July 2016 marks the 40th consecutive July with
global ocean temperatures at least nominally above the 20th century average.
Not exact matches
Curtis Deutsch, associate professor
at the University of Washington's School of Oceanography, studies how increasing
global temperatures are altering the levels of dissolved oxygen in the world's
oceans.
Indeed, scientists
at Scripps recently suggested that 1,800 - year cycles of
ocean tides could drive a natural rise in
global temperatures.
Rising
global temperatures portend shifts in all these
ocean currents, potentially with drastic consequences, says Albert Gabric, an environmental scientist
at Griffith University in Brisbane.
Global warming is also contributing to the rising
ocean temperatures on the whole, but «the warming of the
ocean alone is not sufficient to explain what we see,» said Eric Rignot, a glacier expert
at the University of California, Irvine, in an emailed comment on the new study.
Land and
Ocean Combined: The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.1 °F (15.6
Ocean Combined: The combined average
temperature over
global land and
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.1 °F (15.6
ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month,
at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.1 °F (15.6 °C).
Michael Marshall's look
at geoengineering to keep
global temperature rises below 2 °C (12 October, p 10) suggested
ocean liming...
«
At first, tropical
ocean temperature contrast between Pacific and Atlantic causes slow climate variability due to its large thermodynamical inertia, and then affects the atmospheric high - pressure ridge off the California coast via
global teleconnections.
Too much debate treats
temperature (and especially the most recent
global average) as the sole indicator, whereas many other factors are
at play including sea levels,
ocean acidity, ice sheets, ecosystem trends, and many more.
«The range of pH and
temperature that some organisms experience on a daily basis exceeds the changes we expect to see in the
global ocean by the end of the century,» notes Rivest, an assistant professor
at VIMS.
Average
global land and
ocean temperatures have climbed
at a rate of 0.2 °C per decade since 1976, according to data compiled by the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in Geneva, Switzerland.
The
global ocean temperature was a major contributor to the
global average, as its departure from average for the period was also highest on record,
at 0.63 °C (1.13 °F) above average.
The average August
temperature for the
global oceans was record high for the month,
at 0.65 °C (1.17 °F) above the 20th century average, beating the previous record set in 2005 by 0.08 °C (0.14 °F).
With ENSO - neutral conditions present during the first half of 2013, the January — June
global temperature across land and
ocean surfaces tied with 2003 as the seventh warmest such period,
at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century average.
In applying them, they found that a more realistic representation of the marine ecosystem helped the
ocean to take up and store carbon
at similar rates regardless of
global changes in physical properties, like
temperature, salinity and circulation.
With the contribution of such record warmth
at year's end and with 10 months of the year record warm for their respective months, including the last 8 (January was second warmest for January and April was third warmest), the average
global temperature across land and
ocean surface areas for 2015 was 0.90 °C (1.62 °F) above the 20th century average of 13.9 °C (57.0 °F), beating the previous record warmth of 2014 by 0.16 °C (0.29 °F).
The former is likely to overestimate the true
global surface air
temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the
ocean is predicted to rise
at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
With its mention of the
ocean and the pursuit to reduce
global warming to well below 2, even 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial
temperatures, the agreement adopted by all 196 parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Paris on December 12, 2015, is appreciated by scientists present
at the negotiations.
The
global land and
ocean temperature during January has increased
at an average rate of +0.07 °C (+0.13 °F) per decade since 1880; however, the average rate of increase is twice as great since 1975.
At that point in geological history,
global surface
temperatures were rising naturally with spurts of rapid regional warming in areas like the North Atlantic
Ocean.
a)
global mean thermosteric sea level anomaly (b) and zonal mean
ocean temperature at 792.5 mtrs, 66 S (the Southern Oc
ocean temperature at 792.5 mtrs, 66 S (the Southern
OceanOcean).
It is no coincidence that shifts in
ocean and atmospheric indices occur
at the same time as changes in the trajectory of
global surface
temperature.
First,
global mean surface
temperature depends on the quantity of heat stored
at the surface of the earth (earth, lower atmosphere, and the mixed layer of the
oceans).
«The combined average
temperature over
global land and
ocean surfaces tied with 2010 as the highest on record for April,
at 58.09 °F (14.47 °C) or 1.39 °F (0.77 °C) above the 20th century average.»
Given that you comment that the largest differences between the different forcings is between land and
ocean or between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, have you looked
at the land —
ocean temperature difference or the Northern — Southern Hemisphere
temperature difference, as they both scale linearly with ECS, in the same way as
global mean
temperature for ghg forcing, but not for aerosol forcing.
