«The range of pH and
temperature that some organisms experience on a daily basis exceeds the changes we expect to see in the
global ocean by the end of the century,» notes Rivest, an assistant professor at VIMS.
Average
global land and
ocean temperatures have climbed at a rate of 0.2 °C per decade since 1976, according to data compiled
by the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in Geneva, Switzerland.
A detailed, long - term
ocean temperature record derived from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth of recent El Niño events reflects not just the natural
ocean - atmosphere cycle but a new factor:
global warming caused
by human activity.
So the report notes that the current «pause» in new
global average
temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained
by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped
by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
Global ocean temperatures were unprecedented during the period, and several land areas, including the continental United States, Australia, Europe, South America and Russia, broke
temperature records
by large margins.
These discoveries were made possible
by the enhancement of a
global network to monitor sea - surface
temperatures, under the auspices of TOGA and another large international study, the World
Ocean Circulation Experiment.
The average August
temperature for the
global oceans was record high for the month, at 0.65 °C (1.17 °F) above the 20th century average, beating the previous record set in 2005
by 0.08 °C (0.14 °F).
This curve represents the portion of
global temperature that is not accounted for
by the two main
ocean oscillations, of respective periods 56 years and 75 years, and the CO2 blanket that Tyndall and Arrhenius wrote about in the 19th century.
The reason could be linked to rising sea surface
temperatures — fueled in part
by global warming — as seen in
ocean buoy data collected along the U.S. coast.
The observed and projected rates of increase in freshwater runoff could potentially disrupt
ocean circulation if
global temperatures rise
by 3 to 4 °C over this century as forecast
by the IPCC 2001 report.
For as much as atmospheric
temperatures are rising, the amount of energy being absorbed
by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep
oceans and the change in the
global heat content (Figure 4).
These rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase in
global average
temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed
by the
oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake of atmospheric CO2 has led to major changes in surface
ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
With the contribution of such record warmth at year's end and with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the average
global temperature across land and
ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014
by 0.16 °C (0.29 °F).
A typical oceanographic mooring, like one deployed in the northwest Atlantic
Ocean by the Global Ocean Ecoystems Dynamics (GLOBEC) program, holds a large array of instrumentation: seven current meters, seven temperature gauges, three optical turbidity scanners, four salinity / conductivity / pressure meters, and one Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) that records surface ocean current patterns around the moo
Ocean by the
Global Ocean Ecoystems Dynamics (GLOBEC) program, holds a large array of instrumentation: seven current meters, seven temperature gauges, three optical turbidity scanners, four salinity / conductivity / pressure meters, and one Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) that records surface ocean current patterns around the moo
Ocean Ecoystems Dynamics (GLOBEC) program, holds a large array of instrumentation: seven current meters, seven
temperature gauges, three optical turbidity scanners, four salinity / conductivity / pressure meters, and one Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) that records surface
ocean current patterns around the moo
ocean current patterns around the mooring.
The circled area is (roughly) the solar energy already absorbed
by the
ocean and yet to manifest itself in
global temperatures i.e - warming already committed.
With its mention of the
ocean and the pursuit to reduce
global warming to well below 2, even 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial
temperatures, the agreement adopted
by all 196 parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Paris on December 12, 2015, is appreciated
by scientists present at the negotiations.
The only time period that remotely resembles the
ocean changes happening today, based on geologic records, was 56 million years ago when carbon mysteriously doubled in the atmosphere,
global temperatures rose
by approximately six degrees and
ocean pH dropped sharply, driving up
ocean acidity and causing a mass extinction among single - celled
ocean organisms.
El Niño is a recurring climate pattern defined
by above - average
ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific that affect weather patterns around the world, leading to a slight uptick in
global temperatures.
For the
oceans, the November
global sea surface
temperature was 0.84 °C (1.51 °F) above the 20th century average of 15.8 °C (60.4 °F), the highest for November on record, surpassing the previous record set last year
by 0.20 °C (0.36 °F).
The June globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.39 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 61.5 °F — the highest
global ocean temperature for June in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015
by 0.05 °F.
The May globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.37 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 61.3 °F — the highest
global ocean temperature for May in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015
by 0.09 °F.
The April globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.44 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 60.9 °F — the highest
global ocean temperature for April in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015
by 0.25 °F and besting 1998, the last time a similar strength El Niño occurred,
by 0.43 °F.
