Isn't it a little dicey then trying to get ahead of
the global warming curve at * precisely * the time that:
In an essay published online then at MIT Technology Review, I worried that the famous «hockey stick» graph plotted by three American climatologists in the late 1990s portrayed
the global warming curve with too much certainty and inappropriate simplicity.
Are you saying that the predicted
global warming curve was obtained simply by cloning the data points of the observed warming curve?
The 15 - year figure I obtained is how far I had to slide rightwards the predicted
global warming curve in Figure 3 so as to make its curvature match that of the observed
global warming curve in Figure 2.
Cohen et al. have shown two years ago that it is mainly the recent cold winters in Eurasia that have contributed to the flattening of
the global warming curve (see figure).
Not exact matches
► In Books et al., Gavin Schmidt of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies panned Behind the
Curve: Science and the Politics of
Global Warming by Joshua P. Howe.
«But what we show is that you can blame this strong change in the bell
curve (of temperature distributions) on
global warming.
Related Content Heidi Cullen's Senate Testimony on Climate Science Why
Global Warming Slowed in the 2000's: Another Possible Explanation The Heat is On: U.S. Temperature Trends The Keeling
Curve (Graphic)
The Keeling
Curve, a famous graph named after scientist Charles David Keeling, measures the increase in carbon dioxide concentration in the air since 1958; it is considered the bedrock of
global warming science because it is generally believed that there is a direct correlation between increasing levels of carbon dioxide and
global warming.
These trends are derived from exactly the same data as those used in the original figure, that was used to argue that the
global warming had stopped — by two professors and a statistician, the very same who performed
curve - fitting and removed data not fitting their conclusion.
Hence, the
curves must be cropped to give the impression that the
global warming has disappeared.
Again, all of this is inevitably going to happen, slowly, while
curves for costs and prices are unavoidably shifting for reasons including those having nothing directly to do with combating
global warming.
A
curve with no trend does not demonstrate that something is unaffected by
global warming.
And, although I would love to claim that «ocean» is my real name, the reason I am using a pseudonym is that anonymity allows me more confidence in asking stupid questions because I am still on a learning
curve with
global warming on other material discussed on RC.
As long as the regions not covered
warm up like the rest of the world, that does not change the
global temperature
curve.
Artic climatologists are worried that the knee of the
curve has already been reached on
global warming reaching the positive - feedback stage because the ice loss this year was so dramatically greater than the trend of previous years.
The authors say they've combined «empirical fitness
curves» with «projected geographical distribution of climate change for the next century» and have concluded that insects living in the tropics may suffer more from
global warming than insects that live in cooler locales.
In this Hadley Centre model study Forest cover decreases most rapidly from +1 to +3 degrees Celsius of
global average
warming, suggesting the Amazon tipping point slides along the temperature scale following an S - shaped
curve.
However, as long as we don't mind disregarding physical reality, it's easy to pretend
global warming just boils down to these El Niño step changes by playing the denialists» favorite game -
curve fitting.
Global warming seems to be on a rapid upper
curve.
The red
curve shows
warming in the 19th century before there were significant CO2 emissions, so it weakens the case that
global warming is man - made.
Unfortunately in most temperature
curves this is wiped out by an imaginary «late twentieth century
warming,» It is fake but is needed to support the fiction that Hansen in 1988 reported
global warming to the Senate.
On the GISS
curve 1986 had the ~ same T as 1961, hindsight is 20/20, from the 87 perspective it was by no means clear that we were in a period of
global warming.
The red and blue
curves do diverge in the 19th century, but the one that provides more support for anthropogenic
global warming is the blue hockey stick.
It is 100 % clear that the NASA temperature record is complete garbage, and that they are simply shaping
curves to match the
global warming agenda.
IPCC exercise in
curve - fitting to prove anthropogenic
global warming (AGW), Energy & Environment 23 (4).
But to bolster his claim of
global warming he manufactured a rising temperature
curve for the eighties and nineties that hides the lack of
warming for those 18 years.
