The discussion about inflation is tied into a mind - set that
high government debt leads to inflation and is therefore bad.
Japan is in the awkward spot of having
high government debt, though much is internally funded, and is still running high government budget deficits.
But beyond that, Japan has high government budget deficits and a very
high government debt.
High private debt levels leading to
high government debt levels, as the government «rescues» selected areas of the private sector
Low interest rates, low growth if any in non-protected sectors, soggy debt - laden protected sectors, excess capacity in areas not salable to the rest of the world,
high government debt, and a demographic crisis.
While the BoJ has argued that central bank asset purchases would not work in the absence of structural reforms, strategists said that
high government debt levels will constrain fiscal expansion.
This can be expected to produce a negative trickle - down effect, as
higher government debt leads to higher interest rates, lower business investment, and higher future tax rates — possibly on the middle class.
Part of what has supported this recovery since the crisis has been fiscal policy, so we have much
higher government debt than we had before, where is the room for governments to do fiscal expansion in a renewed downturn?
Investors began to worry this could erode the United States» cherished triple - A sovereign credit rating when Standard and Poors's on May 21 revised its outlook for Britain's triple - A status to negative from stable, blaming
higher government debt.
Not exact matches
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance
debt, including our ability to obtain the
debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other
governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to
higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign
government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Fill the bulk of your portfolio with a combination of
high - rated bonds (weighted toward corporate, rather than
government,
debt) and
high - quality, dividend - paying equities, and you likely won't take a hit.
And while Macdonald did not look into it, other studies have pointed to another major influence China has had lately on many countries, including Canada: how its
high savings rate and mounting foreign currency reserves, much of it invested in benchmark U.S.
government debt, have depressed interest rates around the world.
The Canadian Medical Association, argued in its pre-budget submission that the
government should maintain access to the small business deduction for physicians, since they enter the workforce later in life and often with significant
debt, and unlike small businesses are unable to pass on
higher costs to clients.
Low sovereign bond yields have long helped the
government finance its
debt, thus,
higher yields would undermine the sustainability of its fiscal position, analysts said.
Though Portugal is one of the fastest growing euro zone economies, problems with non-performing loans and
high debt among businesses, individuals and
government are a big hurdle - mainly at a time when the
government's strategy is focused on consumer spending.
U.S.
government debt yields were
higher Tuesday even after investors heard from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.
A related question I sometimes hear — which bears also on the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy, is this: By buying securities, are you «monetizing the
debt» — printing money for the
government to use — and will that inevitably lead to
higher inflation?
Japan's
government has among the
highest debt levels in the world, with a
debt - to - gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 220 percent.
Dr. Greenspan has long been concerned that the
high US
government debt levels are going to cause a Greek - like implosion in the USA.
Given that the
government is currently running a deficit and is $ 20 trillion in
debt, scratching up the money to redeem those bonds would require either
higher taxes or more
government borrowing.
But his big concern is that
high - risk
government debt can still be carried on the books as safe capital.
A drop in the euro provided support, helping the exporter - heavy DAX index outperfrom with a rise of 1.5 percent, while Italy's FTSE MIB rose 1.2 percent to its
highest level since October 2009, as
government debt rose on dimming prospects of a snap election.
That's over 100 % of projected GDP, well into the danger zone where investors demand
higher rates to buy
government debt.
The
debt crisis will change the focus to the probable solution: A future of far
higher taxes and a
government on autopilot to absorb more and more of the private sector.
Conservative finance critic Pierre Poilievre called the PBO's findings «damaging» for the
government, citing the impact of larger deficits,
higher debt payments and a carbon tax that he says will erase at least $ 10 billion per year from the national economy by 2022.
China may witness its first local
government bond defaults, although the timing was uncertain, Fitch Ratings said in a press release issued on Sunday, amid persistent concerns over
high debt levels in the world second largest economy.
According to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, the combined
government debt held by the world's advanced economies is at its
highest point since the Second World War.
As a perverse reward for its rapid growth and heavy infrastructure investment, China is starting to face some of the trials of mature economies: a stagnant workforce, a real estate bubble, and
high local
government debt levels.
