The greatest scientific uncertainties concern how fast the climate will change and what will be the regional impacts.
The economists attempt to attach cash values to physical effects about which there is
great scientific uncertainty and dispute.
We know from earlier work that uncertainty is no cause for inaction — on the contrary,
greater scientific uncertainty should make us worry more, not less, about the potential consequences of climate change.
Specifically,
the greater the scientific uncertainty, the greater are the risks from climate change.
Not exact matches
In two companion papers, published today in Climatic Change, the researchers investigated the mathematics of
uncertainty in the climate system and showed that increased
scientific uncertainty necessitates even
greater action to mitigate climate change.
Drs Leonard Smith and Nicholas Stern wrote poignantly about how policy is nearly always set in the context of
uncertainty, and that even incomplete scientific assessments can be of great value («Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/
uncertainty, and that even incomplete
scientific assessments can be of
great value («
Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/
Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/Smith.pdf).
You said: «Like i've said 10 times before, this topic is not my expertise, it is an immature field with many
uncertainties, so I am not motivated to dig into any
scientific nuances here and debate them publicly in a forum like RC that has a
great deal of hostility on this topic owing to pent up frustration, battle scars, whatever.»
Tropical cyclones are responsible for the vast majority of loss of property and life and the level of
scientific uncertainty regarding genesis and intensity of TCs is
greater than extratropical, baroclinic storms.
If society decides it is too
great a risk to mankind to aknowledge any
uncertainty, then that would be a political decision and not a
scientific one.
However, Rick found that in more recent years, more articles discussed the
uncertainty of glacier and ice - sheet behaviour and reported a
greater range of sea - level rise for 2100, reflecting the
greater uncertainty in the
scientific literature.
Judith, I'd contend that there is a
greater difference between the
scientific consensus position and that of science scepticism with regard to
uncertainties, even if there is little to distinguish them in the science.
I suggested to Roger on Prometheus that this sort of thing is dangerous because it gives Congress a
great excuse for inaction (lots of hearings but no legislation, which is the policy equivalent of the
scientific focus on reducing
uncertainties for which he and Sarewitz have strongly criticized the
scientific community).
They apply the
greater uncertainty that is intrinsic to research in some fields to generalize about the
scientific product in fields that have less
uncertainty.
However, other dimensions that still hold higher degrees of
scientific uncertainty — such as the linkages between climate change and hurricane intensity, or on matters of political disagreement, such as if cap and trade legislation is an effective solution — remain subjects where journalists justifiably should emphasize a
greater diversity of views.
Some of the arguments against climate change policies based upon
scientific uncertainty should and can be responded to on
scientific grounds especially in light of the fact that many claims about
scientific uncertainty about human - induced warming are
great distortions of mainstream climate change science.
This question, following up on question one is designed to expose the ethical duty of high - emitting developed countries like the United States to refrain from further delay on climate change on the basis of
scientific uncertainty given that the nation's non-action on climate change is already responsible for putting the international community in
great danger from climate change.
The politicization of climate science (due in part to having Gore as the public face for so long) is one of the primary reasons why there is so
great public doubt even over the basics (leaving out areas like sensitivity where there are large and real
scientific uncertainties).
Because it has been scientifically well established that there is a
great risk of catastrophic harm from human - induced change (even though it is acknowledged that there are remaining
uncertainties about timing and magnitude of climate change impacts), no high - emitting nation, sub-national government, organization, business, or individual of greenhouse gases may use some remaining
scientific uncertainty about climate change impacts as an excuse for not reducing its emissions to its fair share of safe global greenhouse gas emission on the basis of
scientific uncertainty.
Moreover, the Rose Garden speech President Bush delivered that day removed any doubt that the new Bush - Cheney White House had already begun to spin the big lie about climate change, the lie we know so well we can recite it in our sleep:
scientific uncertainties regarding global climate change are too
great to make any policy decisions, especially those that might affect the US economy (read: the US fossil fuel - based energy economy).
Unlike the precision on
scientific calculations where digits are discarded due to
uncertainty in the components, for Big Data — the
greatest single component accuracy is used as a basis for all the rest!
«This is an extremely complex issue but even with the
scientific uncertainties, the risk (of global warming) is so
great that it justifies taking action.»
Based on an extensive literature review, we suggest that (1) climate warming occurs with
great uncertainty in the magnitude of the temperature increase; (2) both human activities and natural forces contribute to climate change, but their relative contributions are difficult to quantify; and (3) the dominant role of the increase in the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases (including CO2) in the global warming claimed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is questioned by the
scientific communities because of large
uncertainties in the mechanisms of natural factors and anthropogenic activities and in the sources of the increased atmospheric CO2 concentration.
We are told that global warming is increasing the intensity of hurricanes, but not provided information on the
great amount of
uncertainty and vigorous
scientific debate on this issue.
What looks like an objection to politically - motivated
scientific inaccuracy in a textbook brings into relief the fact that people's minds and the way they see the world are the source of the
greatest uncertainty in the world.