At a time when Canadians are grappling with historically
high household debt levels — upwards of 163 per cent according to Statistics Canada — young adults are feeling insecure about their knowledge of the financial implications of homeownership.
The market has been hit by a confluence of policies: Ontario's Fair Housing Policy, including a foreign buyers» tax aimed at cooling the market; a new mortgage stress test targeted at protecting Canadians from dangerously
high household debt levels; and the Bank of Canada's moves to increase interest rates.
Could be
high household debt levels, BMO said.
At the same time, it warned risks remain elevated, particularly
high household debt levels, and measures to rein in loans to the most highly indebted households will take time to work.
Not exact matches
«Canadian policy - makers have allowed
household debt to rise above the disturbingly
high levels reached in the U.S. in 2007, raising the risk of a similar potentially disastrous deleveraging down the road,» Madani wrote.
So just how are mortgage delinquency rates so incredibly low at a time when
household debt levels relative to incomes have never been
higher?
«Domestically, the
household debt level is quite
high,» said Wong, a member of the opposition Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR).
In its latest statement, it said «
household vulnerabilities have moved
higher,» which is how policy makers describe the troubling nexus between excessive housing prices in many cities and record
levels of
household debt.
His comments come after the IMF in October said that Canada's
high debt levels, and
higher - than - average pressure on Canadian
households» ability to pay down that
debt in the private non-financial sector, leaves its economy more sensitive to tighter financial conditions and weaker economic activity.
The central bank has concerns about the ability of
households to keep paying down their
high levels of
debt when interest rates continue their rise, as is widely expected over the coming months.
Any number of shocks could send Canada's house of cards tumbling, the bank says, particularly
higher borrowing costs that pinches
households already carrying record
high levels of
debt.
So, in summary these are some of the themes we might expect to see in the next chapter — the impact of technology and the growth of Asia; the normalisation of monetary conditions; the effects of
higher levels of
household debt; and the capability of our workforce and businesses to be flexible, innovative and adaptable.
The third question we have focused on over recent times is the implications of the
high and rising
level of
household debt.
To date,
households have been coping reasonably well with the
higher debt levels.
I believe that Canada's
high house prices in relation to incomes, combined with record
household debt levels and overinvestment in residential construction, will cause a severe correction in the real estate market.
The low
level of interest rates means that even though
debt levels are
higher, the share of
household income devoted to paying mortgage interest is lower than it has been for some time.
This brings me to a third plot line: that is, how we deal with the
higher level of
household debt and
higher housing prices, especially in a world of more normal interest rates.
Risks associated with the Consumer Discretionary sector include, among others, apparel price deflation due to low - cost entries,
high inventory
levels and pressure from e-commerce players; reduction in traditional advertising dollars; increasing
household debt levels that could limit consumer appetite for discretionary purchases; declining consumer acceptance of new product introductions; and geopolitical uncertainty that could impact consumer sentiment.
At the heart of this uncertainty is the
high level of
household debt.
In a low - inflation environment, nominal interest rates are also low, and
households are able to service much
higher levels of
debt than they could in the past.
«However, historically
high levels of
household debt and low wage growth will offset some of the positive impact of recent strong employment data, so consumers are likely to remain cautious.»
In the case of the
household sector, both Mr. Flaherty and the Governor of the Bank of Canada are warning Canadians about their
high debt levels and urging them to curtail their consumption and to reduce their
debt.
The PBO identified four key downside risks to the private sector forecast: global growth, especially in the U.S. could be slower than anticipated; the appreciation of the Canadian dollar could adversely affect exports; sovereign
debt issues in Europe could restrain recovery there and put upward pressure on global interest rates; and the
high level of
household debt in Canada could restrain domestic demand.
This he presents unequivocally as good news, since it suggests an easing of
high, mortgage - driven
household debt levels that have been among Carney's more acute longstanding concerns about the Canadian economy.
One reason for trying to understand this complex picture is that the
level of
household debt is relatively
high.
«Major declines in house prices and the continuing
high level of unemployment are reflected in the various measures of
household debt and credit.
«He doesn't want to leave any question about the independence of the Governor of the Bank of Canada, but we have a situation under the Conservative government that has allowed record
household debt... and the bank is really caught between a rock and a hard place, because these
high debt levels create pressure for
higher interest rates, but inflation is very low.
Low oil prices have taken their toll on an already weak Canadian economy, where
household debt levels are at record
highs and business investment continues to lag.
The Canadian consumer, meanwhile, might be benefiting from somewhat cheaper gasoline, but their spending capacity is stretched thanks to a record
high level of
household debt.
Nonetheless, the
higher debt levels suggest that
households may have become more vulnerable to unforeseen falls in house prices or changes in
household cash flow.
Though it boosts the economy in the short term,
high levels of
household debt add pressure on the economy in the long run, as
households are forced to cut spending in order to repay their
debt.
In other words, are
households that can afford to meet their
debt - servicing requirement likely to change their behaviour in other ways now that they have a
higher debt level than formerly?
Compare two
households — one in 1993 and the other in 2003 — that have the same percentage of their income used in
debt service, and have the same gearing ratio (
level of
debt as a percentage of value of house), but with the 2003
household having a
debt level nearly twice as
high as the 1993
household.
We had among the most leveraged banks of any country, a house price boom as large as America's or Spain's, and
higher levels of
household debt than any other country in the world.
It led to the
highest level of
household debt in relation to income in the world.
With national
household credit card
debt at historically
high levels, it may not seem prudent to discuss the notion of using your credit card to pay your bills.
«
Households with relatively
high incomes, couples with children, and people living in growing regions tend to cause overall
debt levels to rise,» says Roger Sauvé, a demographer at People Patterns Consulting.
The possibility of an increase in the prime rate offered by lenders comes as
household debt levels sit near record
highs.
So just how are mortgage delinquency rates so incredibly low at a time when
household debt levels relative to incomes have never been
higher?
The
high level of Canadian
household debt has been cited by the Bank of Canada for years as one of its top concerns.
On Tuesday, the budget office highlighted findings from 2012 Bank of Canada research that revealed that
households headed by an individual aged 31 to 35 years old held the
highest levels of
debt.
«
High and rising
household debt - to - income
levels leave both borrowers and lenders vulnerable to an economic downturn, despite strong consumer credit quality metrics to date,» reads the report.
Nearly 7 million Americans have gone at least a year without making a payment on their federal student loans, a
high level of default that suggests a widening swath of
households are unable or unwilling to pay back their school
debt.
The Bank of Canada has concerns about the ability of
households to keep paying down their
high levels of
debt when interest rates continue their...
Our
household debt and home prices keep trending to unnervingly
higher levels.»
Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund warned in its Global Financial Stability report of Canada's
high debt levels and
higher - than - average pressure on Canadian
households» ability to pay down that
debt.
According to a study by ACA International, the
level of credit card
debt per
household is still very
high.
Recent studies show
household debt levels at all time
highs, and increasing.
Similarly, a study from 2013 conducted at Northwestern University found that those who had
high debt relative to
household assets, reported
higher levels of stress, depression, and poor self - reported general health.
High levels of government and
household debt, heightened interest rate sensitivity, unfavorable demographic trends, weakened financial systems and complex global and financial inter-linkages mean that heightened macroeconomic volatility will almost certainly be a fact of life in coming years and decades.