[2] The first two underlying measures in the table are exclusion - based, with prices that either have
a high average volatility, or which are not market - determined, permanently excluded from the CPI basket.
Not exact matches
High - beta stocks are simply the shares of companies whose stocks trade with above -
average volatility — and like the twin peaks of a two - humped financial camel, these stocks carry both above -
average risk and, potentially, above -
average reward.
Combined, these instances capture a cumulative 97 % loss in the S&P 500, but there's really not much difference based on the 200 - day moving
average, except that the market tends to experience more violent declines and somewhat stronger rebounds (that is,
higher overall
volatility) when the S&P 500 is below that
average.
Crash Warnings are characterized by strongly negative
average returns, but also
high volatility, which means that strong rallies can also occur, which we've seen in the past couple of days.
Volatility is also quite
high, moving approximately 4.5 % per day based on
Average True Range (ATR) divided by price.
A measure of 30 - day
volatility known as the CBOE VIX reached a
high of 16.92, which was still well below the historic
average.
Indeed, once our estimated market return / risk profile is strictly negative (as it is at present), the negative implications for the S&P 500 aren't affected by the position of the market relative to that
average, except that the market tends to experience
higher volatility once the market breaks that
average.
After a long period of much lower than
average volatility (in 2017, the S&P 500 hit 64 record
highs, with only four single - day declines of more than 1 %), this has been surprising for many investors.
For proof of the
high volatility of the headline indicator, note that the
average absolute monthly change across this data series is 7.7.
The
average investor «decides to buy with his intellect, but sells with his gut» when
volatility gets too
high.
The
higher the rank, the lower
average historical
volatility over 63, 126, and 252 days.
After serenely bubbling
higher in small daily increments for two full years amid the lowest
volatility in market history, the venerable Dow Jones Industrial
Average is beginning to misbehave.
The recent Greek crisis and Chinese stock market crash has injected
high volatility back into the financial markets and dragged down the broader
averages over the past week or so.
For the most part, lump sum investing outperformed dollar cost
averaging two out of every three times, «even when results are adjusted for the
higher volatility of a stock / bond portfolio versus cash investments.»
But when rates are rising and we've just observed an abrupt reversal in leadership (new lows suddenly dominating new
highs), it's not worth the gamble - the
average return tends to be negative, and the
volatility also tends to be unusually
high.
Stock markets are near all - time
highs,
volatility has been low, and stock valuations are above -
average when comparing prices to earnings or other fundamentals.
The Reformed Broker) recently shared the aptly titled post How to Make
Volatility Your Bitch highlighting how dollar cost
averaging into a volatile market can lead to
higher overall returns: Door number one — you spend 15 years putting $ 1000 into an investment every month for 15
For the Dow Jones Industrial
Average, since 1926, the odds of a 10 % correction happening are 1 in 3 — they are par for the course when it comes to the stock market's value proposition (which is that the price for
higher returns is
higher volatility).
Over the preceding twenty - year period, furniture expenditure
averaged growth of 1.1 per cent each year (with
high volatility), which is lower than inflation and lower than
average school and resource budgets.
The lower the
volatility, the
higher the quality of the stock on
average.
Stock / equity funds — As you probably guessed, stock funds have basically the same risks and rewards as individual stocks —
high volatility, risk of losing money, easy to buy and sell, good investment to beat inflation, and historically among the best returns, on
average over time.
It has outperformed the S&P 500 by an
average 2.9 % per year since 1994, although it has done so at a «cost» of
higher volatility.
This
higher volume and
volatility means that trend continuations happen more often, and breakouts make more significant moves on
average.
It does benefit, however, from holding healthier underlying companies with reduced instances of delisting (0 vs. 9), which leads to a
higher average total return (13.4 % vs. 11.4 %), lower
volatility (13.6 % vs. 15.3 %), and
higher subsequent five - year dividend growth rate (18.0 % vs. 11.1 %).
Portfolios are designed to consistently reflect an investor's risk requirements in all markets and to outperform their benchmarks by protecting capital in two ways: first, under normal market conditions, with
volatility within historical
averages, diversification is used to control risk; second, when
volatility is historically
high or low, PŮR uses a proprietary SmartRisk ™ strategy.
Note that the 5 - year ladder had slightly
higher return and
volatility due to having an
average duration that was slightly
higher.
Although there's no relationship to speak of in the middle quintiles, the lowest quintile of
volatility shows the
highest average returns, and the
highest quintile of
volatility shows the lowest
average returns.
