Which would, of course, imply an absurdly
high effective climate sensitivity.
Not exact matches
The «flaw» of low - ECS
climate model studies may not be so much in aerosols, the NASA study suggests, as the
effective radiative forcing scenario (with
high climate sensitivity) is accompanied with relatively low value for aerosol efficacy:
Along with the corrected value of F2xCO2 being
higher than the one used in the paper, and the correct comparison being with the model's
effective climate sensitivity of ~ 2.0 C, this results in a
higher estimate of equilibrium efficacy from Historical total forcing.
The lower value — which conforms rather more closely with mainstream thinking than the
higher value yields an
effective climate sensitivity of ca 1.5 deg K for a doubling of CO2, which gets fairly close to ZDM estimates using historical forcing, temperature and ocean heat data.»