Isn't higher air / water temperature a great factor in
greater hurricane intensity?
... defended his view that changing sea conditions could be contributing to
greater hurricane intensity.
«The implication is that the warmer oceans increased the risk of
greater hurricane intensity and duration,» Trenberth said.
Increasing temps cause
greater hurricane intensity, then further increases decrease that intensity (maybe due to wind shear), then??
Not exact matches
Globally, estimates of the potential destructiveness of
hurricanes show a significant upward trend since the mid-1970s, with a trend towards longer lifetimes and
greater storm
intensity, and such trends are strongly correlated with tropical SST.
He is saying his modelling predicts fewer
hurricanes, but of
greater intensity.
Since daily ACE represents a 4 - times daily sum of wind speed squared, an «average» September 21st could see one of the following (among other combos): One TC at 125 knots Two TCs at 90 knots Three TCs at 70 knots or Six TCs at 50 knots Current TCs = 0 September 15: Global
Hurricane Frequency [storms with maximum
intensity greater than 64 knots] has dramatically collapsed during the past 2 - 3 years.
Interestingly, their noisy regression (slope) results hint at a much
greater sensitivity of
hurricane intensity to SST than our simulations...
However, other dimensions that still hold higher degrees of scientific uncertainty — such as the linkages between climate change and
hurricane intensity, or on matters of political disagreement, such as if cap and trade legislation is an effective solution — remain subjects where journalists justifiably should emphasize a
greater diversity of views.
Of course, there have been many Atlantic
hurricanes of
greater intensity, even affecting NY and above.
The Gulf Coast is historically prone to
hurricanes, but climate change has contributed to a
greater intensity of extreme weather events like
hurricanes and an increase in the amount of rain produced by those events.
We are told that global warming is increasing the
intensity of
hurricanes, but not provided information on the
great amount of uncertainty and vigorous scientific debate on this issue.
Globally, estimates of the potential destructiveness of
hurricanes show a signifi cant upward trend since the mid-1970s, with a trend towards longer lifetimes and
greater storm
intensity, and such trends are strongly correlated with tropical SST.
Or that the warming of the surface waters in the tropical Atlantic is suspected of giving us future
hurricanes of
greater intensity?
So efforts to identify
hurricane intensities that are high in the 1940s - 1960s are futile in refuting our hypothesis unless
intensities are identified to be
greater than those we have seen in the past decade.
[A] nthropogenic climate change is expected to lead to a
greater incidence of high -
intensity hurricanes, which together with rising sea level, will produce increased risk of storm surge flooding, while
hurricanes are projected to produce substantially more precipitation as the atmosphere and oceans warm.