By late this century, models on average project a slight decrease in the number of tropical cyclones each year, but an increase in the number of the strongest (Category 4 and 5) hurricanes and
greater rainfall rates in hurricanes (increases of about 20 percent averaged near the center of hurricanes).
The models are in better agreement when projecting changes in hurricane precipitation — almost all existing studies project
greater rainfall rates in hurricanes in a warmer climate, with projected increases of about 20 % averaged near the center of hurricanes.