So yes —
global warming looks to have stopped (if you believe in HadCRUT4) when one defines
global surface temperature in terms of that trend — the brown
curve.
I've read that Keeling's saw - tooth
curve, and the results of other similar studies, show a steady rise in atmospheric CO2; and
global warming is happening — no one denies it, as you say (RACookPE1978).
There was an 18 year cessation of
warming in the eighties and nineties that was covered up by a fake
global warming in official temperature
curves.
The particularly striking flat portion of MRES is from 1860 to 1950, which is strong support for my point that
global warming can already be observed starting in 1860 as shown in Figure 2, Observed Global Warming or OGW, and follows a curve that is in remarkable agreement with what the greenhouse effect hypothesis should pr
global warming can already be observed starting in 1860 as shown in Figure 2, Observed Global Warming or OGW, and follows a curve that is in remarkable agreement with what the greenhouse effect hypothesis should p
warming can already be observed starting in 1860 as shown in Figure 2, Observed
Global Warming or OGW, and follows a curve that is in remarkable agreement with what the greenhouse effect hypothesis should pr
Global Warming or OGW, and follows a curve that is in remarkable agreement with what the greenhouse effect hypothesis should p
Warming or OGW, and follows a
curve that is in remarkable agreement with what the greenhouse effect hypothesis should predict.
The top 10
warmest years on record have all come since 1998 as a result...» Here we have a demonstration of basic ignorance about the
global temperature
curve.
The upward
warming curve leveled off and suddenly «
global warming» became «climate change» instead, although according to the IPCC the underlying threat is still hotter temperatures.
The fact that this is a line, not a
curve with increasing slope with increasing years shows that there has not been any change in the
global warming rate.
Flashman, the chart in your link doesn't support the kind of «
global warming» that you warmists preach: it's not proportional with the Keely CO2
curve.
Blaming
global warming on the movements of other planets is little more than «climastrology» and
curve fitting without a physical basis.
Considering the recent evidence that climate models have failed to predict the flattening of the
global temperature
curve, and that
global warming seems to have ended some 15 years ago, the work of the NIPCC is particularly important.»
Instead, climate reality and natural climatic forces intruded - real world temperatures since 1988 resemble the cyan temperature
curve of «draconian» emission cuts that Hansen's testimony implied would necessarily make
global warming safe by end of 2014.
As stated previously, the IPCC has confirmed the rapid, continuing growth of GHGs since the end of 1999, which per the NASA climate model, should have produced
global warming equal to the bright green
curve on the chart.
Per the chart of empirical evidence, the deceleration of
global warming is evident from the fitted trend
curve.
Per both the 2nd order fitted trend (blue
curve) and the 36 - month moving average (red
curve), the deceleration of the
global warming trend and a plateauing can easily be seen.
The red
curve is a 60 - month average that clearly indicates «
global warming» in the U.S. has gone AWOL for at least a decade - on «hiatus,» so to speak.
If manmade
global warming is true the temperature is going to keep rising, irregardless of past changes and whether you can fit them with various
curves.
The chart on the left (for periods ending Sept. 1999) reveals an acceleration of
global warming trends, while the CO2 growth trends (see black dotted
curve) across periods were fairly stable.
Further, if you look at the blue
curve (Canada model) you will see that tuning the model to improve the agreement for mid century has the effect of over estimating the
global warming at the end of the century.
This chart is a plot of
global «
warming» as represented by the red
curve (a 5th order fitted trend) and the grey
curve for CO2 levels (a 5th order fit).
If this is true,
global temperature
curve, created by
warming pf carbon dioxide.
Glob al temperature
curve simply can not be generated fri temperature changes of the carbon dioxide
curve as the greenhouse theory of
global warming dictates.
The charts I did are around pages 6 - 7 of the pdf, the ones showing the projected
curve of
global warming for various climate sensitivities, and backing into what that should imply for current
warming.
And it was just one in a long series of threats I've received since the late 1990s, when my research illustrated the unprecedented nature of
global warming, producing an upward - trending temperature
curve whose shape has been likened to a hockey stick.