After 2060, world population is projected to grow exclusively as a result of growth in current
high fertility countries.
In
the high fertility countries of Africa and Asia family sizes will continue to decline.
Not exact matches
Indeed, the
countries with the
highest levels of religious salience in the sample — Nigeria and Yemen — also have the
highest fertility rates: respectively, 5.6 and 5.2 children per woman in 2012.
In Africa alone, the continent with the
highest fertility rate and lowest use of modern contraceptives, 26
countries will double their population by 2050, according to the U.N. «Fundamentally if you're looking at World Population Day, it is at heart a women's rights issue,» said Roger - Mark DeSouza director of population, environmental security and resilience at the non-partisan policy Wilson Center, based in Washington, D.C. World Population Day is meant to draw attention to the challenges we face with a human population that is constantly growing.
Although poor
countries have some of the world's
highest fertility rates, growth in consumption exceeds growth in population in developing and developed
countries.
«We have
higher fertility because we're an immigrant - receiving
country,» Glick says.
Particularly in Africa and the Middle East,
high fertility rates are leading to profound local environmental pressures - water stress, land degradation, over-hunting and fishing, falling farm sizes, deforestation and other habitat destruction - thereby worsening the grave economic challenges these
countries face.
A rapid voluntary reduction in
fertility rates in the poor
countries, brought about by more access to family planning,
higher child survival and education for girls, could stabilize the population at around eight billion by 2050.
Countries where
fertility rates are
higher, such as France, Norway and Sweden, have more progressive governments, which provide generous maternity benefits, subsidized daycare and child tax deductions that make it easier for women to have both kids and jobs.
Most
countries with
higher fertility rates than Canada offer more than we do.
The findings in our paper help to ameliorate some of these concerns, and they point to the possibility that — among the most developed
countries — further progress may actually result in somewhat
higher fertility.
There's a need for the world as a whole to support families and governments in
high -
fertility countries improve access to contraception and education.
With
fertility rate close to replacement level and continuously
high immigration the US population grew by 9.7 percent over the last decade — uniquely
high for a western
country.
The second is that the demographic transition is irreversible such that once
countries start down the path to lower
fertility they can not reverse to
higher fertility.
Current «
high fertility»
countries account currently for about 38 % of the 78 million persons that are added annually to the world population, despite composing only 18 % of the current population.
Developing
countries —
Fertility remains
high in many developing
countries.
The vast majority of the growth will be concentrated in
countries that today continue to have very
high rates of
fertility (∼ 25
countries above 5, ∼ 45 above 4, and ∼ 65 above 3).
For example, the UN's population projections assume
fertility declines in today's lowest - income
countries that follow trajectories established by
higher - income
countries.
The total
fertility rate remains
high in many
countries not because women want many children but because they are denied these technologies and information, and often even the right to have fewer children.
If those projected decreases in
fertility rates are off by only 0.5 births per woman (an error of less than 10 % in many
high -
fertility countries), the date at which the world reaches 11 billion will occur five decades earlier and will raise the global total population by 2100 to nearly 17 billion and still rapidly growing [3].
The UN now says, «At the
country level, much of the overall increase between 2013 and 2050 is projected to take place in
high -
fertility countries, mainly in Africa, as well as
countries with large populations such as India, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines and the United States of America.»
This number would likely be
higher in most other European
countries, where the contribution of childlessness to low
fertility is much lower than in Germany (Billari and Kohler 2004; Sobotka 2004, 2008).
The transmission competition hypothesis was developed to better understand below - replacement
fertility rates in
high - income
countries [9,10].