Some may even still have magma oceans today, whether because they are so close to their stars that silicate vaporizes at the equilibrium temperatures or through massive
greenhouse warming of their surfaces.
Not exact matches
Most scientists and climatologists agree that weird weather is at least in part the result
of global
warming — a steady increase in the average temperature
of the
surface of the Earth thought to be caused by increased concentrations
of greenhouse gasses produced by human activity.
SEAS researchers suggest that early Mars may have been
warmed intermittently by a powerful
greenhouse effect, possibly explaining water on the planet's
surface billions
of years ago.
So this effect could either be the result
of natural variability in Earth's climate, or yet another effect
of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases like water vapor trapping more heat and thus
warming sea -
surface temperatures.
All the
greenhouse gases absorb infrared, and they also release the infrared, so these act as blockades to the infrared, leaving the atmosphere and going off into space; and the Earth
warms up to send off even more infrared from the
surface in order to reach its state, sort
of a steady state with regard to space.
Charlie's research told him that during El Niño weather cycles, the
surface seawaters in the Great Barrier Reef lagoon, already heated to unusually high levels by
greenhouse gas — induced
warming, were being pulsed from a mass
of ocean water known as the Western Pacific
Warm Pool onto the reef's delicate living corals.
But the planets
surface will be
warmer, because a larger fraction
of that infrared will be blocked by the blanket
of greenhouse gases.
Like carbon dioxide, methane is one
of the
greenhouse gases, which trap heat near Earth's
surface and contribute to global
warming.
The
greenhouse effect is the process in which the emission
of infrared radiation by the atmosphere
warms a planet's
surface.
And those feedbacks ultimately determine the extent to which that initial
warming will be amplified, but they don't even change the fact that you elevate
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere and you'll get a
warming of the
surface.
Understanding how layers
of air insulate the
surface of glaciers, for example, is vital to making accurate estimates
of how fast they will melt — and sea levels will rise — as the Earth
warms under its blanket
of greenhouse gases.
The effects
of wind changes, which were found to potentially increase temperatures in the Southern Ocean between 660 feet and 2,300 feet below the
surface by 2 °C, or nearly 3.6 °F, are over and above the ocean
warming that's being caused by the heat - trapping effects
of greenhouse gases.
With lots
of warm surface water releasing heat into the atmosphere, in addition to ever - rising levels
of greenhouse gases, 2015 is likely to surpass the
warmest year on record, and 2016 will be similarly hot.
SEAS research suggests that early Mars may have been
warmed intermittently by a powerful
greenhouse effect, possibly explaining the presence
of water on the planet's
surface.
It bears stating again that the expected amplification has nothing to do with the
greenhouse effect — it is just a function
of the
surface warming.
The observed fact that temperatures increases slower over the oceans than over land demonstrates that the large heat capacity
of the ocean tries to hold back the
warming of the air over the ocean and produces a delay at the
surface but nevertheless the atmosphere responds quit rapidly to increasing
greenhouse gases.
By showing that (a) there are no common physical laws between the
warming phenomenon in glass houses and the fictitious atmospheric
greenhouse effects, (b) there are no calculations to determine an average
surface temperature
of a planet, (c) the frequently mentioned difference
of 33 C is a meaningless number calculated wrongly, (d) the formulas
of cavity radiation are used inappropriately, (e) the assumption
of a radiative balance is unphysical, (f) thermal conductivity and friction must not be set to zero, the atmospheric
greenhouse conjecture is falsified
When
greenhouse gases increase, more longwave radiation is directed back at the ocean
surface, which
warms the cool - skin layer, lowers the thermal gradient, and consequently reduces the rate
of heat loss.
Climate models generally predict that temperatures should increase in the upper air as well as at the
surface if increased concentrations
of greenhouse gases are causing the
warming.»
Re Q # 3: The current answer ``... emission from
greenhouse gases... adds to the
warming at the
surface» is a true fact but is not a valid answer to the question
of how the
greenhouse effect alters
surface temperatures (which underlies the judge's query).
Since 1950, the authors find that
greenhouse gases contributed 166 % (120 - 215 %)
of the observed
surface warming (0.85 °C
of 0.51 °C estimated
surface warming).