He says the
higher rates have helped keep the accumulation of household
debt lower than it otherwise would have been had Canada continued with
government belt - tightening approaches of the past.
In response to a journalist's question, the governor says he agrees with the view consumers are facing
high debt loads today because they filled in the
debt - accumulation void left when
governments turned to austerity by shutting down stimulus measures to address fallout from the 2008 financial crisis.
On the
government front, net
debt edged to a nine - year
high of 51 per cent of gross domestic product.
«The U.S. stands out in the global context [for] an unusually
high ability to carry a large
government debt burden,» the study states.
U.S.
government debt prices were
higher on Tuesday morning, as investors looked ahead to fresh economic data and monitored tense trade talks between the world's two biggest economies.
The amount of
debt that is projected under the extended baseline would reduce national saving and income in the long term; increase the
government's interest costs, putting more pressure on the rest of the budget; limit lawmakers» ability to respond to unforeseen events; and increase the likelihood of a fiscal crisis, an occurrence in which investors become unwilling to finance a
government's borrowing unless they are compensated with very
high interest rates.
Yields on U.S.
government bonds are already some of the
highest in the sovereign
debt markets and are attractive to non-U.S. buyers on an absolute and relative basis.
Meanwhile, more colleges are facing embarrassing
government and media scrutiny over their students» low graduation rates and
high debt loads.
The cost of borrowing in China has been cut aggressively since the autumn of 2014 in response to the slowdown in the economy and the distress caused to property owners, local
government and corporations by
high debt - servicing costs.
This may involve using privatization proceeds to pay down
debt,
higher corporate taxes, and even
higher income taxes if other forms of wealth transfer are robust enough to support them, but one way or another total
government debt must be reduced, or at least its growth must be contained to les than real GDP growth.
In 1994, among the G - 7 countries, total general
government debt in Canada (including federal, provincial - territorial and municipal
governments and the activities of the Canada and Quebec Pension Plans) was the second
highest (Table 2).
The
government there said
debt levels will be the
highest in 22 years, which pushed stocks in Germany and France down by more than a percent; less in the U.K. Conway Gittens, Reuters
During this time
government debt will have to rise as the
government absorbs the employment consequences of these disruptions, and unfortunately
higher debt will itself put downward pressure on growth.
The only variables he admits are structure - free: The federal
government can indeed spend more and reduce interest rates (especially on mortgages) so that the
higher mortgage
debt, student
debt, personal
debt and corporate
debt overhead can be afforded more easily.
But in the 1920s the Allies imposed an unpayably
high reparations burden on Germany — largely to obtain the foreign exchange to pay the Inter-Ally arms
debts that the U.S.
Government insisted on collecting, rather than forgiving these
debts as allies traditionally had done among themselves upon achieving victory.
Voters back
debt reduction over tax cuts: More voters overall believe the
government should pay down
debt rather than cut income tax — except those who face
higher cost of living pressures.
It doesn't need more credit, but a write - down for the unpayably
high debts that the banks have imposed on American families, businesses, states and localities, real estate, and the federal
government itself.
You can increase competition with anti-trust enforcement, and regulate natural monopolies and both (in the case of the newly merged Time Warner Cable), create greater transparency of prices, use
government purchasing power, restore previous price controls (and please a federal usury law at no more than 15 %, to prevent
debt bubbles of
higher inflation).
Banks «earned their way out of
debt» by lending to global speculators who used the yen loans to convert into foreign currency and buy
higher - yielding assets abroad — capped by Icelandic
government bonds paying 15 %, and pocketing the arbitrage difference.
Over the past five years, the more worrisome
government - issued
debt in Europe has made significant progress in managing the normal mechanism of
higher - perceived risk equaling
higher yields.
My biggest concern is not households or
government debt but corporate
debt, which is 160 % of GDP — one of the
highest in the world.
We prefer selected subordinated financial
debt within European credit and favor
high - quality U.S. credit and emerging market
debt over
government bonds, but credit valuations are elevated across the board.