In order to estimate
globally averaged temperature changes with a high degree of accuracy, it is necessary to have a broad spatial distribution of observations that are made with high precision.break
On the other hand, the Arctic sea ice albedo reduction does contribute significantly to polar amplification of
globally averaged temperature changes.
... Polar amplification explains in part why Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet appear to be highly sensitive to relatively small increases in CO2 concentration and global mean temperature... Polar amplification occurs if the magnitude of zonally averaged surface temperature change at high latitudes exceeds
the globally averaged temperature change, in response to climate forcings and on time scales greater than the annual cycle.
Not exact matches
In fact, all climate models do predict that the
change in
globally -
averaged steady state
temperature, at least, is almost exactly proportional to the
change in net radiative forcing, indicating a near - linear response of the climate, at least on the broadest scales.
Except that GHG forcing + cooling aerosol forcing results in less precipitation
globally in general than reduced GHG forcing that produces the same global
average temperature, as found in «Climate
Change Methadone» elsewhere at RC.
That we can get a 10 - or even 15 - year period with no real
change in
globally averaged temperature even though in the end we have strong global warming.
The crux of Bates» claim is that NOAA, the federal government's top agency in charge of climate science, published a poorly - researched but widely praised study with the political goal of disproving the controversial global warming hiatus theory, which suggests that global warming slowed down from 1998 until 2012 with little
change in
globally -
averaged surface
temperatures — a direct contrast to global warming advocates» claim that the earth's
temperature has been constantly increasing.
Antarctic
temperature changes across the ice ages were very similar to
globally -
averaged temperatures, except that ice age
temperature changes over Antarctica were roughly twice that of the global
average.
Consider that the measurement used, the
globally averaged temperature anomaly (GATA), is always
changing.
The air responds to a
change in it's own resistor efficiency by
changing it's own circulation patterns to again meet the requirement that the surface air
temperature and the sea surface
temperature be the same on
average globally.
Dr. Gerald A. Meehl — Nature Climate
Change — 18th September 2011 «There have been decades, such as 2000 — 2009, when the observed
globally averaged surface -
temperature time series shows little increase or even a slightly negative trend1 (a hiatus period)....»
Doing this on a year - to - year basis shows NO apparent correlation with the absolute «
globally and annually
averaged land and sea surface
temperature anomaly» (i.e. HadCRUT3), but does show a weak correlation with the
CHANGE in
temperature from the previous year, for example:
3) So in the last 100 years, the Sun had zero impact on the
change of
globally averaged temperatures?
These feedbacks are the primary source of uncertainty in how much the earth will warm (side note: the question that most climate scientists who study the forcing due to CO2 try to answer is, how much will the long - term
globally averaged surface
temperature of the earth rise due to an rapid rise of CO2 to twice its industrial level, that is, 270 ppm to 540 ppm; it is currently about 380 last time I checked, and rising at ~ 3ppm / year, although this rate of
change appears to be accelerating).
Globally, at the United Nations Conference on Climate
Change in Paris, 195 countries — including the United States, at the time — agreed to pollution - cutting provisions with a goal of preventing the
average global
temperature from rising more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial times.
Recently, under the Paris Agreement on Climate
Change, there has been a call for research into impacts associated with a 1.5 C or 2C
globally -
averaged surface
temperature anomaly.