And
the growth of the labor force is accelerating:
«The difference stems primarily from demographic trends that have significantly reduce
the growth of the labor force.
During the 2014 - 24 period,
the growth of the labor force will be due entirely to population growth, as the overall labor force participation rate is expected to decrease even further by 2024.»
Depending on whom you ask, this number is either right around what is needed to keep up with
the growth of the labor force or a touch above it.
«The only way to get to 3 percent growth on a sustained basis is faster
growth of the labor force or faster growth of productivity.
Not exact matches
Not only are the figures for women - owned companies very low, relative to the female fraction
of the
labor force, but also the
growth of women's business ownership seems to be greatest among non-employer businesses, which have little economic impact.
The nation added 217,000 jobs in May to reach the milestone, though the unemployment rate remained unchanged last month at 6.3 % and U.S. employment still needs to catch up with the
growth of the population and
labor force that has occurred since the recession began.
On Wednesday, the OECD said immigration had accounted for one - half
of U.K. GDP
growth since 2005, resulting in a stronger
labor force growth and helping ameliorate the challenge
of an ageing population.
Despite that hurdle, The Bureau
of Labor Statistics projects that those ages 65 and over will experience the fastest rates of labor force growth by
Labor Statistics projects that those ages 65 and over will experience the fastest rates
of labor force growth by
labor force growth by 2024.
To fully realize the economic benefits
of having more women in the
labor force, Japan needs to provide incentives for women to seek out more full - time work in high
growth areas, he said.
The availability
of qualified workers will undoubtedly moderate actual job
growth, even if the
labor force participation rate picks up again.
Even with the talent its well - respected universities produce... is Amazon, a company that thinks
of growth in terms
of decades, going to locate a headquarters in a place where it might have to hire over 4 percent
of the metro area's
labor force with uncertainty over whether that
labor force will ever grow?
Based on estimates
of labor force and productivity
growth at the time, if you asked a standard - issue macroeconomist back then where real GDP would be today, this is the line she would have showed you.
Potential economic
growth is going to slow dramatically over the coming years because
of slowing
growth in the
labor force, due to growing demographic trends, and continued poor productivity performance.
True, our unemployment rate is biased down due to the weak performance
of labor force participation and still - elevated underemployment, but as I've extensively documented, the US job market has been tightening up for awhile, driven by solid employment
growth, now averaging around 200,000 / month.
The U.S. economy is facing a future
of slow
growth, mainly because the
labor force is expanding less rapidly.
CBO explains that long - term
growth is constrained by relatively slow
labor force growth because
of the ongoing retirement
of the baby boomers.
Since the 1940's, the 8 - year
growth rate
of U.S.
labor force productivity has rarely exceeded 3 %, and the recent trend has been progressively lower.
Of the other MINTs: Indonesia is in a stable recovery, but the importance of commodities like coal and palm oil means it will not return to previous growth levels soon; Nigeria's economy remains overdependent on oil, though Phylaktis sees its «fast - growing population and labor force feeding faster economic growth over the medium term»; and while «Turkey has a lot of potential,» Lau says, «its political and economic management is questionable and casts a shadow over the economy.&raqu
Of the other MINTs: Indonesia is in a stable recovery, but the importance
of commodities like coal and palm oil means it will not return to previous growth levels soon; Nigeria's economy remains overdependent on oil, though Phylaktis sees its «fast - growing population and labor force feeding faster economic growth over the medium term»; and while «Turkey has a lot of potential,» Lau says, «its political and economic management is questionable and casts a shadow over the economy.&raqu
of commodities like coal and palm oil means it will not return to previous
growth levels soon; Nigeria's economy remains overdependent on oil, though Phylaktis sees its «fast - growing population and
labor force feeding faster economic
growth over the medium term»; and while «Turkey has a lot
of potential,» Lau says, «its political and economic management is questionable and casts a shadow over the economy.&raqu
of potential,» Lau says, «its political and economic management is questionable and casts a shadow over the economy.»
At a 4.1 % unemployment rate and
labor force growth now down to about 0.5 %, the baseline expectation for real GDP
growth in the coming years is approaching just 1 % (0.5 %
labor force growth plus productivity
growth of about 0.5 % annually).
Productivity gains have been weak, the participation rate (meaning the percentage
of the
labor force in employment) declined to 62.6 % in June — the lowest level since 1977 — and hourly wage
growth was flat in the same month.
We are currently seeing weak
growth in the
labor force, and that shows no signs
of changing soon.
Economic
growth depends largely on the size
of the population in the
labor force, making the steady wave
of baby boomer retirees cause for concern.
That type
of labor force growth tends to generate higher inflation.