Cooling sea -
surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean — part
of a natural
warm and cold cycle — may explain why global average temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as
greenhouse gas emissions have been
warming the planet.
In contrast to historical droughts, future drying is not linked to any particular pattern
of change in sea
surface temperature but seems to be the result
of an overall
surface warming driven by rising
greenhouse gases.
As a result, the
surface of the Earth receives almost twice as much energy from the atmosphere than it receives from the Sun and the
surface is about 30 ° C
warmer than it would be without the presence
of greenhouse gases.
«The observed pattern
of warming, comparing
surface and atmospheric temperature trends, doesn't show the characteristic fingerprint associated with
greenhouse warming,» wrote lead author David Douglas, a climate expert from the University
of Rochester, in New York state.
However, they can provide both positive and negative forcing» and Ray # 252 «we understand extremely well the way
greenhouse gasses [sic] like CO2
warm the planet» So here we go — Assumptions from considerations
of physics: Unless CO2 could enlist water vapour to amplify its forcing it would simply be an unremarkable trace gas in the atmosphere, but — CO2 + water (vapour) = + ve feedback implying
warming CO2 + water (liquid) = - ve feedback implying cooling Facts: Clouds cover half the
surface of the planet.
Question 3: Third sentence: «
Greenhouse gases re-radiate the absorbed energy in all directions, and thus part
of this radiation goes back to the
surface leads to
warming.»
By showing that (a) there are no common physical laws between the
warming phenomenon in glass houses and the fictitious atmospheric
greenhouse effects, (b) there are no calculations to determine an average
surface temperature
of a planet, (c) the frequently mentioned difference
of 33 C is a meaningless number calculated wrongly, (d) the formulas
of cavity radiation are used inappropriately, (e) the assumption
of a radiative balance is unphysical, (f) thermal conductivity and friction must not be set to zero, the atmospheric
greenhouse conjecture is falsified
Geoengineering proposals fall into at least three broad categories: 1) managing atmospheric
greenhouse gases (e.g., ocean fertilization and atmospheric carbon capture and sequestration), 2) cooling the Earth by reflecting sunlight (e.g., putting reflective particles into the atmosphere, putting mirrors in space to reflect the sun's energy, increasing
surface reflectivity and altering the amount or characteristics
of clouds), and 3) moderating specific impacts
of global
warming (e.g., efforts to limit sea level rise by increasing land storage
of water, protecting ice sheets or artificially enhancing mountain glaciers).
Item 8 could be confusing in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half
of the observed increase in global average
surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in
greenhouse gas... The best estimate
of the human - induced contribution to
warming is similar to the observed
warming over this period....
Climate models generally predict that temperatures should increase in the upper air as well as at the
surface if increased concentrations
of greenhouse gases are causing the
warming.»
Adding CO2 does not (at least not before the climate response, which is generally stratospheric cooling and
surface and tropospheric
warming for increasing
greenhouse gases) decrease the radiation to space in the central portion
of the band because at those wavelengths, CO2 is so opaque that much or most radiation to space is coming from the stratosphere, and adding CO2 increases the heights from which radiation is able to reach space, and the stratospheric temperatures generally increase with increasing height.
Global average
surface temperatures are not expected to change significantly although temperatures at higher latitudes may be expected to decrease to a modest extent because
of a reduction in the efficiency
of meridional heat transport (offsetting the additional
warming anticipated for this environment caused by the build - up
of greenhouse gases).
2) The committed
warming: effectively the
greenhouse gas increase from pre-industrial to now has committed the planet to a
surface warming of 2.4 °C (using IPCCs central value for climate sensitivity), and only about 0.6 °C
of this has been realized thus far.
The point being that w / out ongoing decimation from soot, wind, ozone (
surface ozone pollution that
warms from UV), the AO and
greenhouse gases, the ice would have been more likely to recover from the impact
of such an event.
Re Q # 3: The current answer ``... emission from
greenhouse gases... adds to the
warming at the
surface» is a true fact but is not a valid answer to the question
of how the
greenhouse effect alters
surface temperatures (which underlies the judge's query).