The July globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.42 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 61.5 °F — the highest
global ocean temperature for July in the 1880 — 2016 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2015
by 0.07 °F.
The CDR potential and possible environmental side effects are estimated for various COA deployment scenarios, assuming olivine as the alkalinity source in ice ‐ free coastal waters (about 8.6 % of the
global ocean's surface area), with dissolution rates being a function of grain size, ambient seawater
temperature, and pH. Our results indicate that for a large ‐ enough olivine deployment of small ‐ enough grain sizes (10 µm), atmospheric CO2 could be reduced
by more than 800 GtC
by the year 2100.
The September globally averaged sea surface
temperature was 1.33 °F above the 20th century monthly average of 61.1 °F, tying with 2014 as the second highest
global ocean temperature for September in the 1880 — 2016 record, behind 2015
by 0.16 °F.
First, today a paper
by Grant Foster and Stefan Rahmstorf was published
by Environmental Research Letters, providing a new analysis of the five available
global (land +
ocean)
temperature time series.
2) Anthropogenic
global warming will not affect the Arctic (or any other region) solely
by increasing local
temperatures, but also
by its complex effects on climate as a whole, which includes affects on patterns of wind and
ocean currents.
Global average air
temperature near the surface is dominated
by the
ocean (because it covers two thirds of the planet), particularly at low latitudes.
Human water vapour emissions are irrelevant, as water vapour is in dynamic equilibrium with
ocean water, an equilibrium controlled
by global mean
temperature, i.e., other greenhouse gases etc..
But I would suppose that equilibrium climate sensitivity [background] and even
global mean surface
temperature on a decadal scale could be better nailed down
by model pruning and better
ocean data.
If La Nina / El Nino can affect
global air
temperatures in a period of a few years, than other changes in
ocean currents (driven
by AGW) can affect
global atmospheric heat content in a few years.
Global hurricane frequency versus global ocean temperatures - Top image from FSU ACE, bottom image from GISS ocean data plotted by WUWT - click for larger
Global hurricane frequency versus
global ocean temperatures - Top image from FSU ACE, bottom image from GISS ocean data plotted by WUWT - click for larger
global ocean temperatures - Top image from FSU ACE, bottom image from GISS
ocean data plotted
by WUWT - click for larger image
These record
temperatures have been assisted
by a very strong El Niño event, which brought warm water to the
ocean surface, temporarily warming
global surface
temperatures.
It has a miscule effect and was used
by realclimate as a get out of jail clause because they knew the
oceans dominate atmospheric
global temperatures.
A 2008 report commissioned
by WWF warned that if
global temperatures rise 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) above pre-industrial averages, sea ice in the Southern
Ocean could shrink
by 10 to 15 percent.
[G] etting the [monsoon] forecast right remains a challenge, thanks to the complex — and still poorly understood — ways in which South Asia's monsoon rains are influenced
by everything from atmospheric and
ocean temperatures to air quality and
global climate trends.
At 0.2 C century
global ocean warming it'll take 1000 years not 400 years to raise
global average
temperature by 2.0 C.
We can look at the impacts of the GISS infilling method
by subtracting the
global GISS land -
ocean temperature index data with 250 km smoothing from the GISS data with 1200 km smoothing.
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variabilit
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the
global mean surface
temperature, the land -
ocean temperature contrast, the
temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual cycle in
temperature over land and the mean meridional
temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained
by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variabilit
by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
Whether we look at the steady increase in
global temperature; the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the highest level in a half - million years; the march of warmest - ever years (9 of the10 hottest on record have occurred since 2000); the dramatic shrinking of mountain glaciers and Arctic sea ice; the accelerating rise in sea level; or the acidification of our
oceans; the tale told
by the evidence is consistent and it is compelling.
A
global - scale instrumental
temperature record that has not been contaminated
by (a) artificial urban heat (asphalt, machines, industrial waste heat, etc.), (b)
ocean - air affected biases (detailed herein), or (c) artificial adjustments to past data that uniformly serve to cool the past and warm the present... is now available.
Forest 2006, along with several other climate sensitivity studies, used simulations
by the MIT 2D model of zonal surface and upper - air
temperatures and
global deep -
ocean temperature, the upper - air data being least influential.