The slowdown in
growth of the economy's potential in 2016 reflected a deceleration in the
growth of the potential
labor force.
At the same time, the
growth of the potential
labor force has been slowing since reaching a peak in 1972.
Other limiting factors are low wage
growth, high unemployment, the large numbers
of workers who have dropped out
of the
labor force, declining home prices, higher tax payments and a flattening out
of transfer payments.
With respect to the real economy equilibrium, readings
of the output gap, borrowing costs relative to
growth, and the forward path
of real Fed Funds relative to
labor force growth, all exhibit a real - economy state
of affairs that is very close to what we would consider «normal.»
The pace
of wage
growth has been restrained amid excess slack in the
labor markets, but the
labor force participation rate has recently stabilized and
labor markets are currently nearing full employment, supporting core inflation.
Economic expansion in this core was associated with two other dominant trends:
growth in population (the so - called demographic transition, which both facilitated, and was facilitated by, industrialization) and the geographic inclusion
of previously isolated, local, and ethnic sectors
of the population into the commercial and industrial
labor force.
That man is the product
of causes which had no prevision
of the end they were achieving; that his origin, his
growth, his hopes and fears, his loves and his beliefs, are but the outcome
of accidental concatenations
of atoms; that no
force, no heroism, no intensity
of thought or feeling, can presume an individual life beyond the grave; that all the
labors of the age, all the devotion, all the inspiration, all the noon - day brightness
of human genius, are destined to extinction in the vast death
of the solar system, and that the whole temple
of Man's achievement must inevitably be buried beneath the debris
of a universe in ruin... all these things, if not quite beyond dispute, are yet so nearly certain, that no philosophy which rejects them can hope to stand.
Growth in Low - Skilled, Low - Wage Occupations: A sizeable share
of the county's
labor force is employed in low wage occupations.
«New York City was the only region that experienced
growth in its
labor force, with the
labor force declining in all the other regions
of the State,» the report said.
In a study
of how recent Chinese imports affected the U.S.
labor force, the researchers found that counties with higher rates
of self - employment suffered fewer negative effects, such as reduced job
growth, from increased imports than counties with lower self - employment rates, said Stephan Goetz, professor
of agricultural and regional economics, Penn State and director
of the Northeast Regional Center for Rural Development.
The plans for technological innovation are small but important pieces
of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's
Growth Strategy, which also includes recommendations to streamline the agricultural sector, promote the participation
of women in the
labor force, and enhance the competitiveness
of Japan's manufacturers.
A similar study
of how
growth responds to the percentage change in the
labor force's average years
of schooling found no relationship between
growth in years
of schooling and
growth in GDP per capita.
Recent work in which Dennis Kimko and I have been engaged has looked closely at the size
of the impact
of labor force quality, as measured by tests
of cognitive ability, on the economic
growth of countries.
No less important is the overall relationship between the quality
of the
labor force, as measured by tests
of cognitive skill, and economic
growth.
The state and local assessments can also provide localities with some idea
of how improving their
labor force might affect future economic
growth.
It may be that other aspects
of these East Asian economies have driven their
growth and that the statistical analysis
of labor -
force quality is simply picking out these countries.
On work, Murray notes the great increase in the percentage
of the population on disability payments, from under 1 to more than 5 percent
of the
labor force, and the
growth in the number
of prime - age males who are not in the
labor force, contrasted with almost all in the
labor force in 1960.
Moreover, adjusting the data for other factors that are potentially related to
growth, including aspects
of international trade, private and public investment, and political instability, leaves the effect
of having a quality
labor force unchanged.
A significant proportion
of the economic
growth experienced in the US and in Europe during the 20th century was caused by the entry
of women into the
labor force.
IMF says better and fairer inclusion
of women in the
labor force would contribute significantly to
growth in every country.
As noted above, student achievement, which provides a direct measure
of later quality
of the
labor force, is strongly related to economic
growth.
During most
of the last century, steady increases in the proportion
of the
labor force that had graduated from high school fueled the nation's economic
growth and rising incomes.
The recent release
of the March employment data reflecting the pitiful
growth in net new jobs for the month
of 88,000, while almost half a million more Americans left the
labor force during the month, sent the experts scurrying once again to explain why, four years after the technical end
of the so - called great recession, -LSB-...]
Half
of that came from
growth in the civilian
labor force, which expanded at 1.5 % a year.
Turkey has a lot going for it too, like a young population, GDP
growth of more than double us here in North America, a low - cost
labor force which is attracting European manufacturers, and most importantly for us today, one
of the world's lowest CAPE ratios.
But with the
labor force growing at just 0.5 % a year, rather than at its historical rate
of 1.5 %, we should probably expect 2 %
growth, not 3 %.