What do you think of the chances for an accurate
global prediction for one day, much less for decades or more?
The study, published in Nature Communications uses newly available data and advanced models to
improve global predictions when it comes to extreme sea levels.
The study, published today in Nature Communications uses newly available data and advanced models to improve
global predictions when it comes to extreme sea levels.
We can perhaps learn from numerical weather prediction where the benefits of
developing global prediction models with high vertical and horizontal resolution are clear cut (confirmed most recently by predictions of Sandy).
Although these new global land - use histories remain at an early stage of development, their quantitative and spatially
detailed global predictions offer an unprecedented opportunity to investigate the global extent, timing, driving forces, and impacts of land use as a process transforming the Earth System over the Holocene.
In general, the regional predictions of the GCMs are worse, in some cases much worse, than
the global predictions.