Whereas this phenomena has been principally related to a natural extreme event, its impacts may very well forebode the impact that a projected
warming of surface temperatures could have by the end
of the 21st Century due to
greenhouse gas increases.
Independent computer models (about 23 or so world - wide, I believe), generally show a
warming of the
surface and even more in the tropsophere in the tropics due to increased water vapor (
warm the air up and it has more available water vapor (a
greenhouse gas)..
And the more
of these «
greenhouse gases» or «GHGs» in the atmosphere, the
warmer Earth's
surface gets.
With climate and
Greenhouse Gas thoeries
of Global
warming, it appears to me that
of most interest is the interface between the Earth's atmosphere and space and the flow
of radiated heat from the sun, what's reflected back from Earth's
surface and the consequences
of any change in that balance.
@ 48 If your speculation is correct, I assume that another consequence would be that, if / when concentrations
of greenhouse gases start to drop, corresponding reductions in
surface ocean / land temperatures would take place at a much slower rate than would otherwise be the case: the surplus heat stored in the deep ocean will gradually make its way to the ocean
surface, and continue to
warm the atmosphere for decades, if not longer.
1)
Greenhouse gasses absorb infrared radiation in the atmosphere and re-emit much
of it back toward the
surface, thus
warming the planet (less heat escapes; Fourier, 1824).
As we know from laboratory experiments, mathematical calculations, and observations
of Venus and other planets in the Solar System,
greenhouse gases change things in two ways: they trap heat from the sun in the lower atmosphere, thus making the
surface of the planet
warmer; and they keep heat from rising, thus making the upper atmosphere colder.
They concluded that therefore with the tropical troposphere
warming no more quickly than the
surface, the
warming trend had to be due to something other than the accumulation
of greenhouse gases and enhanced
greenhouse effect.
(I think that an anomalously
warm ocean
surface heated from below would lead to more evaporation, and the additional water vapor would give a positive
greenhouse effect that would partially offset the effect
of a drop in
greenhouse gas concentrations.)
Re 9 wili — I know
of a paper suggesting, as I recall, that enhanced «backradiation» (downward radiation reaching the
surface emitted by the air / clouds) contributed more to Arctic amplification specifically in the cold part
of the year (just to be clear, backradiation should generally increase with any
warming (aside from
greenhouse feedbacks) and more so with a
warming due to an increase in the
greenhouse effect (including feedbacks like water vapor and, if positive, clouds, though regional changes in water vapor and clouds can go against the global trend); otherwise it was always my understanding that the albedo feedback was key (while sea ice decreases so far have been more a summer phenomenon (when it would be
warmer to begin with), the heat capacity
of the sea prevents much temperature response, but there is a greater build up
of heat from the albedo feedback, and this is released in the cold part
of the year when ice forms later or would have formed or would have been thicker; the seasonal effect
of reduced winter snow cover decreasing at those latitudes which still recieve sunlight in the winter would not be so delayed).
We can divide the atmosphere into a lower part (LP), which includes the
surface and is the source
of IR, and an upper part (UP), which we are asked to assume will cool when CO2 increases, in conjunction with the expected
warming of LP from the enhanced
greenhouse effect.
And we know that adding the same
greenhouse agents back will (absent hysteresis among equilibria — which should be avoidable if we limit ourselves to considering only the Planck response)
warm the climate back up to a
surface temperature
of 288 K.
On the contrary, AGWs infer that on top
of convection
of latent heat and conduction from the
surface, excited
greenhouse gases
warm the other 99 + % through molecular collision, converting their vibrational energy into kinetic energy, thus
warming the 99 + %.
Taking account
of their historic responsibility, as well as the need to secure climate justice for the world's poorest and most vulnerable communities, developed countries must commit to legally binding and ambitious emission reduction targets consistent with limiting global average
surface warming to well below 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels and long - term stabilization
of atmospheric
greenhouse gas concentrations at well below below 350 p.p.m., and that to achieve this the agreement at COP15 U.N.F.C.C.C. should include a goal
of peaking global emissions by 2015 with a sharp decline thereafter towards a global reduction
of 85 percent by 2050,