Investment risk increases while
average returns decrease with
higher market
volatility.
(xiv) Many believe that a steady $ $ dividend in a period of stock price
volatility, allows the reinvested dividend to purchase more shares when the stock is down, and less shares when the stock is
high, producing extra returns from a dollar - cost -
averaging effect.
The returns themselves (an
average of 2.7 %) suggest the need for
higher degrees of portfolio leverage to reach satisfactory returns, and the
volatilities (an
average of 6.4 %) allow room for judicious use of leverage.
Calendar rebalancing gave the second
highest average Sharpe ratio, with middling returns and a relatively low
volatility and drawdown.
The top quintile of low
volatility stocks delivered
average monthly excess returns of.52, whereas the top quintile of
high volatility stocks delivered excess returns of.17, a 300 % difference.
The
average return for profit chasing was 0.71 %
higher than calendar rebalancing, with a disproportionate 2.85 % increase in
average volatility and a 7.83 % increase in
average drawdown.
Volatility weighting reduced the overall portfolio volatility in 99 % of cases and gave the highest average Sharpe ratio, although returns were 1.08 % lower than calendar rebalancing o
Volatility weighting reduced the overall portfolio
volatility in 99 % of cases and gave the highest average Sharpe ratio, although returns were 1.08 % lower than calendar rebalancing o
volatility in 99 % of cases and gave the
highest average Sharpe ratio, although returns were 1.08 % lower than calendar rebalancing on
average.
The
higher the number, the greater the
volatility; for a stock fund that has an
average annual return of 12 % and a standard deviation of 20 %, you can expect to earn between 32 % and -8 % in about two out of every three years.
While illiquid bonds had slightly
higher credit spreads and directionally
higher average returns, portfolios that tilt toward (away from) less (more) liquid bonds exhibit considerably
higher levels of
volatility.
Research in finance has aggregated together cross-listed and non-cross-listed stocks and finds that, on
average, value stocks outperform growth stocks, small cap stocks outperform large cap stocks, low liquidity stocks outperform large liquidity stocks and low
volatility stocks outperform
high volatility stocks.
So while we don't believe that the record
high gold / XAU ratio can be taken entirely at face value, there's no question that it is elevated even on a cyclical basis (that is, even allowing for a gradual structural increase over time), and there's no question in the data that cyclically elevated gold / XAU ratios have been associated with strong subsequent gains in the XAU index over a 3 - 4 year period on
average, though certainly not without risk or
volatility.
This relative strength test experiences
higher drawdowns and
volatility when compared to a system that simply buys the 5 ETFs when they are above / below a long - term moving
average such as the 10 month moving
average.
In the construction of the S&P U.S.
High Yield Low
Volatility Corporate Bond Index, an individual bond's credit risk in a portfolio context is measured by its marginal contribution to risk (MCR), calculated as the product of its spread duration and the difference between the bond's option adjusted spread (OAS) and the spread - duration - adjusted portfolio
average OAS (see Equation 1).
On
average, unconstrained bond funds delivered lower return and lower return per unit of
volatility than the U.S. Aggregate Bond Index and
higher return than the Global Aggregate Bond Index.
John Authers in the FT recently wrote a very interesting article exploring why
high volatility stocks are (on
average) relatively overpriced.
One problem is dollar cost
averaging, where you invest small amounts each month to help smooth out the
volatility of buying at extreme
highs and lows.
Lesson four is that switching yields better than its
average, but the
volatility is
higher.
Compare that to markets like mini SP 500 futures or T Bonds futures and you will see
higher volatility on
average.
The replicators aim to give investors exposure to the
average hedge fund after fees, ideally offering steady returns with low
volatility,
high liquidity and transparency.
But this
higher average annualized return was accompanied by 33 % more relative annualized
volatility (13.2 % versus 9.9 %).
On
average, it finds that an LSI approach has outperformed a DCA approach approximately two - thirds of the time, even when results are adjusted for the
higher volatility of a stock / bond portfolio versus cash investments.
It maintains an approximate normal distribution that accumulates to an
average 1.14 % monthly fair return over 600 months, but with a standard deviation of 4.67 %, which is a
high level of short - term
volatility.
When the focus is on protecting from downside risks, the additional
volatility caused by the 10 - year bonds hurt retirement outcomes by more than could be compensated by their
higher average yields.