Sentences with phrase «greater uncertainty»

The surprise move by the Chinese monetary authorities should increase real estate's status as a «most favored» asset class as investors seek out stability in a time of greater uncertainty.

The longer the duration of a loan, the greater the uncertainty over whether the borrower will be able to repay the loan.

He adds that while businesses and law firms face greater uncertainty due to the ongoing economic challenges, Norton Rose's global position allows the firm to expand and set up offices in countries where there are opportunities.

MPs were told how proposed changes to litigation funding will be more complicated and lead to greater uncertainty.

The most striking thing is the much greater uncertainty represented by a larger number of data sets in the AR5 collection.

Not trying to be confrontational, but are you saying this is sufficient to establish which metric has greater uncertainty and which metric is more reliable?

The only conclusion I would draw is that MSU data has greater uncertainty and volatility and so is not as reliable as the surface observations.

So in this case, the expected feedback forcing will rise, and there may well be greater uncertainty bars.

Also look at the regional projections (which do have greater uncertainty) and you'll see that seasonally and annually, the Libyan desert and the Sahara region of Africa are going to get hotter, but the increase in temperature there will be dwarfed by the temperature increases around the Arctic Ocean.

TCO: There does seem to be more seasonal variation in the satellite observations than in the surface, but then again there's greater uncertainty and variance in MSU.

Ditto, Lewandowsky's earlier claim that «uncertainty is not your friend» and that «all other things being equal, greater uncertainty means that things could be worse than we thought» (amongst other statements) «arise from simple mathematics», in fact «arose» out of simple wordplay after the abuse of statistical methods.

The chief scientist said Mr. Daboub, who oversees the sustainable development division of the bank, tried to take out some references to climate change completely and, in other cases, replaced it with the phrases «climate risk» and «climate variability», which convey greater uncertainty over the human impact on climate.

This should, in theory, lead to more realistic projections for the future, but many of the climate modellers I spoke to were keen to point out that simulating the climate with more complex models may well lead to greater uncertainty about what the future holds.

A greater uncertainty range would also affect the pause.

Prof Allen said the change «reflects greater uncertainty about what was happening around the last millennium but one».

Hence the AR5 reflects greater uncertainty and a tendency towards lower values of the ECS than the AR4.

A broader PDF with a fatter tail, motivated by greater uncertainty, would imbue the possible catastrophe with a greater probability of occurrence that is above the minimum threshold that triggers action.

Greater uncertainty, I suppose, and more catastrophic outcome than asteroid impact or any of the other scenarios that have been discussed.

And the greater the uncertainty, the more likely we could be faced with some very serious consequences.

All other things being equal, should we be more worried by greater uncertainty or less worried?

In addition, the shorter the segment, the greater the uncertainty in the slope of the segment.

Those arguments are flawed because, if anything, greater uncertainty about the future evolution of the climate should compel us to act with even greater urgency than if there were no (or less) uncertainty.

But if greater damage arrives sooner, then any discounting would only further exacerbate the basic message of the above figure: Greater uncertainty means greater real cost.

The first conclusion about the climate system therefore has to be that the greater the uncertainty, the greater the potential for catastrophe.

The strong dependence of ecosystem function on moisture balance (Baldocchi and Valentini, 2004), coupled with the greater uncertainty about future precipitation than about future temperature (Christensen et al., 2007: Section 11.5.3), further expands the range of possible futures for North American ecosystems.

In other words, greater uncertainty about sensitivity (Panel B) not only translates into greater expected damage, but that damage is also likely to arrive sooner rather than later because the rate of temperature increase is greater with greater sensitivity.

The crucial fact is that greater uncertainty translates into greater likelihood of catastrophic (or bad or terrible) outcomes, all other things being equal.

The effects of this problem are reduced by having greater replication (Briffa et al. 1992a) and the resulting greater uncertainty is considered an acceptable cost (Briffa et al. 1996) for the gain in preservation of low - frequency variance.

The greater the uncertainty, the more likely we could be faced with some very serious consequences.

BEST is much better on such a short timeframe, and even though it's only land temperatures, BEST both shows no evidence of having a significantly different trend since 1998 from the trend for the previous half century and also is generally consistent with rising (but slightly lower, though with significantly greater uncertainty) sea surface temperatures.

But then again, I'm a rational thinking person who holds to the notion that greater uncertainty should be treated as an inherently greater perceived risk.

Further back in time the record goes, the greater the uncertainty gets.

We have seen that all other things being equal, greater uncertainty means that things could be worse than we thought.

It is the probability of such failure that increases with greater uncertainty.

The use of non standardized data set implied a greater uncertainty to the data that was not, could not be addressed; 4.

Yes of course we know more about the climate system than we did in 1991, but more knowledge about the complex climate systems opens up new areas of ignorance and greater uncertainty.

How does greater uncertainty affect the cost of mitigation?

That is, the greater our uncertainty about climate sensitivity, the greater the expected (average) carbon budget that we have available to limit warming to 2 °C.

The bottomline of all those strands of argument is that greater uncertainty means greater risk.

We have also seen that greater uncertainty means that the expected damages from climate change will necessarily be greater than anticipated, and that the allowance we must make for sea level rise will also be greater than anticipated.

So not only does greater uncertainty put the worst - case scenario into a very bad spot, it also increases the likelihood of that worst - case scenario being true.

This is good news, at least at first glance, because it means that greater uncertainty might give us greater leeway.

We have seen that greater uncertainty about the evolution of the climate should give us even greater cause for concern.

All other things being equal, greater uncertainty means a greater risk that mitigation might fail.

What will reveal a reliable trend in the short - run will not be related to global warming, but where a trend can only be discerned over a much longer period and with much greater uncertainty is going reflect global warming.

They apply the greater uncertainty that is intrinsic to research in some fields to generalize about the scientific product in fields that have less uncertainty.

But because the U.S. is now at that ultimate peak, there's greater uncertainty in the study's calculations than in places like India, Pakistan, Vietnam, Nigeria and Venezuela where it's already hot and there's more certainty about dramatic economic harm, Hsiang said.

In the context of my statement on greater uncertainty, this includes too little account of natural variability, but it also allows for the possibility that we have not adequately characterized the worst case scenario.

Given that there is greater uncertainty associated with the HadCRUT data prior to 1900 due to fewer stations and sparser global coverage, and that the TCR constrained by 1901 - 2000 data better matches the IPCC central TCR estimates, their higher TCR (approximately 1.7 to 2.5 °C) seems more likely to be correct.

CO2 emissions from land - use changes are more difficult to estimate and come with greater uncertainty.