While some studies consistently project decreases in
the globally averaged frequency of tropical cyclones, substantial increases are projected in the frequency of the most intense cyclones.
Frequency and intensity appear to relate to ENSO events such that most strong and moderate intensity El Niño events (1982/83, 1986/87/88, 1991/92, 1997/98, 2004/05, 2009/10 and 2015/16) are evident as a peak in
globally averaged frequency and intensity (Fig. 1c, f).
Not exact matches
«Future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently suggest that greenhouse warming will cause the
globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms,» Knutson et al. (2010); Grinsted et al. (2013) projected «a twofold to sevenfold increase in the
frequency of Katrina magnitude events for a 1 °C rise in global temperature.»
Yes, this change is not
globally uniform, just an
average, some have more and some have less than double the
frequency of warm summers defined that way.
«We find that from 1925 to 2016, global
average marine heatwave
frequency and duration increased by 34 % and 17 %, respectively, resulting in a 54 % increase in annual marine heatwave days
globally.