Hashrate support for SegWit2x is on the decline.
Without majority
hashrate support it will create a serious chain split.
Further,
hashrate support for the change has, for the most part, been on the rise over the last couple of months, prompting buzz and renewed interest in the altcoin.
Statistical analysis has shown that BIP 101 - style activation of hard consensus forks can be prematurely activated; for example, a hard consensus fork triggered by signals from 75 % of the last 1000 blocks has an approximately 88 % chance of being activated randomly with just 70 % of
hashrate support over the course of 10,000 blocks.
RATIONALE:
The hashrate supporting the chain is dependent on market price and hard to predict.
Not exact matches
Support for Bitcoin Classic, which intends to deploy a block size limit increase to 2 megabytes via a hard fork, currently sits around 5 percent of the network
hashrate, and representatives from the vast majority of Bitcoin miners and mining pools have no intention of breaking the previous agreement to run only Bitcoin Core software for the foreseeable future.
With the rise of
hashrate,
support for Segwit dropped from 80 percent to a new low of 70 percent.
The majority of the network
hashrate is currently
supporting Garzik's BIP 100 solution via a Coinbase blocksize vote on the network.
Having said that, Bhardwaj believes a hard fork initiated by miners running Bitcoin Unlimited only needs more than 60 percent
support from the network
hashrate to be considered safe.
Two attempts to increase Bitcoin's block size limit via hard forks — Bitcoin XT and Bitcoin Classic — have failed to gain much
support in terms of network
hashrate, but early bitcoin advocate and angel investor Roger Ver is not giving up on the cause.
Miner
support for the proposed improvement has stagnated at roughly 25 percent, and the current implementation calls for
support from 95 percent of the network
hashrate.
The plan would supposedly involve greater than 75 percent of the
hashrate coming together to
support Bitcoin Classic, but roughly 20 percent of the network (represented by BTCC and BitFury) have made their
support for Bitcoin Core rather clear over the past few months.
With a significant amount of business
support and a majority of the
hashrate, the Segwit2x developers believe the fork will be the «true» bitcoin.
The percentage of Bitcoin's network
hashrate signaling
support for Bitcoin Unlimited has more than doubled from 16 percent to 35 percent over the past month.
Currently, Bitcoin Cash is estimated to have the
support of just 0.26 % of total Bitcoin mining
hashrate and its price on the ViaBTC futures market is approximately 12 % of Bitcoin's.
Bitcoin.com pool will give mining customers the option of
supporting the Bitcoin Cash chain (BCC) with their
hashrate.
Although Voegtlin claimed Bitcoin Unlimited is not much of a topic of discussion anymore, he also pointed out that a large percentage of the network
hashrate (around 39 percent at the time of this writing) is still signaling
support for the alternative software client.
If Bitcoin Classic or Bitcoin XT were implemented via a hard fork (activated by 75 percent
support from the network
hashrate), it would essentially coerce everyone on the network to play by these new rules.