«With storm surge and
heavy rainfall increasing and climate and sea level rise, the system is just not working,» he said.
Heavy rainfall increased hydroelectric power production in California this year, adding to the surplus of electricity.
Not exact matches
Climate change is «playing an
increasing role in the
increasing frequency of some types of extreme weather that lead to billion - dollar disasters, most notably the rise in vulnerability to drought, lengthening wildfire seasons and the potential for extremely
heavy rainfall and inland flooding,» Smith said.
An
increase in
heavy rainfall is already being seen throughout the U.S..
The new research confirms
heavy rainfall events are
increasing across the Gulf Coast region because of human interference with the climate system.
Interestingly, the study shows that there is a long - term decline in
heavy rainfall events (greater than 25 mm / h) and an associated
increase in the number of smaller storms each delivering less
rainfall.
Rather than assign blame to humans for particular extremes, scientists could study a class of events, such as
heavy rainfall in a certain geography, and say whether past human actions have
increased their risk.
The human influence was found to have
increased the magnitude of
heavy rainfall by 30 percent.
Increasing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide do not only cause global warming, but probably also trigger
increased occurrences of extreme weather events such as long - lasting droughts, heat - waves,
heavy rainfall events or extreme storms.
Observational evidence indicates that the frequency of the
heaviest rainfall events has likely
increased within many land regions in general agreement with model simulations that indicate that
rainfall in the
heaviest events is likely to
increase in line with atmospheric water vapour concentration.
The IBC says that much of the
increase is due to extreme weather such as ice storms, severe cold snaps and
heavy rainfall.
Global warming also leads to
increases in atmospheric water vapor, which
increases the likelihood of
heavier rainfall events that may cause flooding.
OT, but related to # 69 (and now the Lake Delhi Dam has failed) and similar
heavy rainfall events... Is there enough historical weather information to establish whether we are experiencing an
increase in these deluge / downpours?
The
increase in
rainfall intensity (shift in distribution of rain from more light events to fewer
heavy events) as a consequence of global warming is a robust feature of GCMs.
So: The study finds a fingerprint of anthropogenic influences on large scale
increase in precipitation extremes, with remaining uncertainties — namely that there is still a possibility that the widespread
increase in
heavy precipitation could be due to an unusual event of natural variability.The intensification of extreme
rainfall is expected with warming, and there is a clear physical mechanism for it, but it is never possible to completely separate a signal of external forcing from climate variability — the separation will always be statistical in nature.
As both evaporation rates and
heavy rainfall events
increase in a warming world, this lends itself to bigger variations in precipitation.
The typical enhancement of
rainfall and updraft motion in deep cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds within
heavy raining meso - scale disturbance areas acts to
increase the return flow mass subsidence in the surrounding broader clear and partly cloudy regions (Figure 8).
Snowfall varies across the region, comprising less than 10 % of total precipitation in the south, to more than half in the north, with as much as two inches of water available in the snowpack at the beginning of spring melt in the northern reaches of the river basins.81 When this amount of snowmelt is combined with
heavy rainfall, the resulting flooding can be widespread and catastrophic (see «Cedar Rapids: A Tale of Vulnerability and Response»).82 Historical observations indicate declines in the frequency of high magnitude snowfall years over much of the Midwest, 83 but an
increase in lake effect snowfall.61 These divergent trends and their inverse relationships with air temperatures make overall projections of regional impacts of the associated snowmelt extremely difficult.
Floods are the second deadliest of all weather - related hazards in the United States.57, 58 Elevated waterborne disease outbreaks have been reported in the weeks following
heavy rainfall, 59 although other variables may affect these associations.60 Populations living in damp indoor environments experience
increased prevalence of asthma and other upper respiratory tract symptoms.61
Precipitation occurs about once every seven days in the western part of the region and once every three days in the southeastern part.77 The 10 rainiest days can contribute as much as 40 % of total precipitation in a given year.77 Generally, annual precipitation
increased during the past century (by up to 20 % in some locations), with much of the
increase driven by intensification of the
heaviest rainfalls.77, 78,79 This tendency towards more intense precipitation events is projected to continue in the future.80
Projections suggest an
increase in extreme weather events, such as
heavy rainfall, more intense storms and heat - waves.
But an
increase in
heavy rainfall in some of these regions is also likely to bring with it many negative effects, such as a raised risk of flooding and the waterlogging of soils.
Scientists are increasingly drawing links between climate change and extreme weather events, either
increasing the likelihood of heat waves, drought, hurricanes,
heavy rainfall...