Global average air
temperature near the surface is dominated by the
ocean (because it covers two thirds of the planet), particularly
at low latitudes.
First I calculated the land - only,
ocean - only and
global mean
temperatures and MSU - LT values for 5 ensemble members, then I looked
at the trends in each of these timeseries and calculated the ratios.
Long waves (infrared) light from the sun, GHGs, clouds, are trapped
at the surface of the
oceans, directly leading to increased «skin»
temperature, more water vapor (a very effective GHG), faster convection (with more loss of heat to space in the tropics),... How each of them converts to real regional /
global temperature increases / decreases is another point of discussion...
The former is likely to overestimate the true
global surface air
temperature trend (since the
oceans do not warm as fast as the land), while the latter may underestimate the true trend, since the air
temperature over the
ocean is predicted to rise
at a slightly higher rate than the
ocean temperature.
Re Todd
at # 1 and CM
at # 5: Am I right in understanding that the key point is that it's quite possible for
global surface
temperatures to decrease even as the globe warms if more than the excess inflow of heat goes into the deep
oceans?
«Another recent paper used a different NOAA
ocean surface
temperature data set to find that since 2003 the
global average
ocean surface
temperature has been rising
at a rate that is an order of magnitude smaller than the rate of increase reported in Karl's paper.»
(8) Since
at least 1980 changes in
global temperature, and presumably especially southern
ocean temperature, appear to represent a major control on changes in atmospheric CO2.»
Clearly the rate
at which TOA imbalance diffuses into and through the
global ocean is key to how much and how quickly
global average surface
temperature will rise over any given span of time.
For the past century
at least,
global temperatures have tended to mirror the 20 - to 30 - year warmings and coolings of the north - central Pacific
Ocean.
ENSO
at least says something PHYSICAL about how heat is being entrained in the deep
ocean: a La Nina ought to anchor
global surface
temperatures to the deep
ocean and cool it.
Anthropogenic GHG warming is about the Earth's energy balance, and thus, looking
at an average
global near - surface
temperature, or the total
ocean heat content can tell us something useful about that energy balance.
Your 30 °C could be relevant if most of the
global ocean was
at 30 °C but it isn't, and in the ex-tropics cloud cover decreases as
temperature rises during summer.
At 0.2 C century
global ocean warming it'll take 1000 years not 400 years to raise
global average
temperature by 2.0 C.
We can look
at the impacts of the GISS infilling method by subtracting the
global GISS land -
ocean temperature index data with 250 km smoothing from the GISS data with 1200 km smoothing.
Whether we look
at the steady increase in
global temperature; the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the highest level in a half - million years; the march of warmest - ever years (9 of the10 hottest on record have occurred since 2000); the dramatic shrinking of mountain glaciers and Arctic sea ice; the accelerating rise in sea level; or the acidification of our
oceans; the tale told by the evidence is consistent and it is compelling.
You don't have to doubt the catastrophic anthropogenic
global warming theory to know that there are key variables that have important, measurable effects on world
temperatures at these kind of timescales —
ocean cycles come to mind immediately — which he has left out.
At current energy imbalance the
global ocean average
temperature will rise 0.2 C.
Nor does it seem a coincidence that shifts in
ocean and atmospheric indices occur
at the same time as changes in the trajectory of
global surface
temperature.
The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand
at Sarajevo is assumed to have no impact on
global temperature due to the thermal mass involved and distance from the
ocean.
Water takes longer to heat up and cool down than does the air or land, so
ocean warming is considered to be a better indicator of
global warming than measurements of
global atmospheric
temperatures at the Earth's surface.
Jul 14, 2014 — Analysis: Solar activity &
ocean cycles are the 2 primary drivers of climate, not CO2... The correlation of CO2 alone to
global temperature is poor
at only 44 %, not... The coefficients of determination are a measure of how accurately the....
I think that any argument based on
global temperatures must
at least be supported when argued from
ocean temperatures.
Comparison of
global lower troposphere
temperature anomaly over the
oceans (blue line) to a model based on the first derivative of atmospheric CO2 concentration
at Mauna Loa (red line).
I'm not a climate scientist, but I would have considered it good science to understand the effects of each of the major natural changes that are known to affect
global temperatures, including the multidecadal
ocean oscillations, long before I started looking
at any anthropogenic effects.
To see the problem, look
at the different formats for the 5 major
global land &
ocean temperature anomaly series: GISS, RSS, Hadley, NOAA, UAH.