This, coupled with an
increase in average
rainfall as well as
heavy rainfall events, has resulted in recurrent flooding and related damages to infrastructure, utility supply and the urban economy.
Global analyses show that the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere has in fact
increased due to human - caused warming.8, 9,10,11 This extra moisture is available to storm systems, resulting in
heavier rainfalls.
The
heaviest rainfall events have become
heavier and more frequent, and the amount of rain falling on the
heaviest rain days has also
increased.
Similarly, Australia has seen the odds of both
heavy rainfalls and droughts
increase, and similar patterns are being observed worldwide, coinciding with rising temperatures over the past 50 years.
As temperatures rise, basic physics dictates an
increase in the amount of atmospheric moisture, which is the fuel for
heavy rainfall events.
The PIK researchers found that
heavy rainfall events setting ever new records had been «
increasing strikingly» in the past thirty years.
In addition, the pattern of sea surface temperatures at low latitudes is extremely important for regional climate variations (shown, for example, by the
increased likelihood of
heavy winter
rainfall in California when the eastern tropical Pacific warms in El Niño events).
This resulted in an
increase (1.9 % / decade) in the frequency of
heavy rainfall above 25 mm.
There is growing empirical evidence that warming temperatures cause more intense hurricanes,
heavier rainfalls and flooding,
increased conditions for wildfires and dangerous heat waves.
Food availability could be threatened through direct climate impacts on crops and livestock from
increased flooding, drought, shifts in the timing and amount of
rainfall, and high temperatures, or indirectly through
increased soil erosion from more frequent
heavy storms or through
increased pest and disease pressure on crops and livestock caused by warmer temperatures and other changes in climatic conditions.
In addition to direct crop damage from increasingly intense precipitation events, wet springs can delay planting for grain and vegetables in New York, for example, and subsequently delay harvest dates and reduce yields.67 This is an issue for agriculture nationally, 65 but is particularly acute for the Northeast, where
heavy rainfall events have
increased more than in any other region of the country (Ch.
Explains meteorologist Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research: «I have no equivocation in saying that all
heavy rainfall events, including this one, have an element of climate change in them, and the level of that contribution will
increase in the future.»
According to the National Climate Assessment, average
rainfall during
heavy precipitation events across the Northeast, Midwest and Great Plains has
increased by 30 percent since 1991.
The report says there is no change to the conclusion that
heavy rainfall events have
increased in the past, but there is greater confidence now that these will
increase in the future.
Indicators based on daily precipitation data show more mixed patterns of change but significant
increases have been seen in the extreme amount derived from wet spells and number of
heavy rainfall events.
But, as far as what we can expect from the IPCC and what the consensus science is, climate change is likely to lead to
increased occurrences and intensity of extreme weather events like
heavy rainfall, droughts, warm spells, storm surges, heat waves and sea level rise.
Interestingly, spring — in addition to being a season with
increasing frequency of
heavy rainfall — also has the strongest
increase in temperature over most of the northern part of the region studied, he says.
It can trigger droughts, floods and
heavy rainfalls;
increase sea levels; make food and water scarce; and spread insect - borne diseases.
With climate change being partly to blame for the
increase in
heavy rainfall events, it's no secret that now is as...
Unfortunately, this has
heavy environmental costs: a massive release of sequestered carbon, the loss of plant and animal species, and
increased rainfall runoff and soil erosion.
Indeed,
rainfall data reveal significant
increases of
heavy precipitation over much of Northern Hemisphere land and in the tropics (27) and attribution studies link this intensification of
rainfall and floods to human - made global warming (28 ⇓ — 30).
The frequency of
heavy precipitation events (or proportion of total
rainfall from
heavy falls) will be very likely to
increase over most areas during the 21st century, with consequences for the risk of rain - generated floods.
A team of scientists in Germany says record - breaking
heavy rainfall has been
increasing strikingly in the last 30 years as global temperatures
increase.
Equivalent results for
heavy rainfall events in Southern Asia and tropical Africa suggest these would
increase in line with global average temperature rise.
It is also likely that the frequency of
heavy rainfall will
increase over many areas of the globe... In Australia and around the world we need to urgently invest in clean energy sources and take other measures to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.
Drought and
heavy rainfall events can make drinking water vulnerable to contamination and can ruin agriculture, leading to
increases in incidents of water - borne infections and diseases like cholera, as well as malnutrition and hunger when damaged farms fail to provide enough crops for the people who rely on them.
The scientists show that the observed
increase in unprecedented
heavy rainfall generally fits with this thermodynamically expected
increase under global warming.